Smith-Hoover Voters/Areas
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  Smith-Hoover Voters/Areas
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Author Topic: Smith-Hoover Voters/Areas  (Read 351 times)
E-Dawg
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« on: August 05, 2020, 09:09:39 PM »

How many counties swung more Republican from 1928-1932? Are there any county swing maps available for the election? I know there were no counties that flipped from Smith to Hoover, but I am curious to see how rare it was for counties to swing more Republican. I imagine that heavily Catholic areas would be most likely, due to Republican Catholics who voted Smith purely due to the religion issue. How common would Smith/Hoover voters have been, and were there any units of population (cities, precincts, districts, etc) that voted for Smith in 1928 and Hoover in 1932?
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2020, 08:17:29 AM »

Berkshire County in Western Massachusetts voted for Smith by 0.5% and for Roosevelt by 0.1%

Aside from that, some counties in the South (especially in South Carolina, where ballots were not secret), where surely electoral shenanigans were the norm, had some weird counterswings.
I cannot explain how absurd they sound.
For example: apparently Bamberg County, SC voted 99.5% to 0.5% for Smith and then voted 99.1% to 0.9% for Roosevelt.
Edgefield County, SC voted 99.7% to 0.3% for Smith and then voted 99.3% to 0.7% for Roosevelt.
Humphreys County, MS is extremely nutty. It voted 99.9% for Smith and 98.7% for Roosevelt. FDR got 250 less raw votes than Smith. It may have had a non-insignificant White Catholic population (for the South) given that the county has a few places with Italian names.
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chubbygummy
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« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2020, 12:57:31 PM »

Didn't you already make this?

https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=386503.msg7499888#msg7499888
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #3 on: August 08, 2020, 01:29:27 PM »


That one was created 8 minutes after this one. But it was filled with a self-answer before anyone could even answer here.
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bagelman
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« Reply #4 on: August 08, 2020, 10:25:34 PM »

Elk County PA for some reason.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #5 on: August 09, 2020, 09:13:48 AM »


Heavily German Catholic but with apparently a lot of polarization and a very noticeable Smith effect.
All three Pennsylvania counties won by Smith (Elk, Lackawanna and Luzerne):
-were heavily Catholic
-had been consistently Republican between 1896 and 1924
-had MASSIVE turnout increases for Smith
-had a turnout decrease in 1932

Lackawanna and Luzerne had a very noticeable turnout decrease and barely budged as for percentage margin.
In Elk the turnout decrease was small and apparently this favoured Hoover, who took more rae votes in 1932 than in 1928.

I have no better explanation.
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #6 on: August 09, 2020, 02:52:58 PM »


Heavily German Catholic but with apparently a lot of polarization and a very noticeable Smith effect.
All three Pennsylvania counties won by Smith (Elk, Lackawanna and Luzerne):
-were heavily Catholic
-had been consistently Republican between 1896 and 1924
-had MASSIVE turnout increases for Smith
-had a turnout decrease in 1932

Lackawanna and Luzerne had a very noticeable turnout decrease and barely budged as for percentage margin.
In Elk the turnout decrease was small and apparently this favoured Hoover, who took more rae votes in 1932 than in 1928.

I have no better explanation.

I would also note that Elk is much more German than Lackawanna or Luzerne, but I don't know in exactly in which ways this affected the voting.
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E-Dawg
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« Reply #7 on: August 09, 2020, 08:11:55 PM »

My apologies, I did not realize that I published this topic as well as the other one. I started making this one but realized it was in the wrong subform, so I switched to making the topic in the other place. Apparently I accidentally made the topic here to. If a mod could merge the two topics that would be great.
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