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March 29, 2024, 03:31:04 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #50 on: January 29, 2021, 01:55:33 AM »

POLL RESULTS: TED AHEAD, YT NEEDS UNDECIDEDS TO WIN


Results from the GCS poll show a decent lead for Ted/Scott, but good amounts of undecideds mean that the race is no where near decided.

With undecided (44 responses)
Ted/Scott: 50.0%
YT/Jimmy: 34.1%
Sev/OBD (write-in): 4.5%
Undecided: 11.4%

Without undecided (43 responses)
Ted/Scott: 58.1%
YT/Jimmy: 37.2%
Sev/OBD (write-in): 4.7%
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SevenEleven
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« Reply #51 on: January 29, 2021, 04:11:01 PM »

Momentum is on my side!
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #52 on: March 01, 2021, 01:59:40 PM »
« Edited: March 01, 2021, 02:05:31 PM by Chair WB »

CRYSTAL CLEAR PREDICTIONS
By the Gulf Coast Sun

Taking a number of factors into account, including popularity, amount of campaigning, and quality of campaigning, the GCS is glad to put out the first gubernatorial predictions map, this one being the February Gubernatorial Races!



AL: LEAN DA (FLIP from FED)
AZ: TILT LAB
CO: LEAN FED (FLIP from LAB)
IL: LEAN LAB
MD: LEAN FED (FLIP from LAB)
NH: LEAN DA (FLIP from LAB)
RI: SAFE DA
VA: SAFE FED
WA: SAFE LAB

NYC: LEAN FED

Overall Predicted # of Govs:
LAB: 25 (-3)
FED: 15 (+1)
DA: 12 (+2)
PAX: 3 (+/- 0)
LIB: 2 (+/- 0)
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #53 on: March 01, 2021, 02:06:13 PM »

THE TEXAN CRIME FAMILY IS STEALING THE ELECTION THE TEXAN CRIME FAMILY IS STEALING THE ELECTION WE WANT OUR FREEDOM FOR THE WORLD GIVE US OUR FREEDOM YOUNG TEXAN THEY'RE STEALING IT!!!1!!11!!
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #54 on: March 01, 2021, 02:08:30 PM »

THE TEXAN CRIME FAMILY IS STEALING THE ELECTION THE TEXAN CRIME FAMILY IS STEALING THE ELECTION WE WANT OUR FREEDOM FOR THE WORLD GIVE US OUR FREEDOM YOUNG TEXAN THEY'RE STEALING IT!!!1!!11!!
The Gulf Coast Sun does not take donations (and if we did we would not take them from notorious crime families) and aims to be non-partisan. Can Fremont say the same??!!
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Joseph Cao
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« Reply #55 on: March 02, 2021, 12:46:04 AM »

Personally, I don't think Feds are any better than tossups in any of this month's states. I fully expect at least two of our incumbents to lose, and Labor making it close (or outright winning) Alabama isn't out of the question.

Just as with the last time these states were up, Labor probably does far better than anyone expects.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #56 on: March 02, 2021, 12:58:33 AM »

Personally, I don't think Feds are any better than tossups in any of this month's states. I fully expect at least two of our incumbents to lose, and Labor making it close (or outright winning) Alabama isn't out of the question.

Just as with the last time these states were up, Labor probably does far better than anyone expects.
This took into account the popularity of incumbents and the fact that RCV is a thing. VA’s fed governor has high popularity, MD’s Labor gov has low popularity etc
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« Reply #57 on: March 02, 2021, 12:59:35 AM »

I would disagree on CO though, the popularity was bad for Labor but the dominated the ground game.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #58 on: March 05, 2021, 04:58:14 AM »
« Edited: March 05, 2021, 03:34:46 PM by Chair WB »

SPECIAL ELECTION ISSUE!

FRIDAY, MARCH 5, 2021

Local Elections See Some Stagnation, Some Gains for Libs and DA (IN DEPTH ANALYSIS, PART 1)
By Weatherboy


This past weekend saw another round of local elections, this time showed the voters' verdicts on incumbent governments elected last July. The results? The big parties are losing some support, as are the very smallest ones, while DA, Peace, and the Liberals made gains. Although in most cases this did not swing chambers or governor's mansions, it is a pattern that may be seen nationwide as more elections are held. Let's go state-by-state and analyze the results.

