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Author Topic: SCOTUS Pool  (Read 2113 times)
Tamika Jackson
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« on: August 02, 2020, 07:49:02 PM »
« edited: September 25, 2020, 05:51:46 AM by Tamika Jackson »

Who do you think the next Supreme Court Justice will be?

Changes will only be allowed if your nominee is disqualified in some meaningful way (scandal, disbarred, makes clear that they don't want it, etc.) or the Presidency changes.

NOTE: Please do not modify your post to change your selection. Any modification will result in a DQ. If you need to change your choice for the above, make a new post. If you made a spelling error, just PM me or I'll probably figure it out Wink

Singular points will be awarded per:
  • Nomination
  • Committee Hearing
  • Successful Confirmation

So if a Justice is confirmed, you would get 3 points.

This will be a running tally.

I greatly hope all our Justices may serve until they cannot any longer either by choice, age, or in the most unfortunate way, passing in office.

If this gains popularity, I may expand it to the Circuit Courts  Cheesy


SCOTUS Pool (in alphabetical order by bettor and utilizing bluebook court abbreviations)
Alfred F. Jones - Solidarity Forever: Judge Barbara Lagoa of the 11th Cir.
beeman - Tamika Jackson: Judge Don Willett of the 5th Cir.
Chickpeas: Judge Allison Jones Rushing of the 4th Cir.
Concerned Citizen - Orser67: Justice Leondra Kruger of the Cal.
Donerail - Gulf Coastal Elite: Judge Britt C. Grant of the 11th Cir.
Ferguson97: Judge Amy Coney Barrett of the 7th Cir.
Gorguf - Democratic Nominee 2020: Judge Sri Srinivasan of the D.C. Cir.
Horsemask: Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson of the D.D.C.
JGibson: Judge Kentanji Brown Jackson of the D.D.C.
NewYorkExpress: Kamala Harris
Republican95 - Del Tachi: Judge Amy Coney Barrett of the 7th Cir.
S019 - Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019: Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson of the D.D.C.
Scott: Judge Amy Coney Barrett of the 7th Cir.
weatherboy: Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson of the D.D.C.
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Tamika Jackson
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« Reply #1 on: August 02, 2020, 07:49:31 PM »

My choice is Judge Don Willett of the 5th Cir.
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Free Speech Enjoyer
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2 on: August 02, 2020, 08:05:07 PM »

If Trump is in office, Amy Coney Barrett.  If Biden, probably one of these women.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #3 on: August 02, 2020, 08:21:21 PM »

Amy Coney Barrett or Neomi Rao.
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Jumped off the American Sinking Ship
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #4 on: August 02, 2020, 08:24:30 PM »

Ketanji Brown Jackson.

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Holy Unifying Centrist
DTC
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2020, 01:14:44 AM »
« Edited: August 03, 2020, 09:39:35 AM by TexasGurl »


Why would looks matter for a Supreme Court justice? I’m not trying to date them
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WD
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2020, 01:17:42 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.
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The Mamdani Virus
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2020, 01:37:25 AM »

Ketanji Brown Jackson is my guess if Biden wins, which is very likely. If Trump wins, then Amy Coney Barrett is my guess.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2020, 01:47:50 AM »
« Edited: August 03, 2020, 01:51:57 AM by Landslide Lyndon »

Leondra Kruger and Jacqueline Nguyen.
It's time for the Democrats to follow Republicans' lead and nominate young people who will sit on the bench for many decades.
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The Mamdani Virus
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« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2020, 01:49:37 AM »

Leondra Kruger and Janet Nguyen.
It's time for the Democrats to follow Republicans' lead and nominate young people who will sit on the bench for many decades.

I doubt that Democrats nominate a Republican state legislator from CA
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #10 on: August 03, 2020, 01:51:45 AM »

Leondra Kruger and Janet Nguyen.
It's time for the Democrats to follow Republicans' lead and nominate young people who will sit on the bench for many decades.

I doubt that Democrats nominate a Republican state legislator from CA

Corrected.
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The Ex-Factor
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« Reply #11 on: August 03, 2020, 02:35:39 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.

Lol replacing Thomas with Goodwin Liu would be a bigger ideological FU than replacing Marshall with Thomas himself. I support it!
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Democrat 2028
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« Reply #12 on: August 03, 2020, 08:07:23 AM »

Sri Srinivasan
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #13 on: August 03, 2020, 09:18:03 AM »

If Trump gets re-elected, Amy Coney Barrett (this would be horrifying).

If Biden gets elected, Kentanji Brown Jackson.
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MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
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« Reply #14 on: August 03, 2020, 09:25:06 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.

I don't see Thomas retiring with Biden as President.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #15 on: August 03, 2020, 09:31:27 AM »

If Trump wins re-election, then Amy Coney Barrett.

