PA-Gravis: Biden +3
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Author Topic: PA-Gravis: Biden +3  (Read 2524 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: July 25, 2020, 08:14:22 AM »
Pennsylvania: Gravis, July 22-24, 1006 LV

Biden 48
Trump 45

Quote
The danger for Trump may lie in among the undecided voters (8% in this poll) who indicate that they disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President by a 29%-69% margin.  The undecided voters also approve of the Job performance of the two polled statewide elected Democrats Wolf and Casey by a 67%-19% and 56%-22% margin, respectively. 
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Horus
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2020, 08:34:47 AM »
Not good for Biden at all.
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ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2020, 08:36:40 AM »
So Gravis has Biden up by 8 in Wisconsin but only up by 3 in Pennsylvania?

Yeah, that's nonsense. Absolutely trash.
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Rand
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2020, 08:39:02 AM »
Trump’s getting 20% of African Americans in PA? Tear gas and bigotry does work!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2020, 08:39:30 AM »

The Kanye effect, Horus? Tongue
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Person Man
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2020, 08:55:47 AM »
It appears that if anything, this is a floor for him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM »
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day
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Horus
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2020, 09:05:13 AM »

This may be residual Kanye stuff but I think Trump sending the feds in is gonna flip a lot of swing voters to his side. Americans love having their rights violated.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2020, 09:19:45 AM »
Looks junky to me, especially by comparing to their WI poll.

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day

The 278 freiwall has collapsed 😎😎😎
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2020, 09:34:11 AM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 25, 2020, 09:19:45 AM
Looks junky to me, especially by comparing to their WI poll.

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day

The 278 freiwall has collapsed 😎😎😎

Yeah due to fact McConnell is gonna ensure that voters dont get a 2 yr unemployment extension if Biden is elected. We tried that in 2002. After the Cares Act expires, this is the last go round for unemployment and it's not gonna include 600. Voters gotta get incentivized to get back to work come Jan 2021 to March 2021. State unemployment kicks in after the 6 month Cares Act expires this month. That will only give them 6 more mnths of checks left

Stimulus packages are gonna be included for everyone making under 40K
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2020, 01:48:55 PM »
New Poll: Pennsylvania President by Gravis Marketing on 2020-07-24

Summary: D: 48%, R: 45%, U: 8%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Woody
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« Reply #11 on: July 25, 2020, 03:21:03 PM »
But muh Scranton Joe...

hahahaha
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #12 on: July 25, 2020, 03:50:48 PM »

Gloating about your candidate trailing in a state they won in 2016 to own the libs
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #13 on: July 25, 2020, 04:30:27 PM »
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 25, 2020, 09:19:45 AM
Looks junky to me, especially by comparing to their WI poll.

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day

The 278 freiwall has collapsed 😎😎😎

It is now the 261 freiwall. Dems have picked up Alaska but have lost PA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #14 on: July 25, 2020, 05:23:05 PM »
Quote from: Teflon Joe on July 25, 2020, 04:30:27 PM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 25, 2020, 09:19:45 AM
Looks junky to me, especially by comparing to their WI poll.

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day

The 278 freiwall has collapsed 😎😎😎

It is now the 261 freiwall. Dems have picked up Alaska but have lost PA.

2 other scandaled politicians lost PA, Hilary and Corbett, Bernie wasnt scandaled and he would have had an easier time reaffirming EC wall, since Biden has Reade and Ukraine, Biden has to win PA, but if it's close in either state, 3rd party candidates in WI and PA will play a role like in 2016
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #15 on: July 25, 2020, 06:22:53 PM »
Oh no! It's the martial law bump!

Seriously though, this doesn't add up with their Wisconsin poll from yesterday. A three point margin here is still a lead though. It just goes to show how bad things look for Trump that Biden leading by almost three times what Trump won the state with in 2016 is potentially good for him.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #16 on: July 25, 2020, 06:31:58 PM »
Quote from: Progressive Pessimist on July 25, 2020, 06:22:53 PM
Oh no! It's the martial law bump!

Seriously though, this doesn't add up with their Wisconsin poll from yesterday. A three point margin here is still a lead though. It just goes to show how bad things look for Trump that Biden leading by almost three times what Trump won the state with in 2016 is potentially good for him.