Coalition tickets use combined %s from July for the increase/decrease.
Some candidate names and backgrounds have been fabricated to give this story better value.


COLORADO
LAB+PAX+B&B: 45% (+2%), 56 MPs (-7LAB, +11PAX) 23 Sens (-2LAB, +4 PAX)
FED: 28% (-3%), 31 MP(-6), 14 S (-3)
LIB: 16% (+11%), 8 MP (+7), 8 S (+6)
DA: 11% (+/- 0%), 5 MP (-2), 5 S (-1)
Others: 0% (-10%), 0 MP (-2), 0 S (-4)

The Labor-Peace Alliance, forged towards the end of the campaign, proved to be successful for Peace, seeing them make large gains and a big say over policy. This coincided with a drop in Labor's representation, something that analysts say was due to Gov. McCringleberry's extremely poor tenure, one that saw him be forced out by party leaders in a primary in favor of State Senator Henrique Teller. However a lack of a majority for the LAB-PAX coalition in the State Senate may prove to be an issue as they likely will have to work with either the Liberals or DA, whereas in July they could work with the Greens.

The Liberals, as they have shown time and time again, continue to punch above their weight, something that will show as we go through more results.

State Sen. Teller defeated the Federalist Candidate, State Senator Antonia Curtis in the final round.

WASHINGTON
LAB+PAX+B&B: 50% (+/- 0%), 87 MP (-13 LAB, +17 PAX), 31 S (-7 LAB, +8 PAX)
LIB: 22% (+18%), 14 MP (+14), 13 S (+13)
DA: 15% (-6%), 10 MP (-7), 8 S (-6)
FED: 13% (+3%), 9 MP (+/- 0), 8 S (+1)
Others: 0% (-15%), 0 MP (-11), 0 S (-7)

Washington saw little serious competition, a fact mirrored by the results, although the Liberals made a massive jump up to second, something that has made DA officials in Fremont annoyed at the lack of attention this race got. In the end, Gov. Cameron Whitfield narrowly got a majority on round 1, avoiding a final round, likely with Liberal candidate and Spokane City Councillor Edward Bates.

ARIZONA
LAB+PAX+B&B: 54% (+13%), 68 MP (+2 LAB, +7 PAX), 33 S (+5 LAB, +2 PAX)
DA: 21% (-1%), 26 MP (-2), 13 S (-2)
FED: 13% (-6%), 15 MP (-9),
LIB: 12% (+9%), 11 MP (+11), 7 S (+7)
Others: 0% (-15%), 0 MP (-9), 0 S (-6)

Despite a serious strong push by DA in Arizona, their momentum was hamstrung and even reversed by concentrated Labor efforts in probably the nastiest race in this cycle. DA's rail plans for the Phoenix metro did cause them to see gains in the area, but it's believed the concentration on this one issue saw them hemorrhage support from elsewhere in the state, leading to a net loss. Governor Emilio Rafael defeated DA candidate and Fmr. Maricopa City (Not to be confused with Maricopa County) Sherriff Kayne Arpiao in the first round.

ALABAMA
FED: 44% (-4%), 52 Reps (-8), 17 Sen (-4)
DA+AFP: 28% (+3%), 30 R (+3), 10 S (+2)
LAB+PAX: 21% (+2%) 20 R (LAB+2, PAX+2), 7 S (+1 LAB, +/- 0 PAX)
LIB: 7% (+5%), 6R (+6), 1S (+1)
Others: 0% (-6%) 0 R (-2), 0 S (+/- 0)

In DA's strongest performance outside of Rhode Island, they gained Alabama from the incumbent Federalist Governor. A combination of a focus on local issues, several speeches by DA Chair WB, and the incumbent's unpopularity saw this turn into another Georgia situation, where despite Labor's attacks against DA elsewhere, they seem to agree that they're better than the Federalists.

