Trend maps for 2020 if you run against Trump / Biden
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  Trend maps for 2020 if you run against Trump / Biden
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Author Topic: Trend maps for 2020 if you run against Trump / Biden  (Read 762 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« on: August 09, 2020, 08:22:57 AM »

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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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E: -5.55, S: -1.57

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« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2020, 10:43:43 AM »

Why is Arkansas so blue?
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,166
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2020, 11:01:57 AM »


Something went wrong. Will redo the map.
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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,341
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

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« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2020, 11:15:19 AM »


Very good. I also notice that the first eight states in alphabetical order are coloured and the others not. It must have gone wrong somewhere when copying it here?
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,166
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
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« Reply #4 on: August 09, 2020, 11:21:06 AM »


Very good. I also notice that the first eight states in alphabetical order are coloured and the others not. It must have gone wrong somewhere when copying it here?
Yes. Im on my mobile phone now and it's a new one. I first have to click select all and than copy instead of just copy.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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E: 7.35, S: 5.57


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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2020, 01:24:07 PM »

Something like this.  I think I would overperform Trump with highly religious Hispanic and African-American voters, Southern suburbanites, and Mormons, while underperforming with secular but culturally conservative, non-college educated white voters in the Northeast, Midwest, and Mountain West.

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𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆
Battista Minola 1616
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Posts: 11,341
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -1.57

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« Reply #6 on: August 10, 2020, 04:10:12 PM »
« Edited: August 10, 2020, 04:13:14 PM by Battista Minola 1616 »

I imagine I would be the Democratic candidate.

I think I would appeal more than Biden to #rural-populists and maybe some Hispanics but less than him to #college-educated-suburbanites and most voters of colour. Or maybe not. I don't know, I imagine I would occupy a niche with Left tinges and also Perot tinges but not be too heterodox.



This is my map, based on gut feeling. Red where I overperform, blue where I underperform. Hint: likely wrong.
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: August 11, 2020, 02:09:56 AM »



Dark blue = far better than Generic D
Blue = better than Generic D
Red = worse than Generic D
Dark red = far worse than Generic D
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,166
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« Reply #8 on: August 11, 2020, 07:11:08 AM »

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Brother Jonathan
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« Reply #9 on: August 12, 2020, 08:10:41 PM »



Shades of green: Overperform Donald Trump
Shades of red: Underperform Donald Trump

My platform of rolling back the "Imperial Presidency" by voluntarily constraining the powers of the office, making all Presidential debates Oxford style, strengthening the humanities in schools, abolishing the death penalty, passing TPP, and repealing the 17th Amendment won't play all that well. I'm sure my insistence on wearing a blue rosette and only speaking on literal stumps in fields in the middle of nowhere also won't help matters. I would probably win back some Mormon voters though, and improve with libertarians, as well as with educated voters.
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DPKdebator
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E: -1.81, S: 3.65

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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2020, 10:02:13 AM »



Compared to Trump I would do a lot better in New England as I am from the region and would invest resources into New Hampshire and Maine. My moderate/populist economic stances help me in the Upper Midwest. I would do worse among Evangelicals since I am a northern Catholic, but Catholic-heavy areas trend right. I do marginally worse in areas that favor rugged individualism (Plains/Mountain West) but Utah moves right due to fewer Mormon defectors from the GOP.
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