AZ-NBC/Marist: Kelly (D) up 12 (user search)
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  AZ-NBC/Marist: Kelly (D) up 12 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-NBC/Marist: Kelly (D) up 12  (Read 1075 times)
jdk
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« on: July 27, 2020, 05:12:07 AM »

Looking at some of the crosstabs (including that more Republicans took part in the poll), this doesn't look good for Trump at all. If he's losing Arizona by 5 even if it's in the margin of error, then McConnell seriously better be thinking of pursuing the Bob Dole strategy. ("Hey, we know you don't like Trump, and that's ok. Feel free to vote for Biden but you should vote for us to keep power in the Senate so that Biden doesn't have free reign over the government. Vote for us to be a check on Biden.") Granted, we don't know how well that'll work with an incumbent, but at this point, they really need to start to thinking of other strategies than just appealing to Trump.

The problem with that is the base is so loyal to Trump at this point that if the GOP ends up throwing him under the bus to salvage the senate and other downballot races, it's likely that a significant portion will get mad and refuse to vote for any Republicans downballot.
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