In a shocking press conference, Dr. Andrew Kimball, the Governor-Elect, said he would be "Open to a broad coalition between the Democratic Alliance, the Liberals, Peace, and Labor", if "such an agreement could be made". This signifies a serious shift in DA policy in the past, that seemed to focus more on taking power from Labor. Whether this was simply Kimball's decision or if this signifies a national shift in DA strategy is unknown.

Dr. Andrew Kimball beat out incumbent Federalist Governor Jerry "Jay" Jefferson, 51-49 in the final round.

That concludes our in-depth coverage for now, but the next issue will include the remaining states, and a look at what went on there.


Questions? Praise? Hate? Direct it to the link below!
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Joseph Cao
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« Reply #59 on: March 05, 2021, 12:31:49 PM »
« Edited: March 05, 2021, 12:56:36 PM by Representative Joseph Cao »

State Sen. Teller defeated the Federalist Candidate, Breckenridge Mayor Lawrence Read in the final round.

In the interests of consistency, and as per an earlier discussion with OBD over his map, the Federalist nominee in Colorado was state Senator Antonia Curtis.
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
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« Reply #60 on: March 07, 2021, 06:45:21 AM »
« Edited: March 07, 2021, 06:52:33 AM by Chair WB »

SPECIAL ELECTION ISSUE!

SUNDAY, MARCH7, 2021

Local Elections See Some Stagnation, Some Gains for Libs and DA (IN DEPTH ANALYSIS, PART 2)
By Weatherboy


We continue our in-depth analysis of the Local elections where we left off.

VIRGINIA
FED: 38% (+5%), 42R (+2), 17S (+1)
LAB+PAX: 34% (-2%), 38R (-9 LAB, +8 PAX) 15S (-4 LAB, +3 PAX)
DA: 20% (-1%), 18R (-1), 7S (-1)
LIB: 8% (+6%), 2R (+2), 1S (+1)
Others: 0% (-8%), 0R (-2), 0S (+/- 0)

In a mostly stagnant change in this state, Virginia delivered a decent victory to the Federalists, while LAB+PAX lost ground as did the DA, although both not by much. The Liberals once again jumped up in the polls, but not too much in this state. Governor Emily DeSantis defeated Labor State Representative Billy Ling "Bing" Larsen, 55-44 in the final round.

MARYLAND
LAB+PAX: 49% (-6%), 95R (-22 LAB, +18 PAX), 30S (-7LAB, +6PAX)
FED: 21% (+5%), 21R (+2), 7S (+/- 0)
DA: 19% (-3%), 19R (-6), 7S (-2)
LIB: 11% (+8%), 6R (+6), 3S (+3)
Others: 0% (-4%), 0R (+/- 0%), 0S (+/- 0)

In a state that many considered very winnable for non-Labor parties, it seems that once again a state ignored by most of the campaign was mostly static, although LAB+PAX lost a good bit of ground after a number of botched legislative proposals. Nonetheless, Governor McBongos won handily, 59-41, over Federalist candidate and restaurant owner Gerald Bartlett.

ILLINOIS
LAB+PAX: 51% (+/- 0%), 60R (-12LAB, +10PAX), 40S (-6LAB, +8PAX)
FED: 27% (+7%), 32R (+7), 13S (+/- 0)
DA: 12% (-3%), 14R (-5), 4S (-3)
LIB: 10% (+5%), 12R (+7), 2S (+2)
Others: 0% (-8%), 0R (-7), 0S (-1)

Illinois was, all things considered, actually quite a shockingly bad result for Labor as Gov. Antonio Gaviotti was quite popular. It's believed that a strong ground game from Rep. Joseph Cao in the state allowed the Federalists to nearly force the Governor into a runoff with State Representative Michael "The Fortress" Stoneman. The DA seemingly left the state to Cao, hoping to unseat the incumbent governor as well, but this did not pan out.

