Does Maura Healey lose any counties?

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

There's an outside chance she could lose Plymouth County to Geoff Diehl, who won it against Elizabeth Warren in 2018.
Bristol County is weird in that it is trending R (WWC) while suburban Plymouth is trending D (at least under Biden, yet it was also more Warren-averse than most parts of the state). But no indication that Bristol is winnable for the GOP yet.

[Senator Incitatus]

I don't think so, right now.

[Progressive Pessimist]

I doubt it. I still think Warren losing Bristol in 2018 had more to do with Baker being on the ballot.

[Senator Incitatus]

I doubt it. I still think Warren losing Bristol in 2018 had more to do with Baker being on the ballot.

It was also a product of Diehl's home-field advantage and Warren being the least popular elected official in the state.

[MillennialModerate]

I know who would never lose a single county against a Republican….

[Schiff for Senate]

I know who would never lose a single county against a Republican….

The Kennedys are done, sorry. Joe Kennedy destroyed his own political career by being too entitled to wait his turn and deciding to primary the competent and progressive Ed Markey for no good reason other than "I'm a Kennedy so vote for me."

[Progressive Pessimist]

I doubt it. I still think Warren losing Bristol in 2018 had more to do with Baker being on the ballot.

It was also a product of Diehl's home-field advantage and Warren being the least popular elected official in the state.

By the way, I realize now I meant Plymouth, not Bristol in my original post.

But anyway, I don't expect his home turf advantage to help him much here this time around.

[Senator Incitatus]

I doubt it. I still think Warren losing Bristol in 2018 had more to do with Baker being on the ballot.

It was also a product of Diehl's home-field advantage and Warren being the least popular elected official in the state.

By the way, I realize now I meant Plymouth, not Bristol in my original post.

But anyway, I don't expect his home turf advantage to help him much here this time around.

I'd think it would help more; local issues are more significant in state elections than in national elections.

Look at the maps for the other candidates in 2018; Orrall carried her House district and almost nowhere else and Brady, though she admittedly was closer than the rest of the Republican ticket everywhere, ran much closer than her running mates in Concord and Middlesex generally.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2018_Massachusetts_elections

[MarkD]

I think Diehl will narrowly carry Worcester County, in addition to carrying Plymouth by a slightly wider margin than he did in 2018. But that's all. I predict the vote share that Healey and Diehl get will be about 57% to 41%.

[Duke of York]

I think Diehl will narrowly carry Worcester County, in addition to carrying Plymouth by a slightly wider margin than he did in 2018. But that's all. I predict the vote share that Healey and Diehl get will be about 57% to 41%.

Plymouth I can see Diehl winning. Worcester no way.