States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (user search)
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  States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump. (search mode)
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Author Topic: States’ largest cities that will vote for Trump.  (Read 11728 times)
I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« on: August 06, 2020, 11:23:36 AM »

Lakeville is almost certainly the answer for Minnesota, just as it was for Jeff Johnson and Karin Housley.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 12:25:18 PM »


Not Fort Wayne?
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #2 on: August 06, 2020, 01:04:00 PM »
« Edited: August 06, 2020, 04:57:48 PM by Mine eyes have seen the glory of the crushing of the Trump »

Alabama: Mobile
Alaska: If Biden wins Anchorage then Fairbanks by default.
Arizona: Mesa. Easy.
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: I'm going to assume Bakersfield.
Colorado: Colorado Springs of course.
Connecticut: ...I have no idea.
Delaware: Uh, Seaford?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Sandy Springs
Hawaii: none
Idaho: Meridian
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Illinois: Orland Park
Iowa: Probably not Sioux City actually. So Council Bluffs? If not there then Ankeny.
Kansas: Wichita is a possibility, but if not then...Hutchinson
Kentucky: Bowling Green
Louisiana: Lafayette?
Maine: no idea
Maryland: Cumberland apparently.
Massachusetts: Totally beats me.
Michigan: Sterling Heights, or Livonia if Biden pulls that off.
Minnesota: Lakeville as stated.
Mississippi: Gulfport
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Boulder City
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Toms River?
New Mexico: I honestly don't know enough about the geography here.
New York: One of those Long Island "towns". Don't know enough to say which one.
North Carolina: Probably Concord
North Dakota: Since NDSU classes are in session I bet Biden takes Fargo, so right here in Bismarck.
Ohio: Hamilton
Oklahoma: Tulsa
Oregon: Medford?
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: ...no clue
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Going to be optimistic and say Rapid City
Tennessee: Did Trump win Knoxville proper? If so then there.
Texas: Plano, or Lubbock if Biden can even win that.
Utah: Provo
Vermont: ...yeah totally beats me.
Virginia: I don't think Trump takes Chesapeake or Virginia Beach, so Lynchburg.
Washington: Yakima
West Virginia: Charleston
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #3 on: August 06, 2020, 01:56:36 PM »

Alabama: Mobile
Alaska: If Biden wins Anchorage then Fairbanks by default.
Arizona: Mesa. Easy.
Arkansas: Fort Smith
California: I'm going to assume Bakersfield.
Colorado: Colorado Springs of course.
Connecticut: ...I have no idea.
Delaware: Uh, Seaford?
Florida: Hialeah
Georgia: Sandy Springs
Hawaii: none
Idaho: Meridian
Indiana: Fort Wayne
Iowa: Probably not Sioux City actually. So Council Bluffs? If not there then Ankeny.
Kansas: Wichita is a possibility, but if not then...Hutchinson
Louisiana: Lafayette?
Maine: no idea
Maryland: Cumberland apparently.
Massachusetts: Totally beats me.
Michigan: Sterling Heights, or Livonia if Biden pulls that off.
Minnesota: Lakeville as stated.
Mississippi: Gulfport
Missouri: Springfield
Montana: Billings
Nebraska: Bellevue
Nevada: Boulder City
New Hampshire: Derry
New Jersey: Toms River?
New Mexico: I honestly don't know enough about the geography here.
New York: One of those Long Island "towns". Don't know enough to say which one.
North Carolina: Probably Concord
North Dakota: Since NDSU classes are in session I bet Biden takes Fargo, so right here in Bismarck.
Ohio: Hamilton
Oklahoma: Tulsa
Oregon: Medford?
Pennsylvania: Altoona
Rhode Island: ...no clue
South Carolina: Mount Pleasant
South Dakota: Going to be optimistic and say Rapid City
Tennessee: Did Trump win Knoxville proper? If so then there.
Texas: Plano, or Lubbock if Biden can even win that.
Utah: Provo
Vermont: ...yeah totally beats me.
Virginia: I don't think Trump takes Chesapeake or Virginia Beach, so Lynchburg.
Washington: Yakima
West Virginia: Charleston
Wisconsin: Waukesha
Wyoming: Cheyenne

Mobile pretty clearly voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Charleston, WV too, as mileslunn stated.
So I don't see how they go to Trump this time.
Mobile is way more black than I thought apparently.

So Huntsville most likely.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #4 on: August 06, 2020, 04:10:05 PM »


What? That voted for Hillary by ten points.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #5 on: August 06, 2020, 04:13:32 PM »



Huntsville is about 50/50 on composite and it trended D in 2016 so it probably voted for Clinton. .And sandy springs was double digit Clinton BRTD.

In that case, Hoover, AL and Johns Creek, GA.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #6 on: August 06, 2020, 04:28:55 PM »



Huntsville is about 50/50 on composite and it trended D in 2016 so it probably voted for Clinton. .And sandy springs was double digit Clinton BRTD.

In that case, Hoover, AL and Johns Creek, GA.

Biden could definitely win Johns Creek as well.

In that case Warner Robins would be it.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #7 on: August 06, 2020, 04:30:30 PM »

Illinois: Pekin? I’m not optimistic about Trump anywhere in the suburban areas. The fact that he lost the 6th and 14th congressional districts is flat out embarrassing.

Massachusetts: Braintree

South Dakota: Sioux Falls

Trump won the 14th, but I don't expect him to do so this year. I'm really not sure what the biggest IL city he'll carry is, since I don't see him carrying Springfield, Peoria, Rockford, Belleville, any of the big Chicago suburbs or college towns (Champaign, Bloomington/Normal). Maybe somewhere like Quincy?

You don't think he can win Orland Park again? Orland Township was more than an 8 point Trump victory. Not impossible for Biden granted.
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
Atlas Prophet
*****
Posts: 113,037
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67

P P
« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2020, 12:48:19 AM »

As long as St. Cloud State University is in session (and no sign of it closing, in fact COVID outbreak hasn't been bad there despite some early outbreaks at a meat packing plant in Stearns County, Biden should win St. Cloud. Btw if you're going to use 2018 Senate numbers better to use Tina Smith's instead of Klobuchar (or just use the Gubernatorial numbers. Doesn't really matter too much which one, Walz and Smith ran practically the same.)

Demographic trends in Coon Rapids are very much not in Trump's favor and neither the 2018 results. So Lakeville is the most likely answer as I've said before. If Biden can pull even that off then probably Andover just north of Coon Rapids.
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