Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 10:57:03 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Author Topic: Spry Strategies (R): A lot of states  (Read 3585 times)
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 22, 2020, 06:04:01 PM »

This is a Republican internal:
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,773
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 22, 2020, 06:11:09 PM »

Cornyn is safe
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,744


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2020, 06:14:57 PM »

Huh, for an internal, not that great for Cornyn since the public Q-pac poll had him +9. Trump +5 seems rosy even for an R internal, but the actual result is likely a straight tossup right now
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 22, 2020, 06:15:00 PM »

Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,573
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 22, 2020, 06:17:29 PM »

Hold up.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,744


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 22, 2020, 06:18:19 PM »

Wowzers. Did not expect a Biden/Greenfield lead in an R internal, esp after seeing those TX #s
Logged
Hammy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,711
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 22, 2020, 06:18:51 PM »

Very interesting, though Trump's raw vote increase in Iowa over 2012 was among the smallest of the states he gained in, and also saw the highest ratio of Hillary losses per Trump vote increase.
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 22, 2020, 06:19:09 PM »

This same pollster has Trump winning Michigan by 4 and PA by 1, and yet he's losing IA by 2?

Smells like Taco Bell aftermath.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 22, 2020, 06:19:36 PM »

If a Republican internal says this then Trump is really in trouble in Iowa and possibly by more than this poll indicates.
Logged
Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,213


Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 22, 2020, 06:20:19 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2020, 06:33:37 PM by Monstro »


Damn you're quick.

Anyway, this is the best a GOP internal can conjure for Trump?
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,744


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 22, 2020, 06:22:34 PM »

This same pollster has Trump winning Michigan by 4 and PA by 1, and yet he's losing IA by 2?

Smells like Taco Bell aftermath.

wait, they have Trump winning MI and PA, and MI by 4? OK trash all of these
Logged
Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,903
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.75, S: -3.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 22, 2020, 06:23:49 PM »

They released a ton of these. He's only losing WI by 1 as well. Total crap.
https://americanprinciplesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/APP_WI.pdf
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 22, 2020, 06:26:24 PM »

We should probably just have one thread for these: https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/app-spry-strategies-release-polling-results-ten-battleground-states/

Arizona: Biden +4
Georgia: Trump +3
Iowa: Biden +2
Kentucky: Trump +26
Michigan: Trump +5
Montana: Trump +10
North Carolina: Trump +3
Pennsylvania: Trump +1
Texas: Trump +4
Wisconsin: Biden +1

lol

Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,744


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 22, 2020, 06:28:30 PM »

Texas: Trump 49, Biden 45
Wisconsin: Biden 46, Trump 45
Pennsylvania: Trump 48, Biden 47
North Carolina: Trump 49, Biden 46
Montana: Trump 52, Biden 42
Michigan: Trump 50, Biden 45
Kentucky: Trump 60, Biden 34
Iowa: Biden 48, Trump 46
Georgia: Trump 49, Biden 46
Arizona: Biden 49, Biden 45

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

This pollster seems junky looking at all of these... they are all out of sync
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,348


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 22, 2020, 06:36:17 PM »

We should probably just have one thread for these: https://americanprinciplesproject.org/elections/app-spry-strategies-release-polling-results-ten-battleground-states/

Arizona: Biden +4
Georgia: Trump +3
Iowa: Biden +2
Kentucky: Trump +26
Michigan: Trump +5
Montana: Trump +10
North Carolina: Trump +3
Pennsylvania: Trump +1
Texas: Trump +4
Wisconsin: Biden +1

lol



One of these things is not like the others....
Logged
n1240
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,207


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 22, 2020, 06:39:38 PM »

None of these results can be taken seriously juxtaposed with each other.

The most nonsensical results are probably Peters outperforming Biden by 15 points and their failure to include Raphael Warnock in their GA Senate special poll.
Logged
Bidenworth2020
politicalmasta73
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,407
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 22, 2020, 06:40:40 PM »

Are we sure this is even a real pollster?
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,773
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 22, 2020, 06:42:34 PM »

No way Biden loses MI and PA before winning IA and AZ
Logged
Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,756


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 22, 2020, 06:44:30 PM »

These are all very bad polls.

The methodology they’ve used here is much better for homogenously white states, which is why some of these polls like a bit more realistic than others.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,547
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 22, 2020, 06:46:35 PM »

I can't even say that this poll was commissioned to make Trump feel better because these numbers are all over the place!
Logged
GeorgiaModerate
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,348


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 22, 2020, 06:46:58 PM »

Are we sure this is even a real pollster?

This is from the "About" page on their website:

Quote
Ryan Burrell is founder of Spry Strategies, LLC a Knoxville, TN-based consulting firm specializing in polling, hybrid-method research data, live dialing, cell phone communications data modeling and consulting for business, governments, political campaigns, public affairs firms, lobbyists and trade associations. Ryan is considered the premier pollster for Republicans across the South and especially his beloved Tennessee.

https://www.spryresearch.com/

It looks like they've been around for a couple years.
Logged
Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,708
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.13, S: -6.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 22, 2020, 06:54:29 PM »

These polls didn't seem *that* weird given that it's a Republican pollster, until I got to Michigan.

Michigan is not to the right of North Carolina or freaking Texas.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,613
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 22, 2020, 06:56:10 PM »

Suddenly McLaughlin has competition.

P.S. Also that:


Logged
MRS DONNA SHALALA
cuddlebuns
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 585
South Africa


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 22, 2020, 06:59:21 PM »

Yeah I'm thinking this may not be the most reputable outfit

Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,841
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: July 22, 2020, 07:14:14 PM »

Biden winning Iowa and losing Michigan? No. Absolutely not.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.043 seconds with 12 queries.