CBS/YouGov: Biden +6 in WI, PA
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  CBS/YouGov: Biden +6 in WI, PA
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Author Topic: CBS/YouGov: Biden +6 in WI, PA  (Read 2153 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #25 on: August 10, 2020, 03:28:14 AM »

Awful numbers for Trump
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #26 on: August 10, 2020, 05:10:36 AM »

Hmmm... while there has been a lot of Biden+12 in WI, most of the recent PA polls have been this close or closer.  I always thought Biden would have an easier time in PA though.

WI is a bit more elastic than PA, and I feel like the "Scranton Joe" effect is a bit overstated. He was born in Scranton but he's been a Delaware politician all his life.

PA is pretty inelastic though. Just look at 2018. Depends on turnout too, but there is a lot of areas that can swing back and forth (Erie, Lackawanna). Depending on the candidate, they can either be close, or like D+15-20.
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SingingAnalyst
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« Reply #27 on: August 10, 2020, 06:19:56 AM »

Margin of error +/- 3% for both PA and WI. Could be anything from Biden+0 to Biden+12. To the extent that other recent polls have shown a wider margin, that's good news for Biden.
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