YouGov: PA (Biden+9), WI (Biden +6), MI (Biden +4)

[wbrocks67]

Michigan
Biden 47
Trump 43
Other/DK 11

Pennsylvania
Biden 50
Trump 41
Other/DK 8

Wisconsin
Biden 49
Trump 43
Other/DK 8

https://elections.wisc.edu/second-2020-election-survey/

Trump job approval
Michigan: 42/55 (-13)
Pennsylvania: 44/52 (-8)
Wisconsin: 42/55 (-13)

[wbrocks67]

PA lines up with what we've seen from other High quality pollsters, while Wisconsin is the exact result that the CBS/YouGov result got.

Michigan, however, is weird, since we also have a -13 approval for Trump there. But I guess this balances out the other like Biden +15 polls we've gotten there

[wbrocks67]

Ugh, MI isn't voting to the right of PA and WI. Especially not compared to PA by this amount.

YouGov's national poll has been pretty on the mark the last few months (Biden +9), but their state polls have been kind of wonky.

[wbrocks67]

LV screen actually helps Biden here:

Biden’s lead is even larger when limiting the analysis to only registered voters who say they are
“certain” to vote. Among them, Biden leads by five points in Michigan (50-45), ten in
Pennsylvania (52-42), and eight in Wisconsin (52-44).

I feel like the CW is that LV helps Rs, but I feel like this year will be different. Not to mention, Ds outdid their polling average in 2018 too.