Alaska Survey Research-AK: Trump +1
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Author Topic: Alaska Survey Research-AK: Trump +1  (Read 1723 times)
Gass3268
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« on: July 17, 2020, 06:07:49 PM »
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Illiniwek
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« Reply #1 on: July 17, 2020, 06:21:54 PM »
Add it to the blue freiwall!
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2 on: July 17, 2020, 06:23:39 PM »
Anything of the Senate race?
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Holmes
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« Reply #3 on: July 17, 2020, 06:32:33 PM »
It’s nice to have quite a few Alaska polls lately, but... a mix of phone and online? Meh.
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #4 on: July 17, 2020, 06:48:56 PM »
Bluelaska!
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #5 on: July 17, 2020, 06:50:35 PM »
We're definitely at the point where it's worth keeping an eye on Alaska, and it might even be at the outer edge of being lean Trump rather than likely.
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Buzz
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« Reply #6 on: July 17, 2020, 06:54:11 PM »
Pretty sure had Clinton winning Alaska by 4 in 2016.  Junk
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Lisa's voting Biden
LCameronAL
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« Reply #7 on: July 17, 2020, 07:01:03 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on July 17, 2020, 06:54:11 PM
Pretty sure had Clinton winning Alaska by 4 in 2016.  Junk
Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

How many times do we have to tell you this?
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Hammy
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« Reply #8 on: July 17, 2020, 07:04:22 PM »
Quote from: Buzz on July 17, 2020, 06:54:11 PM
Pretty sure had Clinton winning Alaska by 4 in 2016.  Junk



Polls from 2016 from around the same time as now. Literally one poll had her up in October which was a massive outlier from the rest which were all R+10 or more.
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YE
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« Reply #9 on: July 17, 2020, 07:12:45 PM »
This is the crappy AK pollster that people talked about in the PPP thread that overestimates Dems.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #10 on: July 17, 2020, 07:15:58 PM »
https://www.facebook.com/alaskasurvey/posts/1681737535312206

Undecided: 4%
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #11 on: July 17, 2020, 07:20:38 PM »

278 --- 281 D freiwall

Alaska is joining the Sunbelt Stack. You love to see it.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #12 on: July 17, 2020, 07:27:07 PM »
Alaska be like:
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Buzz
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« Reply #13 on: July 17, 2020, 07:32:18 PM »
Quote from: LCameronOR on July 17, 2020, 07:01:03 PM
Quote from: Buzz on July 17, 2020, 06:54:11 PM
Pretty sure had Clinton winning Alaska by 4 in 2016.  Junk
Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

Biden is not Clinton.

How many times do we have to tell you this?
Idgaf.  A crappy poll is a crappy poll. 
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Hammy
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« Reply #14 on: July 17, 2020, 07:38:42 PM »
Quote from: Senator YE on July 17, 2020, 07:12:45 PM
This is the crappy AK pollster that people talked about in the PPP thread that overestimates Dems.

So this isn't the crowdfunded one?
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YE
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« Reply #15 on: July 17, 2020, 07:39:50 PM »
Quote from: Hammy on July 17, 2020, 07:38:42 PM
Quote from: Senator YE on July 17, 2020, 07:12:45 PM
This is the crappy AK pollster that people talked about in the PPP thread that overestimates Dems.

So this isn't the crowdfunded one?

The crowdfunded one is the PPP one which came out a week ago.
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Rand
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« Reply #16 on: July 17, 2020, 07:41:21 PM »
Biden’s Alaska numbers will shrink dramatically once the lakes start freezing over and all the boaters are finally home to answer their phones.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #17 on: July 17, 2020, 07:57:34 PM »
Favourability among 716 registered voters with an MoE of 3.8%:

Biden: 32 positive - 56 negative - 10 neutral - 2 who?
Trump: 43 positive - 50 negative - 7 neutral
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #18 on: July 17, 2020, 10:26:59 PM »
Nice to see Alaska polling legend Ivan Moore back in the game again. Tremendous numbers!
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #19 on: July 18, 2020, 11:00:39 AM »
Ok, this is the 2nd poll showing a dead heat. Can we still dismiss the #s and say AK is Safe R? Probably not. Trump will probably hang on by mid single digits if the national environment doesn't change all that much.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #20 on: July 18, 2020, 12:58:12 PM »
This poll also shows Sullivan ahead by 13 pts, so something gotta give. Either the Senate numbers or the Prez numbers are wrong. The last poll showed Trump and Sullivan up by 5, which is probably more belivevable
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #21 on: July 18, 2020, 02:25:35 PM »
Titanium Joe! Keep it going!
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #22 on: July 18, 2020, 02:30:52 PM »
Safe R -> Likely R
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Torrain
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« Reply #23 on: July 18, 2020, 04:43:28 PM »
Likely R -> Lean R

I have got this weird vibe that there's going to be at least one weird surprise this cycle (similar to Michigan 2016, Indiana 2008 etc). Alaska is probably out of reach, but in this environment, I would never say never.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #24 on: July 18, 2020, 05:03:54 PM »
Dunleavy recall is impacting the race, but Sullivan doesnt have any scandal.
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