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  Atlas Fantasy Elections (Moderators: Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee, Lumine)
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Continential
The Op
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« Reply #25 on: October 01, 2020, 07:08:27 AM »

For lfromnj, 4 Pyro voters invalidated their ballots on accident, and many of the left leaning voters that voted for him joined the DA so I doubt the election results would change much if he was still active. He did well, but I doubt that he would do the same performance in another election as Labor would try to get the voters that he won had he won.

I'm pretty sure that Yankee is trying hard on conservacord as he is trying to get people to campaign and he and LT probably is trying to recruit, I'm pretty sure that LT said that they are doing/considering doing off-site recruiting.

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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #26 on: October 01, 2020, 11:51:59 AM »

For 12 years I have had the misfortune of listening to the left insufferably gloat about how they united the natural majority and then proceed to condescendingly berate the minority right for not being able to do the same thing, just chalking it up to "effort" and "skill".

If effort and skill were what made the difference here, then LfromNJ wouldn't have given up, after pushing literally every single potential line to its furthest end and still coming up substantially short.

After pointing out these obvious realities, unquestionable math and undeniable conclusions, I was treated with Trumpist levels of denial of facts, insults and condescension, which I refuse to take lying down.

1. This site is overwhelmingly left leaning. I threw out 80%, Pericles objected. Even if it is 75% or 70%, the same dynamic is at work and by the way, this line of argument originated from a very prominent Laborite, who is famous for making the numbers work and that number was just about what he said.

2. The right distrusts the mod team, is frustrated with the perceived slant of this forum and more and more of them are deciding to pull up shop and move to other sites, to discord, to twitter and so on.

3. We have a smaller pool to recruit from thus.

4. Conservatives are far more willing to say no, even to just being a zombie voter then people on the left, because we draw from a smaller pool, this is more acute in its effects.

5. We have the added handicap of having basically recruited a substantial percentage of the high profile members of the other side thanks to ideological evolution of young conservatives into 20 somethings socialists, and there is nothing even approaching this on the other side that compensates for the mathematical effect of this. It also like we are small business competing against a large business and we have to pay the full tax rate, while the big business gets out of it with loopholes. The end effect is the same.

6. We have greater conflicting diversity and the insatiable desire on the right to identify and eliminate undesirable elements, and it becomes necessary to ween people off of this mindset for the simple fact that the demographics in this game are basically like that of New York IRL.

7. I contacted 10 people last week, one has joined.


I like to state the facts of a situation as it is and then if someone takes issues with these that can be addressed. But I refused to tolerate someone writing off legitimate perceived observations made in good faith by me, or drawn literally from other fing Laborites statements and be treated with the response of "excuses". I don't tolerate that from my clinically narcissistic relative, I pine daily for the removal of that behavior from the WH IRL, I sure as well won't tolerate that on here from anyone.

Finally, I hate discord because it is impossible to list of all these concerns in such a concise manner, the important stuff gets lost and the flow of the chat basically induces fighting and reductionist approaches with people missing the important takeaways (listed numerically above).

Well there is a lot to unpack here.

Re: Lfromnj, I will say that he probably burned out too fast (the brightest stars burn out the fastest I guess). However, he still managed to come within single digits in the most unfriendly region for the right during a time when the average election probably looked 60-40 nationwide and probably more like 67-33 in Lincoln.

If lfromnj-style efforts could have been kept indefinitely, I am sure elections would have been a lot more competitive for the past year and a half. Indeed August would have been a landslide defeat for us instead of a narrow one; and Feb 19 would have been super close (though probably still a win for us, but the South definitely flips).

Then again what lfromnj did was almost a miracle and I imagine cannot be done sustainably. As for lfromnj himself tbh I would like for him to come back here but I guess he is burnt out.



Re: Forum moderation and Atlas leaning heavily left, I actually agree with that critique and Atlas being so slanted to the left as well as the mod team being "perceived" as biased is something I've been somewhat worried for a while now.

I did a poll not too long ago actually (in June) and found out that roughly 70-75% of the site plans to vote for Joe Biden this November, with Trump getting like 15% of the vote. This is far from a perfect metric as there are certainly several Federalists who will vote for him; as well as people on both sides who will not vote due to age or not being Americans in the first place but it is a good measure. If Atlas was 100% representative of the US population you'd expect it to be closer to a 52-48 split.