RHODE ISLAND
DA: 45% (+9%), 36R (+6), 20S (+5)
LAB+PAX: 28% (-10%), 24R (-10LAB, +5PAX), 10S (-6LAB, +2PAX)
LIB: 14% (+9%), 8R (+3), 4S (+2)
FED: 13% (-4%), 7R (-4), 4S (-3)
Others: 0% (-4%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

A big win for DA, in this state was no surprise. Rhode Island, led by Governor Gwen Harper, has been a "shining example of what DA governance should be like", as  Chairman WB said after the election. The state's local transportation initiatives, urban development schemes, and education system have been extremely successful under Harper's leadership. Narrowly winning over Laborite Central Falls Mayor Jerry Kerry in July, she trounced him in a rematch 64-36 in the final round this time. The only disappointment among the DA ranks is the lack of a state house majority, falling 2 seats short.

NEW HAMPSHIRE
LAB+PAX: 42% (-18%), 145R (-153LAB, +36PAX), 12S (-4LAB, +2PAX)
LIB: 24% (+10%), 94R (+39), 5S (+2)
DA: 23% (+13%), 91R (+60), 5S (+3)
FED: 11% (-2%), 34R (-18), 2S (-1)
Others: 0% (-3%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

After what many called "A disaster" of a governorship, Governor Mary Kelly was defeated narrowly in her bid for re-election. However the election was in the air for a few days afterwards, requiring a recount as Liberal State Rep. Evelyn Roberts narrowly bested DA candidate and Plaistow Mayor Jerry Pearson, and then went on to narrowly best Governor Kelly 50-49. Despite the narrow gubernatorial loss, DA has much to celebrate after gaining more than double digits in the state, though it is unclear which coalition may occur in the state, but almost any one would require the DA's support.

NEW YORK CITY
Lewis Silver (FED): 41% (+10%)
Andy Phillips (LIB): 23% (+1%)
Geraldo Ocasio Cortez-Masto (LAB-PAX): 22% (-1%)
Andy Yin (DA): 13% (-2%)
Terry "The Cowboy" Young (YTC): 0% (+/- 0%)
Others: 0% (-5%)

Lewis Silver was elected by a small margin back in July, and cut it close once again despite his popularity, beating out Manhattan Borough Councilor Andy Phillips 50-49 in the final round. Despite Labor's base of support being mixed between large cities and rural areas, New York seems to not be amicable to them, with them losing support despite merging 2 major parties and 1 regional one in the same ticket.

Taking a step back and looking nationally, we see Labor losing support or remaining stagnant in every non-Fremont state except Alabama, Liberals surging in all states, and DA and the Federalists having a mixed bag, especially with DA as they lost a moderate amount of support in Fremont but gained much in Alabama and New England.

What can we say for the next set of elections?

DA will likely be on defense, after pulling off the "Great Lakes Sweep" of Michigan, Indiana, and Wisconsin in August, they will have to keep these seats they narrowly gained. Miami, a close election as well, will also be up, and DA may have some issues holding that one too.

Labor will likely be attempting to grab these states, although it is possible they could be stuck attempting to defend a state such as Alaska, with rumors of WB in talks with former Greens to get their public support for DA, something that would put the state in play with 22% Green support in August.

The Federalists may be content with simply attempting to hold Puerto Rico, and possibly gaining Miami, but this is uncertain.

The Liberals, although certain to campaign everywhere, are likely to also focus on the midwest, having large levels of support there in August.


Questions? Praise? Hate? Direct it to the link below!
https://forms.gle/1ezLgR3G6Fwx6g99A


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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
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« Reply #61 on: March 07, 2021, 06:56:45 AM »

Lumine has already indicated that Labor got the vast majority of Green members after dissolution. Still, I heavily anticipate another generic "Labor bad" campaign in Alaska, complete with alternative facts like that we haven't done anything about the Alaska Permanent Fund despite that we literally bailed it out under my premiership so that Alaska wouldn't be forced to make steep cuts to its public university system, as what happened IRL.
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« Reply #62 on: March 07, 2021, 07:21:35 AM »

Lumine has already indicated that Labor got the vast majority of Green members after dissolution. Still, I heavily anticipate another generic "Labor bad" campaign in Alaska, complete with alternative facts like that we haven't done anything about the Alaska Permanent Fund despite that we literally bailed it out under my premiership so that Alaska wouldn't be forced to make steep cuts to its public university system, as what happened IRL.
I can tell you now that we do not have any plans to do such a thing. I anticipate our positive campaigning will be met with calls of the "Dishonest Alliance" once more, but perhaps you will surprise me. Smiley
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GM Team Member and Senator WB
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #63 on: May 27, 2021, 03:22:24 PM »


