Ernst only have lead in 1/5 polls
Ok, but Iowa polls have a long history of overestimating Democrats, and that's what MTTreasurer means when he insists this race is still Lean R. Come to me in October with polls showing Greenfield leading by 4 and over 50%, and then we'll see if Democrats can actually win this race, but a lot of the feelings about this race come from the same place that the good feelings about the 2018 Governor race came from. Anyways still a tossup, but clearly tilting in Ernst's favor