If Biden wins, then Ketanji Brown Jackson or Leondra Kruger.
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7,052,770
Harry
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« Reply #16 on: August 03, 2020, 09:33:21 AM »

KBJ, unless he's replacing Roberts, in which case Barack Obama.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #17 on: August 03, 2020, 09:36:05 AM »

KBJ, unless he's replacing Roberts, in which case Barack Obama.

Really doubt Obama would want it, he isn't pulling a Taft. He's fine as elder statesman who will give advice and campaign support to the Biden Admin and Dem candidates up and and down ballot and build the Obama Library & Foundation.
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WD
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« Reply #18 on: August 03, 2020, 09:37:13 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.

I don't see Thomas retiring with Biden as President.

Fair enough. Just wishful thinking lol
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #19 on: August 03, 2020, 09:39:41 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.

I don't see Thomas retiring with Biden as President.

Fair enough. Just wishful thinking lol

Never say never. Not that I wish him bad, but you can never rule it out. It would for sure be kind of ironic for Biden to replace Thomas after the Anita Hill story.
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #20 on: August 03, 2020, 09:57:46 AM »

KBJ, unless he's replacing Roberts, in which case Barack Obama.

Really doubt Obama would want it, he isn't pulling a Taft. He's fine as elder statesman who will give advice and campaign support to the Biden Admin and Dem candidates up and and down ballot and build the Obama Library & Foundation.

Yeah, it'd certainly be interesting, but Obama was just about done dealing with DC bullsh*t on January 20th, 2017, so I really doubt he'd jump to take a lifetime appointment on the Court.
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หมูเด้ง
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #21 on: August 03, 2020, 11:00:13 AM »

Hopefully Brown-Jackson to replace Ginsburg and Goodwin Liu to replace Breyer or Thomas.

I don't see Thomas retiring with Biden as President.

Fair enough. Just wishful thinking lol

Is Thomas going to be talking about dropping the weight and quitting smoking on Breitbart?
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Orser67
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« Reply #22 on: August 03, 2020, 11:53:35 AM »

Assuming Biden wins, I think there are two demographic factors at play:

1)If Biden's running mate isn't African American, then his first pick is very likely to be African American; if not, there's still a very plausible chance that he picks an African American but I don't think it's completely guaranteed (the make-up of the Cabinet and other appointments is also a factor here).
2)The replacement for RBG will almost certainly be a woman, but the replacement for Breyer (who could hypothetically announce his retirement first, though I really hope not given RBG's health) or any of the other male Supreme Court judges could be man.

Having said that, Ketanji Brown Jackson and Leondra Kruger seem like the most likely picks (I guess if I have to go with one, then Kruger), but Jacqueline Nguyen could also be in the conversation.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #23 on: August 03, 2020, 12:43:28 PM »

Assuming Biden wins, I think there are two demographic factors at play:

1)If Biden's running mate isn't African American, then his first pick is very likely to be African American; if not, there's still a very plausible chance that he picks an African American but I don't think it's completely guaranteed (the make-up of the Cabinet and other appointments is also a factor here).
2)The replacement for RBG will almost certainly be a woman, but the replacement for Breyer (who could hypothetically announce his retirement first, though I really hope not given RBG's health) or any of the other male Supreme Court judges could be man.

Having said that, Ketanji Brown Jackson and Leondra Kruger seem like the most likely picks (I guess if I have to go with one, then Kruger), but Jacqueline Nguyen could also be in the conversation.
Biden has literally said numerous times that he's going to appoint a Black woman to the Supreme Court.
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Orser67
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« Reply #24 on: August 03, 2020, 03:38:03 PM »

Assuming Biden wins, I think there are two demographic factors at play:

1)If Biden's running mate isn't African American, then his first pick is very likely to be African American; if not, there's still a very plausible chance that he picks an African American but I don't think it's completely guaranteed (the make-up of the Cabinet and other appointments is also a factor here).
2)The replacement for RBG will almost certainly be a woman, but the replacement for Breyer (who could hypothetically announce his retirement first, though I really hope not given RBG's health) or any of the other male Supreme Court judges could be man.

Having said that, Ketanji Brown Jackson and Leondra Kruger seem like the most likely picks (I guess if I have to go with one, then Kruger), but Jacqueline Nguyen could also be in the conversation.
Biden has literally said numerous times that he's going to appoint a Black woman to the Supreme Court.

Well first of all, he could still potentially do that even if his first appointment isn't an African American woman. More importantly, if you believe that a politician promising to do something is, in and of itself, an absolute guarantee that he will do it, then I have a bridge to sell you.

It would be different if there were a stronger list of candidates to choose from, but there are basically two reasonably good (by which I mean that they are plausibly qualified, aren't super-controversial, and are under 65 and ideally under 50) female African American candidates, unless you want to expand the pool to include non-traditional picks like Kamala Harris. Given the potential for skeletons-in-the-closet, health issues, ideological issues (you don't want a reverse-Souter), etc., it would be pretty foolish for Biden to limit his short list to just two candidates, even if he does ultimately pick one of those candidates.
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