THURSDAY, MAY 27 2021

I'm Doing You A Service, Dammit: Differences From Previous Local Elections (Part 1: March)
By Weatherboy



While we wait for final results to come back from May's round of elections, let's see where March and April put everyone, though we won't go too in-depth like we did last time, just looking at the numbers:

ALASKA
LAB+PAX: 35% (+/- 0), 17MP (-2), 7S (-1)
LIB: 35% (+29%), 15MP (+15), 8S (+7)
DA: 26% (+/- 0%), 7MP (-6), 5S (+/- 0)
FED: 4% (-8%), 1MP (-1), 0S (-2)
Others: 0% (-21%), 0MP (-5), 0S (-4)

CALIFORNIA
LAB+PAX: 51% (+/- 0), 279MP (-50), 125S (-1)
LIB: 26% (+21%), 130MP (+130), 70S (+57)
DA: 19% (-6%), 71MP (-52), 63S (-17)
FED: 4% (-6%), 20MP (-7), 9S (-16)
Others: 0% (-9%), 0MP (-21), 0S (-23)

SOUTH DAKOTA
LAB+PAX: 60% (+7%), 35MP (+4), 15S (+2)
LIB: 20% (+13%), 9MP (+9), 5S (+3)
DA: 17% (-5%), 5MP (-10), 5S (-1)
FED: 3% (-3%), 1MP (+1), 0S (-1)
Others: 0% (-12%), 0MP (-4), 0S (-3)

PUERTO RICO
FED: 45% (+9%), 25R (+5), 16S (+4)
DA: 39% (+16%), 20R (+8), 8S (+/- 0)
LIB: 8% (-2%), 3R (-1), 3S (+1)
LAB+PAX: 8% (-22%), 3R (-12), 3S (-6)
Others: 0% (-3%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

NYMAN
FED: 48% (+12%), 7C (+2)
LAB+PAX: 33% (+3%), 4C (+/- 0)
DA: 14% (-10%), 2C (-1)
LIB: 5% (-3%), 0C (-1)
Others: 0% (-2%), 0C (+/- 0)

OKLAHOMA
FED: 45% (+5%), 50R (+4), 25S (+4)
LAB+PAX: 36% (-2%), 32R (+13), 18S (+/- 0)
DA: 15% (-4%), 14R (-2), 5S (-4)
LIB: 4% (+1%), 5R (+5), 0S (+/- 0)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

SOUTH CAROLINA
DA: 45% (-17%), 65R (-20), 23S (-10)
FED: 31% (+10%), 31R (+4), 13S (+4)
LAB+PAX: 15% (+2%), 19R (+7), 6S (+2)
LIB: 7% (-2%), 9R (+9), 4S (+4)
Others: 0% (-2%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

MIAMI
Bernando Perez (FED): 42% (+8%)
Maria Diaz: 40% (+6%)
Julius Castro (LAB): 16% (-4%)
Martin Howard (LIB): 2% (-7%)
Others: 0% (-3%)

MICHIGAN
DA: 38% (-6%), 42R (-5), 14S (-3)
FED: 30% (-3%), 33R (-3), 13S (+/- 0)
LIB: 18% (+5%), 20R (+8), 6S (+1)
LAB+PAX: 14% (+7%), 15R (+10), 5S (+2)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

INDIANA
LIB: 36% (+20%), 43R (+30), 22S (+17)
FED: 30% (+2%), 25R (-6), 11S (-5)
DA: 28% (-3%), 25R (-11), 12S (-6)
LAB+PAX: 6% (-18%), 7R (-13), 5S (-6)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

WISCONSIN
FED: 34% (+8%), 33R (+5), 11S (+3)
DA: 31% (+2%), 31R (-1), 11S (+/- 0)
LIB: 20% (+4%), 20R (+8), 6S (+/- 0)
LAB+PAX: 15% (+-12%), 15R (-12), 5S (-3)
Others: 0% (-2%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

