CNN/SSRS: Biden leads in MI by 12, FL by 5, AZ by 4
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  CNN/SSRS: Biden leads in MI by 12, FL by 5, AZ by 4
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Author Topic: CNN/SSRS: Biden leads in MI by 12, FL by 5, AZ by 4  (Read 2250 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: July 26, 2020, 07:13:45 AM »

CNN/SSRS state polls, July 18-24

Michigan (927 RV):

Biden 52
Trump 40


Florida (880 RV):

Biden 51
Trump 46


Arizona (873 RV):

Biden 49
Trump 45
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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: July 26, 2020, 07:16:54 AM »

100 more days till we're rid of this national nightmare.

100 more days till la commedia e finita
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2020, 07:18:10 AM »

Watching John King on CNN discussing the numbers right now.  The specifics are more serious for Trump.  Dropping an average of 20 points with white college educated voters and about 15 points with women.

Trump's brand is simply done with these voter blocs.  Only events in the next 100 days that are beyond control can save him in November.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2020, 07:19:02 AM »

Hooray, a Florida poll that matches what we all believe it should show.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: July 26, 2020, 07:22:41 AM »

In mid-August 2016, CNN had Trump ahead of Clinton by 5 in AZ and by 4 in FL.

CNN didn't poll MI in 2016.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2020, 09:08:11 AM »

It's nice to see a Florida polling lining up with what I am seeing and hearing on ground with the party as well
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #6 on: July 26, 2020, 12:18:19 PM »

It's nice to see a Florida polling lining up with what I am seeing and hearing on ground with the party as well

You live there so if you had to guess, who wins?
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: July 26, 2020, 01:50:27 PM »

good for trump
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brucejoel99
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« Reply #8 on: July 26, 2020, 03:51:08 PM »

IIRC weren't there earlier CNN polls that had Biden higher than +5/+4 in FL & AZ? If so, then I hope it's not tightening.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #9 on: July 26, 2020, 04:06:04 PM »

IIRC weren't there earlier CNN polls that had Biden higher than +5/+4 in FL & AZ? If so, then I hope it's not tightening.

I don't find any earlier CNN polls for the Biden-Trump matchup in either state.
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here2view
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« Reply #10 on: July 26, 2020, 05:15:26 PM »

Looks good, Trump appears to be getting the Goya bump finally.
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Hammy
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2020, 05:20:21 PM »

IIRC weren't there earlier CNN polls that had Biden higher than +5/+4 in FL & AZ? If so, then I hope it's not tightening.

It's obviously going to tighten as the number of undecideds drop, as that's why they were wrong last time. But I'm less concerned this year as there isn't enough room for Trump to make up the difference in most of these even if he gets all of them.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2020, 05:41:41 PM »
« Edited: July 26, 2020, 06:14:13 PM by Bidenworth2020 »

IIRC weren't there earlier CNN polls that had Biden higher than +5/+4 in FL & AZ? If so, then I hope it's not tightening.

It's obviously going to tighten as the number of undecideds drop, as that's why they were wrong last time. But I'm less concerned this year as there isn't enough room for Trump to make up the difference in most of these even if he gets all of them.
Yeah, these CNN polls are actually the best I have seen for Biden in weeks, because all but the Arizona poll have him over 50. Once he cracks 50, undecideds are irrelevant.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2020, 05:49:57 PM »

Looks good, Trump appears to be getting the Goya bump finally.

Nah, jobs bump I think.  Took awhile to hit Florida.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2020, 06:33:07 PM »

Fairly in line with expectations. I can't complain about these results.
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2020, 03:24:20 AM »

Michigan a little high for my UNS swingometer - but Florida and Arizona points to around Biden +10 on UNS, which is believable.
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#TheShadowyAbyss
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« Reply #16 on: July 27, 2020, 06:09:03 PM »

It's nice to see a Florida polling lining up with what I am seeing and hearing on ground with the party as well

You live there so if you had to guess, who wins?

Biden, simply because he is doing much better with white voters than Hillary did, he's currently at Gillum/Nelson margins in the polls.
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emailking
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« Reply #17 on: July 27, 2020, 07:13:44 PM »

Yeah, these CNN polls are actually the best I have seen for Biden in weeks, because all but the Arizona poll have him over 50. Once he cracks 50, undecideds are irrelevant.

Well if the 50 is right they are but everything has a MOE.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #18 on: July 27, 2020, 07:28:30 PM »

Much as I would expect.
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