Final Prediction for MN-05 Democratic Primary
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Poll
Question: ^
#1
Ilhan Omar		  
#2
Antone Melton-Meaux		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Final Prediction for MN-05 Democratic Primary  (Read 1909 times)
VAR
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« on: August 11, 2020, 05:59:09 AM »
?
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andjey
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2020, 06:00:16 AM »
52-40 Omar
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2020, 06:08:36 AM »
Melton-Meaux.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2020, 07:29:21 AM »

Sounds about right, but anything from a 10% AMM win to a 35% Omar win wouldn’t surprise me.  However, given all her advantages and the fact that - as in 2018 - she is simultaneously the DFL establishment and Berniecrat movement’s candidate, if Omar gets anything less than 60% of the vote then it’s basically a loss (or perhaps more accurately, a vote of no confidence from her constituents).
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2020, 07:53:41 AM »
Omar, unfortunately, and she will probably win by a comfortable margin.
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PAK Man
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« Reply #5 on: August 11, 2020, 09:53:48 AM »
Omar will win comfortably.
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Horus
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« Reply #6 on: August 11, 2020, 10:14:12 AM »
Omar will win with 60-65%
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Donerail
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2020, 11:45:40 AM »
Omar's gonna smoke this clown. No union busters in the Democratic Party!
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VPH
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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2020, 02:39:14 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on August 11, 2020, 07:53:41 AM
Omar, unfortunately, and she will probably win by a comfortable margin.
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chubbygummy
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2020, 03:01:55 PM »

I really hope so, but I don't see it happening.
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Never Made it to Graceland
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« Reply #10 on: August 11, 2020, 03:50:40 PM »
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on August 11, 2020, 11:45:40 AM
Omar's gonna smoke this clown. No union busters in the Democratic Party!
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LeBron
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« Reply #11 on: August 11, 2020, 06:59:37 PM »
Omar 67-26. AMM is gonna get wrecked!
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Mr. Smith
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« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2020, 07:14:12 PM »
AMM...because this year sux dat much.
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Alben Barkley
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« Reply #13 on: August 11, 2020, 07:54:39 PM »
Omar. Very unfortunately. Praying Antone pulls out a surprise win.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #14 on: August 11, 2020, 07:59:08 PM »
Omar will win easily.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #15 on: August 11, 2020, 08:14:16 PM »
Omar up by 1% in initial 3.2k Votes.
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W
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« Reply #16 on: August 11, 2020, 08:19:51 PM »


I may have to give Atlas some credit here, I expected Omar to open higher.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #17 on: August 11, 2020, 08:20:45 PM »
We're using this thread:

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=387914.0
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #18 on: August 11, 2020, 08:29:44 PM »
New Update.

Ilhan Omar                  48,972   56.64%   
Antone Melton-Meaux          34,494   39.89%   
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TrumpBritt24
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« Reply #19 on: August 11, 2020, 08:30:24 PM »
Quote from: Gulf Coastal Elite on August 11, 2020, 11:45:40 AM
Omar's gonna smoke this clown. No union busters in the Democratic Party!
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #20 on: August 11, 2020, 08:30:48 PM »
F**k. 117th Congress will be more full of crazies than any other in recent memory.
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Nyvin
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« Reply #21 on: August 11, 2020, 08:32:41 PM »
Omar crushed Antone. 
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #22 on: August 11, 2020, 08:36:49 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on August 11, 2020, 08:30:48 PM
F**k. 117th Congress will be more full of crazies than any other in recent memory.

What an awful day this has been politically. First, Kamala Harris was named as Biden's running mate. Now, both Marjorie Taylor-Greene and Illhan Omar have won their primaries. At least not everything has gone wrong this primary season, as both Steve King and Steve Watkins will be gone in January.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #23 on: August 11, 2020, 08:39:22 PM »
That more or less matches the 2018 vote totals, so it's over.

Ilhan Omar   82,955   56.86%   
Antone Melton-Meaux    58,163   39.87%
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #24 on: August 11, 2020, 08:46:58 PM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on August 11, 2020, 08:36:49 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on August 11, 2020, 08:30:48 PM
F**k. 117th Congress will be more full of crazies than any other in recent memory.

What an awful day this has been politically. First, Kamala Harris was named as Biden's running mate. Now, both Marjorie Taylor-Greene and Illhan Omar have won their primaries. At least not everything has gone wrong this primary season, as both Steve King and Steve Watkins will be gone in January.

One thing to consider: The Gingrich freshman class included Steve Stockman, Helen Chenoweth, but also Charlie Bass, Joe Scarborough, Mac Thornberry, Tom Davis and Frank LoBiondo. And the 2010 class included Allen West, Paul Gosar and Scott DesJarlais, but also Bob Dold, Jon Runyan, Richard Hanna and Mike Fitzpatrick. Every class does include genuinely good people who end becoming excellent legislators.
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