Research Co.: Biden+11
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Author Topic: Research Co.: Biden+11  (Read 775 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: August 15, 2020, 09:36:51 AM »

Canadian pollster.

Methodology:

Results are based on an online study conducted on August 3 and August 4, 2020, among 1,018 likely voters in the United States and 946 decided voters in the 2020 presidential election. The data has been statistically weighted according to U.S. census figures for age, gender and region. The margin of error— which measures sample variability—is +/- 3.1 percentage points for likely voters and +/- 3.2 percentage points for decided voters, nineteen times out of twenty.

As you may know, there will be an election for President of the United States on November 3rd. Which one of the following candidates would you be most likely to support on Election Day? – Decided Voters

Joe Biden (D) – 53%
Donald Trump (R) – 42%
Jo Jorgensen (L) – 2%
Howie Hawkins (G) – 1%
Other candidate – 1%

https://researchco.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/08/Release_USPoli_07Aug2020.pdf
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: August 15, 2020, 10:11:53 AM »

They had Biden 53-43 in July and 51-46 in June.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: August 15, 2020, 10:27:18 AM »

They had Biden 53-43 in July and 51-46 in June.

What can we say? Trump is the comeback kid.
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Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
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« Reply #3 on: August 15, 2020, 10:30:12 AM »

Some interesting things I gleaned from the poll

Do you think the 2020 U.S. presidential election should be postponed to a later date because of the COVID-19 pandemic?

Should be postponed -- 26%

Should not be postponed -- 68%

Not sure -- 7%

Good to see such a wide margin, though I am worried about how it doesn't add up to 100%.

More than nine-in-ten decided voters (92%) say they are certain that they will vote for their chosen candidate in the election. This includes 94% of those who intend to support Trump and 91% of those who plan to vote for Biden.


I think this is is a good sign for Biden it shows that many of us are right in seeing this race as different then 2016.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: August 15, 2020, 11:16:32 AM »

Some interesting things I gleaned from the poll

Do you think the 2020 U.S. presidential election should be postponed to a later date because of the COVID-19 pandemic?

Should be postponed -- 26%

Should not be postponed -- 68%

Not sure -- 7%

Good to see such a wide margin, though I am worried about how it doesn't add up to 100%.

More than nine-in-ten decided voters (92%) say they are certain that they will vote for their chosen candidate in the election. This includes 94% of those who intend to support Trump and 91% of those who plan to vote for Biden.


I think this is is a good sign for Biden it shows that many of us are right in seeing this race as different then 2016.

Yep. The polls were really accurate in 2018. The GCB was pretty much spot on. People are way less undecided than they were in 2016.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: August 15, 2020, 01:54:46 PM »

Biden is likely to win, but I am not dwelling on his Convention due to the fact politicians left town for the Conventions to campaign without a stimulus deal. Even if the Senate adjourned.
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AGA
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« Reply #6 on: August 15, 2020, 04:16:41 PM »

Why did they weight for age based on US census data? Aren't old people overrepresented at the polls?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7 on: August 15, 2020, 05:42:50 PM »

Why did they weight for age based on US census data? Aren't old people overrepresented at the polls?

That would likely appear in a "likely voter" screen.
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