Quinnipiac: Gideon + 4, McConnell +5, Tied in SC
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 09:15:25 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 Senate & House Election Polls
  Quinnipiac: Gideon + 4, McConnell +5, Tied in SC
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Gideon + 4, McConnell +5, Tied in SC  (Read 2016 times)
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 06, 2020, 01:13:44 PM »

https://poll.qu.edu/2020-presidential-swing-state-polls/release-detail?ReleaseID=3670
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,451


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 01:20:50 PM »

She's only 4 in the same poll that has Biden up 15 points in Maine? Looks like Collins still has some of that cross appeal.
Logged
Woody
SirWoodbury
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,044


Political Matrix
E: 1.48, S: 1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2020, 01:21:19 PM »

She's underperforming Biden by 11 points. I take everything back, this is is Likely R.

Collins +6
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,613
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2020, 01:24:21 PM »

She's only 4 in the same poll that has Biden up 15 points in Maine? Looks like Collins still has some of that cross appeal.

Collins won't overcome a double digit Trump deficit. These days are gone for good.

Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,983
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2020, 01:25:24 PM »

She's only 4 in the same poll that has Biden up 15 points in Maine? Looks like Collins still has some of that cross appeal.

Everyone agrees that Collins will run ahead of Trump, but the days of her outperforming the top of the ticket by 40 points like she did in 2008 are over.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2020, 01:28:01 PM »

She's only 4 in the same poll that has Biden up 15 points in Maine? Looks like Collins still has some of that cross appeal.

Collins won't overcome a double digit Trump deficit. These days are gone for good.



Also she’s at 43% 3 months out from the election. Given that the undecideds in this poll seem to lean Dem, thats not a good position to be in. Tilt D. Gideon likely wins by 3-4.
Logged
Arizona Iced Tea
Minute Maid Juice
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,451


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2020, 01:28:46 PM »

She's only 4 in the same poll that has Biden up 15 points in Maine? Looks like Collins still has some of that cross appeal.

Everyone agrees that Collins will run ahead of Trump, but the days of her outperforming the top of the ticket by 40 points like she did in 2008 are over.
Oh absolutely, but I don't think partisanship is gonna hurt her as strong as we think. That being said the days of her winning by double digits and sweeping every county are long gone.
Logged
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,931
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2020, 01:33:27 PM »

While Collins will probably outperform Trump, I just don't see her surviving a double digit win for Biden in the state.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,764
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 06, 2020, 01:34:06 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 01:38:00 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits
Logged
Fmr. Pres. Duke
AHDuke99
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,019


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -3.13

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 06, 2020, 01:52:22 PM »

I'll believe Graham will lose when I see it. He certainly has not done himself any favors by tying himself to Trump. We liked him more here when he was a bit of a maverick.
Logged
GlobeSoc
The walrus
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,980


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 06, 2020, 02:17:12 PM »

doubt it will happen but mcconnell losing to mcgrath of all people would be very funny
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,743


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 06, 2020, 02:31:37 PM »

Collins is losing Independents again, and getting the same amount of Ds that Gideon is Rs. There's no way she wins with that combo.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,764
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 06, 2020, 03:22:48 PM »

doubt it will happen but mcconnell losing to mcgrath of all people would be very funny

Trump was a businessman turned politician,  voters show no allegiance to Trump since he was an R in name only, not an officeholder and McConnell is an obstructionist.  
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 06, 2020, 03:23:11 PM »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits

Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,764
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 06, 2020, 03:26:29 PM »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits


That's why we have our prediction maps, unlike other blogs, we can change our opinions
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,576
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 06, 2020, 03:28:19 PM »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits


That's why we have our prediction maps, unlike other blogs, we can change our opinions

We always can Smiley

Logged
S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,253
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 06, 2020, 03:28:19 PM »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits


He's a troll, it's best to ignore him
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,764
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 06, 2020, 03:31:30 PM »

Graham and McConnell are gonna lose👍👍👍. That's why he has relented on 400 a week on unemployment benefits


He's a troll, it's best to ignore him

Yeah everyone is a troll if you differ in  opinions.
We have maps for a reason, to change them
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,937
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 06, 2020, 04:15:57 PM »

I'll believe Graham will lose when I see it. He certainly has not done himself any favors by tying himself to Trump. We liked him more here when he was a bit of a maverick.