OVERALL FOR MARCH:
LAB+PAX: 615 State Legislators (-68) GAIN OK-GOV
DA: 428 State Legislators (-141) LOSE IN-GOV, WI-GOV, MIA-MAYOR
LIB: 378 State Legislators (+302) GAIN IN-GOV
FED: 324 State Legislators (-13) GAIN WI-GOV, MIA-MAYOR, LOSE OK-GOV
Others: 0 State Legislators (-80)

Questions? Praise? Hate? Direct it to the link below!
https://forms.gle/1ezLgR3G6Fwx6g99A

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« Reply #64 on: May 27, 2021, 05:52:12 PM »


THURSDAY, MAY 27 2021

I'm Doing You A Service, Dammit: Differences From Previous Local Elections (Part 2: April)
By Weatherboy



Continuing on to April:

NORTH DAKOTA
LAB+PAX: 76% (+6%), 35MP (-8), 18S (+1)
FED: 11% (-4%), 6MP (-1), 3S (-1)
DA: 7% (+/- 0%), 5MP (+5), 2S (+/- 0)
LIB: 6% (-1%), 4MP (+4), 2S (+/- 0)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0MP (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

IDAHO
LAB+PAX: 56% (+/- 0%), 28MP (-10), 14S (-1)
LIB: 20% (+11%), 10MP (+10), 6S (+4)
DA: 12% (-4%), 6MP (+/- 0), 2S (-2)
FED: 12% (-3%), 6MP (+/- 0), 3S (-1)
Others: 0% (-4%), 0MP (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

IOWA
LAB+PAX: 49% (+10%), 41MP (+10), 21S (+6)
FED: 34% (-5%), 29MP (-3), 10S (-6)
DA: 14% (+/- 0%), 7MP (-6), 5S (-1)
LIB: 6% (-1%), 3MP (-1), 4S (+1)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0MP (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

LOS ANGELES
Earvin Johnson (LAB+PAX): 42% (-7%)
Mister Liberal (LIB): 30% (+23%)
Michael Garcia (FED): 17% (+/- 0%)
Erin G. Schiff (DA): 11% (-16%)
Others: 0% (+/- 0%)

WEST VIRGINIA
FED: 57% (+11%), 67R (+8), 19S (+/- 0)
LIB: 20% (+11%), 17R (+12), 6S (+4)
LAB+PAX: 13% (-16%), 11R (-16), 4S (-4)
DA: 10% (-5%), 5R (-4), 5S (+/- 0)
Others: 0% (-1%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

MISSISSIPPI
FED: 50% (-4%), 72R (-2), 30S (+/- 0)
DA: 31% (+17%), 29R (+14), 11S (+4)
LIB: 15% (+14%), 16R (+16), 7S (+7)
LAB+PAX: 4% (-15%), 5R (-14), 4S (-5)
Others: 0% (-12%), 0MP (-14), 0S (-6)

KANSAS
DA: 59% (+27%), 72R (+28), 27S (+12)
LIB: 25% (+17%), 30R (+23), 6S (+4)
FED: 11% (-19%), 15R (-24), 5S (-8)
LAB+PAX: 5% (-24%), 5R (-30), 2S (-8)
Others: 0% (-2%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

NORTH CAROLINA
FED: 69% (+13%), 84R (+10), 35S (+5)
LIB: 10% (+8%), 13R (+13), 5S (+5)
DA: 10% (-11%), 11R (-13), 5S (-5)
LAB+PAX: 10% (-11%), 9R (-13), 5S (-5)
Others: 0% (+/- 0%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

NEW YORK
FED: 53% (+20%), 82R (+27), 37S (+12)
LIB: 28% (+2%), 38R (+1), 17S (+2)
LAB+PAX: 10% (-15%), 15R (-18), 4S (-9)
DA: 9% (-10%), 15R (-10), 5S (-5)
Others: 0% (+/- 0%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

MASSACHUSETTS
LAB+PAX: 48% (+14%), 77R (+22), 19S (+4)
LIB: 32% (+19%), 51R (+33), 13S (+9)
DA: 12% (-14%), 19R (-23), 5S (-4)
FED: 8% (-19%), 13R (-32), 3S (-9)
Others: 0% (+/- 0%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

