Is Texas becoming a battleground state a sign the 6th party system is over

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What the GOP needs to do to stay relevant federally is represent their state or constituence well, move federally to a right wing populist platform similar to their European variant, but become more secular, supporting realistic ways to deal with climate change but not deny it, focus on supporting rural and working class areas and small / local businesses. Making sure economic growth is felt over all regions, not just metropolitian areas and decide controversial issues on a regional level like abortion and death penalty. Let the regions decide. With competent leaders they would keep many states in the red column because many people will never ever vote blue and win the rust belt + mn + nh + me and maybe only lose az and in the long run ga + fl. TX however has potential to rapidly shift in the blue column.

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2020's



2030's

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2020's

2030's

This is too optimistic for the GOP, I think the battleground map in 2028 (the far end of the current trends) will look a little something like this.



The blank states are the perennial battlegrounds, although I could see PA or FL leaning R it will still be contested due to their size.  2024 will be the last time GA or AZ are competitive this cycle.  By 2028, some small, depopulating NE states will go into the likely category and could be competitive by the 2030s.  MS, UT and SC will no longer be safe R.

Agreed. I never said PA and FL won't flip however