People here are being too flippant. (What rhymes with) Alison Lundergan Grimes got 41% against McConnell in 2014, a GOP wave year. McGrath could easily end up at 45%ish.
That's an insult to Alison Grimes. She was a better candidate than McGrath and actually won a (statewide, nonetheless) election before running against McConnell.
Yes but he's right that it was a terrible year for Dems. Even in 2016, with Trump stomping in Kentucky, Jim Gray (who is gay and had not won a statewide election either) did better against Rand Paul (who's not as unpopular as McConnell) than Grimes did in 2014.
I expect Trump to win the state by not as much this year, and for it to be a better year for Democrats in general than 2016 let alone 2014, so the senate race could well be even closer this time. Not sure why so many here dismiss this as it is not only plausible, it's the most likely outcome. McConnell will still win, but single digits isn't impossible, and it won't be more than low double digits.