Might South Carolina be this year's Texas? That is, like the 2018 Senate race between Cruz and O'Rourke, polls show the race as competitive throughout, and some may even show Harrison leading, but Graham ultimately wins reelection, by a much narrower margin than in his previous races, and one which indicates that the state is indeed trending left. I'm thinking that is a very plausible outcome at this point.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 06, 2020, 04:31:39 PM »

I'll believe Graham will lose when I see it. He certainly has not done himself any favors by tying himself to Trump. We liked him more here when he was a bit of a maverick.

Might South Carolina be this year's Texas? That is, like the 2018 Senate race between Cruz and O'Rourke, polls show the race as competitive throughout, and some may even show Harrison leading, but Graham ultimately wins reelection, by a much narrower margin than in his previous races, and one which indicates that the state is indeed trending left. I'm thinking that is a very plausible outcome at this point.

I wonder how SC will be voting by the end of the decade.
Logged
pikachu
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,179
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 06, 2020, 04:40:32 PM »

Don't really trust SC being competitive, but it has 13% of blacks undecided so I guess there's still some room to grow for Harrison?

Also, idk how seriously to take it, but a 31% approval rating for Tim Scott among blacks is pretty interesting and would be a big increase over how he did in 2014 and 2016. If that's actually real, then it's an interesting nugget for a post-Trump GOP.
Logged
lfromnj
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,217


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 06, 2020, 04:44:29 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 04:49:31 PM by lfromnj »

Don't really trust SC being competitive, but it has 13% of blacks undecided so I guess there's still some room to grow for Harrison?

Also, idk how seriously to take it, but a 31% approval rating for Tim Scott among blacks is pretty interesting and would be a big increase over how he did in 2014 and 2016. If that's actually real, then it's an interesting nugget for a post-Trump GOP.

no lol, the point of running black candidates isn't to win black voters in the black belt. They won't actually vote GOP ever.Its to win suburban Charleston/Columbia white voters who want to feel they aren't voting for the racist party.
Logged
Roll Roons
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,983
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 06, 2020, 04:48:40 PM »

Don't really trust SC being competitive, but it has 13% of blacks undecided so I guess there's still some room to grow for Harrison?

Also, idk how seriously to take it, but a 31% approval rating for Tim Scott among blacks is pretty interesting and would be a big increase over how he did in 2014 and 2016. If that's actually real, then it's an interesting nugget for a post-Trump GOP.

What's interesting is that Scott did better than Graham in 2014 when they were on the same ballot. He's never had the same issues with the base that Graham often did even pre-Trump, but his current reputation is that of a serious and intelligent, yet not crazy, conservative, as opposed to a pure Trump bootlicker.
Logged
Calthrina950
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,937
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 06, 2020, 05:10:53 PM »

Don't really trust SC being competitive, but it has 13% of blacks undecided so I guess there's still some room to grow for Harrison?

Also, idk how seriously to take it, but a 31% approval rating for Tim Scott among blacks is pretty interesting and would be a big increase over how he did in 2014 and 2016. If that's actually real, then it's an interesting nugget for a post-Trump GOP.

What's interesting is that Scott did better than Graham in 2014 when they were on the same ballot. He's never had the same issues with the base that Graham often did even pre-Trump, but his current reputation is that of a serious and intelligent, yet not crazy, conservative, as opposed to a pure Trump bootlicker.

Hopefully people like Scott will become predominant within the Republican Party once Trump is gone. To be competitive in today's America, Republicans need to become more diverse, and more reflective of what America looks like. They don't need to sacrifice their basic conservative principles in doing so. They just need to discard and move ahead of Trump's racism and his ignorance.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 06, 2020, 05:26:36 PM »

If Graham loses he will have thrown away his career over a completely moron. But I'm sure he would land a show on MSNBC or something where he would act as if he is sensible and chastise random people from both parties for various "bipartisan" reasons.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.061 seconds with 14 queries.