Data for Progress: Biden +6
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Author Topic: Data for Progress: Biden +6  (Read 721 times)
VAR
VARepublican
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« on: July 24, 2020, 08:01:24 AM »
« edited: July 24, 2020, 08:09:23 AM by VARepublican »
RV:
Biden 50%
Trump 44%

Adults:
Biden 49%
Trump 43%

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1dGGzVgmSaesL4N8JeM07YIfMsT_BJ1yflf-29y_ejcQ/edit

Was Biden 52/42.
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Annatar
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« Reply #1 on: July 24, 2020, 09:28:54 AM »
I think Data for Progress is an online poll, the gap is real it seems, Harry Enten commented a few days ago that since the start of June a 4% gap had opened up between online vs live caller, if this continues through to Election Day someone is going to get discredited, either the live caller pollsters will or the online ones.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #2 on: July 24, 2020, 09:35:00 AM »
Quote from: Annatar on July 24, 2020, 09:28:54 AM
I think Data for Progress is an online poll, the gap is real it seems, Harry Enten commented a few days ago that since the start of June a 4% gap had opened up between online vs live caller, if this continues through to Election Day someone is going to get discredited, either the live caller pollsters will or the online ones.

That’s a logical fallacy of dichotomy.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: July 24, 2020, 09:37:38 AM »
Quote from: Annatar on July 24, 2020, 09:28:54 AM
I think Data for Progress is an online poll, the gap is real it seems, Harry Enten commented a few days ago that since the start of June a 4% gap had opened up between online vs live caller, if this continues through to Election Day someone is going to get discredited, either the live caller pollsters will or the online ones.

Not necessarily.  The final result could be somewhere in the middle.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: July 24, 2020, 10:44:08 AM »
Quote from: TrendsareUsuallyReal on July 24, 2020, 09:35:00 AM
Quote from: Annatar on July 24, 2020, 09:28:54 AM
I think Data for Progress is an online poll, the gap is real it seems, Harry Enten commented a few days ago that since the start of June a 4% gap had opened up between online vs live caller, if this continues through to Election Day someone is going to get discredited, either the live caller pollsters will or the online ones.

That’s a logical fallacy of dichotomy.

Maybe, right? It would be good to know if multiple other options have a reasonable chance of existing.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: July 24, 2020, 01:42:21 PM »
The Goya Bump... 😔
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Torrain
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #6 on: July 24, 2020, 01:57:45 PM »
Stick it in the average.

It'll take a few more polls from guys like Fox, Quinnipiac or the NYTimes before I start thinking of this as a narrowing race.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #7 on: July 24, 2020, 06:24:00 PM »
I can't be too concerned with this poll since I personally believe that 44% is a realistic popular vote percentage for Trump, and Biden is still at 50%. We really have just been spoiled with Biden leading by so much, that him leading by a still reasonable margin seems like a scary tightening.
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