Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states
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November 26, 2021, 06:43:51 PM

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  Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states
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Author Topic: Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states  (Read 2647 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« on: July 22, 2020, 06:04:01 PM »

This is a Republican internal:
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
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« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2020, 06:11:09 PM »

Cornyn is safe
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2020, 06:14:57 PM »

Huh, for an internal, not that great for Cornyn since the public Q-pac poll had him +9. Trump +5 seems rosy even for an R internal, but the actual result is likely a straight tossup right now
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2020, 06:15:00 PM »

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Senator WD
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« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2020, 06:17:29 PM »

Hold up.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2020, 06:18:19 PM »

Wowzers. Did not expect a Biden/Greenfield lead in an R internal, esp after seeing those TX #s
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Hammy
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« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2020, 06:18:51 PM »

Very interesting, though Trump's raw vote increase in Iowa over 2012 was among the smallest of the states he gained in, and also saw the highest ratio of Hillary losses per Trump vote increase.
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2020, 06:19:09 PM »

This same pollster has Trump winning Michigan by 4 and PA by 1, and yet he's losing IA by 2?

Smells like Taco Bell aftermath.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2020, 06:19:36 PM »

If a Republican internal says this then Trump is really in trouble in Iowa and possibly by more than this poll indicates.
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"?"
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« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2020, 06:20:19 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2020, 06:33:37 PM by Monstro »


Damn you're quick.

Anyway, this is the best a GOP internal can conjure for Trump?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2020, 06:22:34 PM »

This same pollster has Trump winning Michigan by 4 and PA by 1, and yet he's losing IA by 2?

Smells like Taco Bell aftermath.

wait, they have Trump winning MI and PA, and MI by 4? OK trash all of these
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Lisa's voting Biden
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« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2020, 06:23:49 PM »

They released a ton of these. He's only losing WI by 1 as well. Total crap.
https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP_WI.pdf
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2020, 06:26:24 PM »

We should probably just have one thread for these: https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/app-spry-strategies-release-polling-results-ten-battleground-states/

Arizona: Biden +4
Georgia: Trump +3
Iowa: Biden +2
Kentucky: Trump +26
Michigan: Trump +5
Montana: Trump +10
North Carolina: Trump +3
Pennsylvania: Trump +1
Texas: Trump +4
Wisconsin: Biden +1

lol

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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2020, 06:28:30 PM »

Texas: Trump 49, Biden 45
Wisconsin: Biden 46, Trump 45
Pennsylvania: Trump 48, Biden 47
North Carolina: Trump 49, Biden 46
Montana: Trump 52, Biden 42
Michigan: Trump 50, Biden 45
Kentucky: Trump 60, Biden 34
Iowa: Biden 48, Trump 46
Georgia: Trump 49, Biden 46
Arizona: Biden 49, Biden 45

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

This pollster seems junky looking at all of these... they are all out of sync
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #14 on: July 22, 2020, 06:36:17 PM »

We should probably just have one thread for these: https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/app-spry-strategies-release-polling-results-ten-battleground-states/

Arizona: Biden +4
Georgia: Trump +3
Iowa: Biden +2
Kentucky: Trump +26
Michigan: Trump +5
Montana: Trump +10
North Carolina: Trump +3
Pennsylvania: Trump +1
Texas: Trump +4
Wisconsin: Biden +1

lol



One of these things is not like the others....
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n1240
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« Reply #15 on: July 22, 2020, 06:39:38 PM »

None of these results can be taken seriously juxtaposed with each other.

The most nonsensical results are probably Peters outperforming Biden by 15 points and their failure to include Raphael Warnock in their GA Senate special poll.
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Bidenworth2020
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« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2020, 06:40:40 PM »

Are we sure this is even a real pollster?
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Mr. MANDELA BARNES
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« Reply #17 on: July 22, 2020, 06:42:34 PM »

No way Biden loses MI and PA before winning IA and AZ
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Pollster
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« Reply #18 on: July 22, 2020, 06:44:30 PM »

These are all very bad polls.

The methodology they’ve used here is much better for homogenously white states, which is why some of these polls like a bit more realistic than others.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #19 on: July 22, 2020, 06:46:35 PM »

I can't even say that this poll was commissioned to make Trump feel better because these numbers are all over the place!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #20 on: July 22, 2020, 06:46:58 PM »

Are we sure this is even a real pollster?

This is from the "About" page on their website:

Quote
Ryan Burrell is founder of Spry Strategies, LLC a Knoxville, TN-based consulting firm specializing in polling, hybrid-method research data, live dialing, cell phone communications data modeling and consulting for business, governments, political campaigns, public affairs firms, lobbyists and trade associations. Ryan is considered the premier pollster for Republicans across the South and especially his beloved Tennessee.

https://www.spryresearch.com/

It looks like they've been around for a couple years.
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Reluctant hardcore partisan Darthpi
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« Reply #21 on: July 22, 2020, 06:54:29 PM »

These polls didn't seem *that* weird given that it's a Republican pollster, until I got to Michigan.

Michigan is not to the right of North Carolina or freaking Texas.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #22 on: July 22, 2020, 06:56:10 PM »

Suddenly McLaughlin has competition.

P.S. Also that:


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Harris/Shalala 2024
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« Reply #23 on: July 22, 2020, 06:59:21 PM »

Yeah I'm thinking this may not be the most reputable outfit

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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: July 22, 2020, 07:14:14 PM »

Biden winning Iowa and losing Michigan? No. Absolutely not.
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