Maybe because, Trump is getting a bump due to fact he has a real Press Secretary not Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Flynn and Stome are leaving prison and Trump is not being cocky at news conferences about the spread of Covid 19, looks better to indies than Partisans. Trump only has to improve on his numbers on indies not Ds.

The election isnt over by a long shot.

We still are gonna be social distancing if Biden becomes Prez unless there is a vaccine.  This idea of things returning back to utopia should Biden becomes Prez like before is far from the truth
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Hammy
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« Reply #17 on: July 25, 2020, 07:43:49 PM »

Gravis error in 2016 at this time was only two points and had 1% of Trump voters going for Hillary--Biden would still win in that error.
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Hope For A New Era
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« Reply #18 on: July 25, 2020, 07:46:02 PM »
+8 in Wisconsin, +9 in Michigan.

Seems legit.
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South Dakota Democrat
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« Reply #19 on: July 26, 2020, 12:48:24 AM »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 05:23:05 PM
Quote from: Teflon Joe on July 25, 2020, 04:30:27 PM
Quote from: Sir Mohamed on July 25, 2020, 09:19:45 AM
Looks junky to me, especially by comparing to their WI poll.

Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 25, 2020, 08:59:19 AM
Yeah, with PA hanging in balance,  the Election isnt gonna be resolved on Election day

The 278 freiwall has collapsed 😎😎😎

It is now the 261 freiwall. Dems have picked up Alaska but have lost PA.

2 other scandaled politicians lost PA, Hilary and Corbett, Bernie wasnt scandaled and he would have had an easier time reaffirming EC wall, since Biden has Reade and Ukraine, Biden has to win PA, but if it's close in either state, 3rd party candidates in WI and PA will play a role like in 2016

haha scandaled
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: July 26, 2020, 12:49:12 AM »
« Edited: July 27, 2020, 01:22:46 PM by ON Progressive »

And in QU that had Biden up 13 in FL said that in 2016 had Strickland and Hillary were up by 7 in OH, and lost OH by 8 pts, we can all go by flawed polls. Biden isnt winning FL by 13, but a PA +3 is definitely a probable number for Biden in PA.

The election is Biden's to win, but we still have 3 debates and we have a VBM system, not in person voting
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #21 on: July 26, 2020, 03:06:18 AM »
« Edited: July 27, 2020, 01:25:22 PM by ON Progressive »
Quote from: MR. KAYNE WEST on July 26, 2020, 12:49:12 AM

And in QU that had Biden up 13 in FL said that in 2016 had Strickland and Hillary were up by 7 in OH, and lost OH by 8 pts, we can all go by flawed polls. Biden isnt winning FL by 13, but a PA +3 is definitely a probable number for Biden in PA.

The election is Biden's to win, but we still have 3 debates and we have a VBM system, not in person voting
Quinnipiac never had Hillary up by 7 in Ohio. They had her up by 4 post DNC temporarily but most of their other polls actually had Trump up in Ohio Smiley
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Woody
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« Reply #22 on: July 26, 2020, 04:10:34 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2020, 01:27:24 PM by ON Progressive »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 25, 2020, 09:42:36 PM

this same pollster on the same day said biden was up by 4 in ohio
Outlier
You are not supposed to use that word anymore
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Person Man
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« Reply #23 on: July 26, 2020, 04:16:01 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2020, 01:28:31 PM by ON Progressive »
Quote from: SirWoodbury on July 26, 2020, 04:10:34 PM
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on July 25, 2020, 09:42:36 PM

this same pollster on the same day said biden was up by 4 in ohio
Outlier
You are not supposed to use that word anymore

Intellectually Disabled then
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Spark
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« Reply #24 on: July 26, 2020, 04:16:51 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 25, 2020, 08:14:22 AM
Pennsylvania: Gravis, July 22-24, 1006 LV

Biden 48
Trump 45

Quote
The danger for Trump may lie in among the undecided voters (8% in this poll) who indicate that they disapprove of the job Donald Trump is doing as President by a 29%-69% margin.  The undecided voters also approve of the Job performance of the two polled statewide elected Democrats Wolf and Casey by a 67%-19% and 56%-22% margin, respectively. 

This is scary for Biden.
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