What happened in Texas in 2016?

[Arbitrage1980]

Romney won TX by 15.8% while Trump won it by 9%. Why did Trump drop so much? Loss of suburban white support in Dallas and Houston? Angry Cruz voters not voting for Trump?

[darklordoftech]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

[BaldEagle1991]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

Also Houston and Dallas are among the most ethnically diverse cities in the nation. Whites in these areas were less receptive to Trump's "build a wall" promise. 

[Clarko95 📚💰📈]

Turnout went up. Trump gained 100k raw votes over Romney in 2012, while Clinton won 600k more votes than Obama.

Same story in Florida, with Clinton gaining 300k votes over Obama and Trump 500k over Romney in 2012.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

Also Houston and Dallas are among the most ethnically diverse cities in the nation. Whites in these areas were less receptive to Trump's "build a wall" promise. 

"BUILD THE WALL" might be an appealing idea to a hardcore Ohio Trumpist, but it's a much different story for an equally-conservative rancher whose livelihood would be greatly disrupted by government-imposed construction. 

[Crumpets]

Turnout went up. Trump gained 100k raw votes over Romney in 2012, while Clinton won 600k more votes than Obama.

Same story in Florida, with Clinton gaining 300k votes over Obama and Trump 500k over Romney in 2012.

Not just turnout, but Texas is one of the fastest growing states in the country. Some of those votes were just people who didn't live in Texas in 2012 and moved there before 2016.

[DINGO Joe]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

Also Houston and Dallas are among the most ethnically diverse cities in the nation. Whites in these areas were less receptive to Trump's "build a wall" promise. 

"BUILD THE WALL" might be an appealing idea to a hardcore Ohio Trumpist, but it's a much different story for an equally-conservative rancher whose livelihood would be greatly disrupted by government-imposed construction. 

Oh, while it would be an inconvenience for ranchers, I don't think they were the profession or demographic accounting for the shift towards the Ds

[One Term Floridian]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

Also Houston and Dallas are among the most ethnically diverse cities in the nation. Whites in these areas were less receptive to Trump's "build a wall" promise. 

"BUILD THE WALL" might be an appealing idea to a hardcore Ohio Trumpist, but it's a much different story for an equally-conservative rancher whose livelihood would be greatly disrupted by government-imposed construction. 

I’ve always thought this could have been a good reason why Trump’s margin was cut down from Romney’s. Probably isn’t though since Trump actually managed to improve all along the border with Mexico... could still ring true for some isolated border counties where Clinton narrowly improved on, however. The biggest reasons, as already noted, are the demographic shifts in the cities and major suburbs and higher turnout among these now Dem-leaning voters.

[Intell]

Suburban whites and hispanics. Very few Cruz supporters went #neverTrump.

Also Houston and Dallas are among the most ethnically diverse cities in the nation. Whites in these areas were less receptive to Trump's "build a wall" promise. 

"BUILD THE WALL" might be an appealing idea to a hardcore Ohio Trumpist, but it's a much different story for an equally-conservative rancher whose livelihood would be greatly disrupted by government-imposed construction. 

Oh, while it would be an inconvenience for ranchers, I don't think they were the profession or demographic accounting for the shift towards the Ds

and it doesn’t account for the Latino border counties that swung to trump