Trump Won 87 of the 100 Fastest Growing Counties in 2016
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  Trump Won 87 of the 100 Fastest Growing Counties in 2016
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Author Topic: Trump Won 87 of the 100 Fastest Growing Counties in 2016  (Read 974 times)
RINO Tom
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« on: July 25, 2020, 06:43:23 PM »

After seeing that Bush had won 97 of the 100 fastest growing counties in 2004, I decided to use this link...

https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html

... to match the fastest growing counties from 2010-2019 with 2016 results.  In what might be surprising given our current narrative, Trump won 85 of the 100 fastest growing counties in the nation.  Of the top 20, he won 18.  Does this surprise anyone?  Personally, I think there is ample evidence that newer, faster growing suburbs are inherently more conservative than older suburbs of a more urban character, and exurban areas are actually usually some of the most dynamic and fastest growing communities, so this doesn't seem THAT surprising.  Here is the top ten:

1. McKenzie, ND: Trump 78.55%, Clinton 14.94%
2. Loving, TX: Trump 89.23%, Clinton 6.15%
3. Williams, ND: Trump 78.62%, Clinton 13.55%
4. Hays, TX: Trump 46.87%, Clinton 46.04%
5. Wasatch, UT: Trump 50.45%, Clinton 25.27%
6. Comal, TX: Trump 72.59%, Clinton 22.90%
7. Trousdale, TN: Trump 66.55%, Clinton 29.94%
8. Kendall, TX: Trump 78.03%, Kendall 18.11%
9. Sumter, FL: Trump 68.78%, Clinton 29.53%
10. Dallas, IA: Trump 50.56%, Clinton 41.05%
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2020, 06:49:17 PM »

"Does this surprise anyone?"

I mean. Don't tell me you were not surprised to see LOVING COUNTY TX in second place on that list.
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2020, 07:59:12 PM »

Well, fast-growing counties are usually rural low-population areas that have had some weird local event (ND oil boom) or are beginning to see suburbia creep in. So no, it's not surprising.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2020, 08:10:48 PM »

After seeing that Bush had won 97 of the 100 fastest growing counties in 2004, I decided to use this link...

https://www.census.gov/data/datasets/time-series/demo/popest/2010s-counties-total.html

... to match the fastest growing counties from 2010-2019 with 2016 results.  In what might be surprising given our current narrative, Trump won 85 of the 100 fastest growing counties in the nation.  Of the top 20, he won 18.  Does this surprise anyone?  Personally, I think there is ample evidence that newer, faster growing suburbs are inherently more conservative than older suburbs of a more urban character, and exurban areas are actually usually some of the most dynamic and fastest growing communities, so this doesn't seem THAT surprising.  Here is the top ten:

1. McKenzie, ND: Trump 78.55%, Clinton 14.94%
2. Loving, TX: Trump 89.23%, Clinton 6.15%
3. Williams, ND: Trump 78.62%, Clinton 13.55%
4. Hays, TX: Trump 46.87%, Clinton 46.04%
5. Wasatch, UT: Trump 50.45%, Clinton 25.27%
6. Comal, TX: Trump 72.59%, Clinton 22.90%
7. Trousdale, TN: Trump 66.55%, Clinton 29.94%
8. Kendall, TX: Trump 78.03%, Kendall 18.11%
9. Sumter, FL: Trump 68.78%, Clinton 29.53%
10. Dallas, IA: Trump 50.56%, Clinton 41.05%

Perhaps this might be more relevant if we look at the same data and swings from '12 > '16 PRES GE?

Exurban areas should almost be their own categories since ultimately massive shifts in large Metro Areas will differ dramatically depending upon how extensively the outer-periphery is connected to the "Inner Periphery" and then down to the "Core".

Apologies for using "Marxist" Sociological concepts to explain shifts in various Metro Areas which we started to observe in certain parts of the Country starting in '88 with inner suburban voters in parts of the Western US... but it's all real and now we are seeing even suburban/exurban areas swinging hard DEM, even in places that perhaps might be unexpected....
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DINGO Joe
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2020, 08:15:35 PM »

Well, outer suburbs tend to be whiter as there's always been an element of scared whitey fleeing to the burbs.  Of the actual suburban counties on the list, how many swung towards Hillary?  Obviously, Hays and Dallas did as did Comal and Kendall.  Biden will win Hays this time and even Dallas looks likely.
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