PPP: Biden +13 in CO, +11 in ME, +3 in NC, +1 in GA
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  PPP: Biden +13 in CO, +11 in ME, +3 in NC, +1 in GA
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Author Topic: PPP: Biden +13 in CO, +11 in ME, +3 in NC, +1 in GA  (Read 2571 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: July 28, 2020, 11:48:08 AM »



Also: Trump +1 in IA, +5 in MT, +6 in AK

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WD
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« Reply #1 on: July 28, 2020, 11:49:14 AM »

Georgia is Tilt D at this point.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: July 28, 2020, 11:50:06 AM »

Disaster for Trump, he is back to 10 pts behind Biden and we are coming up to Aug, he will lose the election
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: July 28, 2020, 11:51:08 AM »

Here are the links:

PPP state polls, July 23-24

NC: Biden 49, Trump 46 (884 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/NCResults.pdf

MT: Trump 50, Biden 45 (917 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/MontanaResults.pdf

IA: Trump 48, Biden 47 (1118 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/IowaResults.pdf

GA: Biden 46, Trump 45 (722 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/GeorgiaResults.pdf

CO: Biden 54, Trump 41 (891 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/ColoradoResults.pdf

AK: Trump 50, Biden 44 (885 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/AlaskaResults.pdf

ME: Biden 53, Trump 42 (962 RV)
https://www.afscme.org/press/reports/polling/MaineResults.pdf
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #4 on: July 28, 2020, 11:54:21 AM »

Did they not do Senate polls for these states?
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #5 on: July 28, 2020, 11:55:05 AM »

Did they not do Senate polls for these states?

Unfortunately not.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #6 on: July 28, 2020, 11:56:04 AM »

How could they not do Senate when polling MT and AK? I bet they are in a later release or were private.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #7 on: July 28, 2020, 11:57:43 AM »

How could they not do Senate when polling MT and AK? I bet they are in a later release or were private.

if you check AFSCME's site when they commission a poll they usually note when Sen numbers come out later, but this was strictly a pres only polll
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crazy jimmie
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« Reply #8 on: July 28, 2020, 11:58:36 AM »

Yes Colorado will be to the left of Virginia and yes Georgia will probably vote for Biden.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: July 28, 2020, 12:02:27 PM »


I posted the Senate numbers Collins is down by 5 pts, Collins is losing
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #10 on: July 28, 2020, 12:02:57 PM »

Interesting how Montana,Iowa have really lurched leftward but North Carolina seems stubborn.
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WD
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« Reply #11 on: July 28, 2020, 12:03:26 PM »


Why must they torture us like this!?
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #12 on: July 28, 2020, 12:03:57 PM »


I posted the Senate numbers Collins is down by 5 pts, Collins is losing

To be clear to everyone what OC posted wasn't from PPP
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Storr
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« Reply #13 on: July 28, 2020, 12:05:04 PM »

Interesting how Montana,Iowa have really lurched leftward but North Carolina seems stubborn.
To be fair Iowa and Montana were further right than NC, so had more space to move left.
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SaneDemocrat
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« Reply #14 on: July 28, 2020, 12:12:58 PM »

Yes but it seems WWC places are moving back to Dems at a faster pace than college educated whites are moving to Dems.Suprising.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #15 on: July 28, 2020, 12:29:12 PM »

Iowa is a lost cause if Biden still can’t beat Trump in a poll when there’s three national crises going on at once. Also, Reynolds is still above water which blows my mind.
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crazy jimmie
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« Reply #16 on: July 28, 2020, 12:30:45 PM »

Iowa is a lost cause if Biden still can’t beat Trump in a poll when there’s three national crises going on at once. Also, Reynolds is still above water which blows my mind.

Exactly my thoughts. Though I do believe we have a great chance for Iowa Senate.

At the end though I bet Biden will lose Iowa by 1 point and will win Ohio by 1 point. Just due to suburbs really.

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #17 on: July 28, 2020, 12:34:38 PM »

Trump's approval -5 in GA, so appears he has more to fall than Biden
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #18 on: July 28, 2020, 12:39:02 PM »

Steve Bullock’s approval is +20 here. If Biden can keep Montana in single digits, I really like his odds.
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WD
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« Reply #19 on: July 28, 2020, 12:40:06 PM »

Iowa is a lost cause if Biden still can’t beat Trump in a poll when there’s three national crises going on at once. Also, Reynolds is still above water which blows my mind.

Yeah, IA doesn’t really matter on the Presidential level, but if Trump is only winning by 1, Ernst probably loses.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #20 on: July 28, 2020, 12:43:58 PM »

Iowa is a lost cause if Biden still can’t beat Trump in a poll when there’s three national crises going on at once. Also, Reynolds is still above water which blows my mind.

Yeah, IA doesn’t really matter on the Presidential level, but if Trump is only winning by 1, Ernst probably loses.

If we can trust Iowa summer polling to hold up, sure, but I’m not willing to take that bet after the last few polling misses in Iowa from 2014 to 2016 to 2018
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: July 28, 2020, 01:03:18 PM »

They once again polled 1.000 Mainers, but once again have no breakdown of ME-01 and ME-02.
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It’s so Joever
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« Reply #22 on: July 28, 2020, 01:35:36 PM »

Even before the pandemic, I would have believed the Democratic candidate would have a decent chance at winning CO by double digits.
And yes, CO will vote to the left of VA.
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ultraviolet
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« Reply #23 on: July 28, 2020, 04:27:28 PM »

Interesting how Montana,Iowa have really lurched leftward but North Carolina seems stubborn.
To be fair Iowa and Montana were further right than NC, so had more space to move left.

There isn’t a wall between right and left, NC could shift to the left just as much as IA and MT.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #24 on: July 28, 2020, 04:38:33 PM »

Even before the pandemic, I would have believed the Democratic candidate would have a decent chance at winning CO by double digits.
And yes, CO will vote to the left of VA.

Hillary was a terrible candidate for poor Hispanic WC Southern Colorado. Biden should do better there and similar areas like NM, NV, and South Texas.
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