Sedgwick County, KS-Progress Campaign: Bollier +2, Kobach +4 in primary
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  Sedgwick County, KS-Progress Campaign: Bollier +2, Kobach +4 in primary
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Author Topic: Sedgwick County, KS-Progress Campaign: Bollier +2, Kobach +4 in primary  (Read 725 times)
Pollster
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« on: July 26, 2020, 09:33:00 PM »

Link

June 29-July 3, 2020

Bollier 46
Kobach 44
Other/Don't Know 10

R Primary:

Kobach 38
Marshall 34
Hamilton 11
Other/Don't Know 17

2018 gubernatorial primary here was Kobach 46/37 over Colyer.

Was Trump 54/39 in 2016, third parties did exceptionally well here.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2020, 10:03:22 PM »
« Edited: July 26, 2020, 10:07:21 PM by MT Treasurer »

Laury Kelly won this by 6 (48/42) over Kobach in 2018 while winning statewide by 5 (48/43). Even if Kobach does better in the rural parts of the state than in 2018, this is yet another sign that the race is very much winnable for Democrats, not that that’s particularly surprising.
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WD
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2020, 10:05:04 PM »

Laury Kelly won this by 5 (48/43) over Kobach in 2018. Even if Kobach does better in the rural parts of the state than in 2018, this is yet another sign that the race is very much winnable for Democrats, not that that’s particularly surprising.

Yeah but muh kansas hasn’t elected a Dem Senator since the 30s. Safe R imo tbh
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2020, 10:12:42 PM »

Yep, KS, MT, MO can trend D, just like MO and MT did in 2012 PE year. Hopefully,  we will SC and TX
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #4 on: July 27, 2020, 07:43:27 AM »

That’s about the margin I’d expect her to win Sedgwick by against Kobach. The Senate map in such a race probably looks almost identical to the 2018 gubernatorial map with only Crawford County and maybe Harvey County flipping.
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Left Wing
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« Reply #5 on: August 10, 2020, 10:13:13 PM »

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