VIRGIN ISLANDS
DA: 36% (+3%), 9R (+/- 0), 5S (-1)
LIB: 35% (+20%), 9R (+6), 5S (+3)
LAB+PAX: 16% (-13%), 4R (-3), 2S (-2)
FED: 13% (-10%), 3R (-3), 2S (-1)
Others: 0% (+/- 0%), 0R (+/- 0), 0S (+/- 0)

OVERALL FOR APRIL:
FED: 524 State Legislators (-29) LOSE IA-GOV
LAB+PAX: 323 State Legislators (-103) GAIN IA-GOV
DA: 250 State Legislators (-11)
LIB: 239 State Legislators (+156)
Others: 0 State Legislators (-20)

GCS RATINGS FOR LOCAL ELECTIONS
By Weatherboy




Hawaii is a stand-in for Guam.

New Jersey: SAFE LAB
This election was already decided, so no real explanation needed.

Vermont: SAFE LAB
Despite Cao's early efforts, it seems likely that KaiserDave's campaign here will give Labor a solid win, and a gain.

Guam: LIKELY LIB
Although the DA did make a play for the island's governorship, it seems unlikely that it will be enough to reverse Liberal momentum.

Kentucky: LEAN DA
Though only the DA campaigned in Kentucky, numbers are fuzzy enough for us to give Governor Harlan a decent shot at re-election.

Missouri: LIKELY DA
With Fmr. Speaker and MO resident tmth campaigning extensively here, it seems likely that Springfield Mayor Adam Bronson will win.

Texas: LEAN LAB
Despite what seemed to be a strong lead, the DA's campaign here threw Labor's hopes in Texas into a spiral, creating a nasty campaign with an ad that may, or may not, have backfired on Labor. It will be interesting to see how this goes.

Wyoming: SAFE LAB
Wyoming loves Wynonna, goes the saying, and we have no reason to doubt it.

Montana: LIKELY LAB
The DA have put some effort here, but it seems likely that Governor Fuddrucker holds on. However, he may be deprived of his legislative majorities.

San Francisco: LEAN LAB
Though an alliance with the Liberals puts this city's election closer to the Likely category, DA campaigning was strong here and may see Mayor Chu ousted, or at least win by a narrow margin.

Utah: TOSSUP
Yes, the biggest battleground this cycle, right in the heart of Fremont, has seen so much activity from both Labor and the DA that it is impossible to say whether this race leans one way or the other. Whoever wins will do so by a narrow margin, and the fact that both parties held their final rallies with hard-hitting speeches in the same city shows exactly how this state is. Expect to be up late into the night, or even the next couple days, if you want to be awake for a call.

Questions? Praise? Hate? Direct it to the link below!
https://forms.gle/1ezLgR3G6Fwx6g99A

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #65 on: May 27, 2021, 06:09:35 PM »

Oh, and here's the full national numbers before this month's elections (these #s don't include NJ):

LAB+PAX: 3,444 State Legislators
FED: 2,043 State Legislators
DA: 1,459 State Legislators
LIB: 1,376 State Legislators
Others: 0 State Legislators

Executives:
LAB+PAX: 29G, 2M
FED: 12G, 4M
DA: 9G, 0M
LIB: 3G, 0M
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« Reply #66 on: May 27, 2021, 10:40:44 PM »

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« Reply #67 on: May 27, 2021, 11:17:32 PM »



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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #68 on: May 27, 2021, 11:30:56 PM »

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #69 on: May 28, 2021, 12:02:41 AM »



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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #70 on: May 28, 2021, 12:17:36 AM »

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weatherboy1102
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« Reply #71 on: May 28, 2021, 12:26:19 AM »

https://twitter.com/GCSAtlasia/status/1398148288411537416?s=20
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weatherboy1102
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #72 on: May 28, 2021, 12:43:58 AM »

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weatherboy1102
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #73 on: May 28, 2021, 12:47:51 AM »

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weatherboy1102
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Posts: 13,628
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Political Matrix
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« Reply #74 on: May 28, 2021, 01:00:45 AM »

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