Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #25 on: July 28, 2020, 06:50:39 AM »

If anything CO senate is tightening

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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #26 on: July 28, 2020, 07:31:23 AM »

Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on July 27, 2020, 11:34:30 PM

Quote from: soundchaser on July 27, 2020, 11:24:09 PM

That Texas swing is *wild.* And continues to show that Biden’s got a decent shot at winning it. (Also wild.)

Yep, we also need to remember that Beto lead in only *1* poll the entire 2018 cycle and people thought he had a real shot, which he did.

Biden, on the other hand, has lead in 7.

There is a very real possibility that Texas turns blue this year and people haven't quite come to terms with that, yet.

Not to nitpick, but this is Biden’s 14th poll showing a lead in Texas all cycle.

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Badger
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #27 on: July 28, 2020, 07:33:58 AM »

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 28, 2020, 05:14:00 AM

Glad to see they actually pushed people and we aren't seeing huge undecided results.

Here are the full results:

Arizona: Biden 49 - Trump 42
Colorado: Biden 52 - Trump 39
Florid: Biden 49 - Trump 46
Georgia: Biden 47 - Trump 46
Michigan: Biden 52 - Trump 42
Minnesota: Biden 47 - Trump 44
North Carolina: Biden 47 - Trump 47
Ohio: Trump 48 - Biden 45
Pennsylvania: Biden 50 - Trump 42
Texas: Biden 47 - Trump 45
Virginia: Biden 52 - Trump 41
Wisconsin: Biden 50 - Trump 43

F****** Ohio. Angry

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jdk
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #28 on: July 28, 2020, 08:50:36 AM »

Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on July 28, 2020, 07:31:23 AM

Quote from: Make PA Blue Again! on July 27, 2020, 11:34:30 PM

Quote from: soundchaser on July 27, 2020, 11:24:09 PM

That Texas swing is *wild.* And continues to show that Biden’s got a decent shot at winning it. (Also wild.)

Not to nitpick, but this is Biden’s 14th poll showing a lead in Texas all cycle.

The possibility becomes even higher when you consider how in recent years Democrats have outperformed polling in Texas (polls had Hillary losing by 12 and she lost by 9, Cruz beat Beto by 2.5 points when polls had him at 7, Abbot winning by 13 when polls showed him up 17).

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ultraviolet
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #29 on: July 28, 2020, 09:02:20 AM »

Quote from: Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More on July 28, 2020, 06:50:39 AM

If anything CO senate is tightening

I wouldn’t worry about it, it’s probably just an outlier. The race isn’t even close.

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Sir Mohamed
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #30 on: July 28, 2020, 09:26:32 AM »

Actually imagine a result like this:

✓ Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 325 EVs.; 51.6%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 213 EVs.; 46.2%

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Storr
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #31 on: July 28, 2020, 10:36:17 AM »

Quote from: Trained Marxist Apostate on July 28, 2020, 07:33:58 AM

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 28, 2020, 05:14:00 AM

F****** Ohio. Angry

Imagine telling someone during the Dubya era that 12 years later Texas would be polling to the left of Ohio.

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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #32 on: July 28, 2020, 10:58:31 AM »

I would very happily take these as the final results.

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skbl17
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #33 on: July 28, 2020, 01:37:08 PM »

Just want to point out that there's an error on the polls page. The actual poll for Georgia is Biden+1, but it was entered as Trump+1 into the site's poll tracker.

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TrendsareUsuallyReal
TrendsareReal
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #34 on: July 28, 2020, 01:39:03 PM »

Quote from: skbl17 on July 28, 2020, 01:37:08 PM

Just want to point out that there's an error on the polls page. The actual poll for Georgia is Biden+1, but it was entered as Trump+1 into the site's poll tracker.

Because it JUST ISNT THERE YET!

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #35 on: July 28, 2020, 02:47:15 PM »

Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 28, 2020, 09:26:32 AM

Actually imagine a result like this:

✓ Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 325 EVs.; 51.6%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 213 EVs.; 46.2%

MN hasnt voted to the right of the nation since 1972, stop with this MN going R talk.

Pawlenty won, in MN, was due to his friendship with Obama, just like Ehrich beat Omalley, both were mavericks

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tagimaucia
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #36 on: July 28, 2020, 03:25:40 PM »

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 28, 2020, 02:47:15 PM

Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 28, 2020, 09:26:32 AM

Actually imagine a result like this:

✓ Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)/Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA): 325 EVs.; 51.6%
President Donald Trump (R-FL)/Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN): 213 EVs.; 46.2%

MN hasnt voted to the right of the nation since 1972, stop with this MN going R talk.

Pawlenty won, in MN, was due to his friendship with Obama, just like Ehrich beat Omalley, both were mavericks

Uh, MN voted to the right of the nation in 2016. I think Biden will probably win by double digits this fall, but I also think that in the near future, MN is going to be a true swing state/bellwether. Hope I'm wrong!

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Progressive Pessimist
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #37 on: July 28, 2020, 06:55:17 PM »

Sunbelt supremacy!

I just wish that Minnesota result wasn't so odd.

Quote from: Trained Marxist Apostate on July 28, 2020, 07:33:58 AM

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 28, 2020, 05:14:00 AM

F****** Ohio. Angry

Well, maybe you'll get some solace out of your state potentially losing its bellwether status. I know I will. But, in fairness, Biden has led in polls of the Buckeye state on occasion. It's not going full Iowa and stubbornly, consistently clinging to Trump by only a point or so.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #38 on: July 28, 2020, 06:57:51 PM »

I doubt TX would go D before IA and OH, given how vulnerable Ernst is compared to Cornyn. TX is a 2nd tier battleground, IA is a swing state

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AGA
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #39 on: July 28, 2020, 07:14:35 PM »

More evidence that Georgia is at least as likely to flip as North Carolina.

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Yoda
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Posts: 3,123

Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #40 on: July 28, 2020, 11:51:50 PM »

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 28, 2020, 05:14:00 AM

So annoying they didn't poll Maine.

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Yoda
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Posts: 3,123

Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #41 on: July 28, 2020, 11:53:21 PM »

Quote from: Trained Marxist Apostate on July 28, 2020, 07:33:58 AM

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 28, 2020, 05:14:00 AM

F****** Ohio. Angry

Yeh, what a disappointment.

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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Re: Morning Consult: Biden +7 in AZ, +13 in CO, +1 in GA, +10 in MI, tied in NC

« Reply #42 on: July 29, 2020, 12:50:16 PM »

The Georgia number was entered into the database wrong (should be Biden +1). Wiz_in_Wis and/or Dave Leip please fix!

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