Bush's vote rise in Massachusetts and Rhode Island? (user search)
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  Bush's vote rise in Massachusetts and Rhode Island? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Bush's vote rise in Massachusetts and Rhode Island?  (Read 12333 times)
Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« on: April 10, 2006, 11:12:56 PM »

possibly 9/11 bump related?  Bush tended to do better in some suburban areas of the Northeasr in 04 than 00.  It was mostly concentrated in suburban NY (Long island, jersey, and CT), but its not of the question that the 9/11 suburban bump spreaded to mass (which has many suburbs) and RI (in which most of the state is suburban).  Basically a group that was trending heavily Dem, and took a one election jump back due to 9/11 & security issues, but a group which more than likely will jump back further left in 08.

I can understand why the New York suburbs trended Republican, but why would the 9/11 fear effect Boston all that much more than, say, the Democratic-trending D.C. 'burbs?  If there was a 9/11 bump, it should have been evident there, too, shouldn't it have been?
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Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #1 on: April 15, 2006, 11:48:49 PM »

What is Cynthia McKinney? A centrist? Conservative Democrat?

BRTD,

I am going to link back to this post every time you commit this falacy.

Someone provides an example, such as:

The vast majority of blacks would not be considered "left-wingers".  As a general rule - Ideologically they have more in common with their former southern democratic oppressors.

Note "vast majority."

You reply:

What is Cynthia McKinney? A centrist? Conservative Democrat?

You give an example of one person.

You do not disapprove the larger statement, that the vast majority of blacks are not liberal.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2006, 02:35:37 PM »

What is Cynthia McKinney? A centrist? Conservative Democrat?

BRTD,

I am going to link back to this post every time you commit this falacy.

Someone provides an example, such as:

The vast majority of blacks would not be considered "left-wingers".  As a general rule - Ideologically they have more in common with their former southern democratic oppressors.

Note "vast majority."

You reply:

What is Cynthia McKinney? A centrist? Conservative Democrat?

You give an example of one person.

You do not disapprove the larger statement, that the vast majority of blacks are not liberal.

Then who voted for her? Look at the results from the last primary. She won on the first round and was far ahead of all her opponents.

Blacks in urban Atlanta are not necessarily representative of blacks as a whole either.

Besides, primary voters oftentimes vote incumbent .  Blacks are willing to vote for liberals; that is why they vote Democratic in droves.  Voting patterns and personal political opinions do not always correlate.
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Alcon
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,866
United States


« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2006, 02:23:51 PM »

Kerry and Edwards may have been against gay marriage, but whether the voters in Rhode Island knew that is a different matter entirely.  Out of curiosity, do you think it was increased turnout among working-class, socially conservative Catholics or were they previously voting more Democratic (or both)?
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