However, it is what it is and I don't think we can do anything about it? Especially not from within Atlasia. If anything this might be an issue for you to discuss how to "fix it" on Conservacord or the mod cave; but can we really do anything in Atlasia?

If I had a solution for the "lack of ideological diversity" I'd actually say it but I don't. The best I can think of is more lenient moderation, which itself has its own set of problems. This is an issue better discussed on the FC board though (and actually one I've discussed there sometimes)



Re: Demographics; I actually argued once that, purely based on demographics, Atlas should be more right wing than it actually is (still leaning left but more on the scale of 60-40 than 75-25). Let's look at some of Atlas' demographic characteristics:

Almost uniformly male (lean right)
Young (lean left)
Heavily LGBT (lean left)
Heavily White (lean right)

That is exactly 2 left and 2 right. I guess you could add college education ot the mix which would tilt things to the left again; but it should be a smaller advantage, and countered by Atlas being wealthier than the average American.

For the record: Atlasia's party registration is actually not too far from the RL party registration of states like Vermont or Maryland. Now, which party holds the governorship in those 2 states? Tongue

(granted Atlasia is probably extremely inelastic  too)



Re: Party Unity this is a point where I disagree quite a lot. Conservatives have voted like an ethnic minority since what, 2008? So I don't really think that it is more disunited.

If anything you could easily argue that it is the left that is more disunited; there are literally 0 unironic blue avatars in Labor; while there are lots of lime green and red avatars on the Federalists, and even more on the DA



Re: People changing sides honestly I've always found that very weird; if anything the old saying is that "you become more conservative with age".

I guess you just got unlucky in that while many former Fed leaders moved left; no one really on Labor's leadership ever moved right other than fhtagn.

Why do people on Atlas move left instead of right?

Tbh I can't really relate to moving to either side as I've had basically the same politics I have now since I was like 17.

People moving right as they age is a myth. We have several threads breaking this down on other boards, including one very recently about "Republican Age Gap" on General discussion board.


As for "sustainability" you hit the nail on the head. LfromNJ explicitly said, "I cannot do this again", to corral all those swing votes, get that many recruits and come that close required a stars alignment moment. When stars aligning only gets you "within single digits", it doesn't actually come across as the hopeful sign that you think it does. It basically comes across as "no matter what we do, they still were drown us at the polls. This is the same toxic narrative from the end of the JCP era. People don't want to play a game that requires so much effort just to lose by 10% instead of 25% or 30%.

You misunderstand the point about conservative purism. It isn't a question of unity per see, it is a question of positioning and ability to operate in a way that is competitive, without getting a knife in the back. Because that is how the right is conditioned to operate in real life. To reject all forms of calculus as a betrayal and go down Braveheart style shouting freedom as the left rips out the right's entrails. Doesn't make for a competitive right or a sustainable game.

Demographics- the fact that you mention education in passing belies the reality. That is everything right there and throw in the higher rate of secularism and yes LGBT and you realize that we don't have the "White Guys" that exist in the context of American Politics, where 30% of them are Evangelicals and a bunch more are secular populists who hate the left because of "reasons" (race, trade what have you). This at a time when the right has doubled down IRL on said demographics at the expense of you guessed it, college educated young people. Guess who dominates this forum, "College Educated/Bound, Secular, White Males".

Solutions to the Mod situation/Forum slant- I am not proposing solutions here and the context of this conversation was defending my points, not going on the offense here. But since you raised the matter, the truth of the matter is I have no means to solve this because the cave lives worlds apart from conservacord, and it is beyond my power to bring them together. Consider the martyrdom complex above and the unwillingness on the part of most mods to lend the slightest consideration to problems of inconsistency and arbitrary moderation, creates a positive feedback loop that only points in one direction.




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Continential
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« Reply #27 on: October 01, 2020, 12:01:03 PM »

Also, having to do all of the GOTVing work and trying to get voters is very exhausting and tiring, especially if you are trying to flip voters.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #28 on: October 02, 2020, 05:52:41 AM »

Demographics- the fact that you mention education in passing belies the reality. That is everything right there and throw in the higher rate of secularism and yes LGBT and you realize that we don't have the "White Guys" that exist in the context of American Politics, where 30% of them are Evangelicals and a bunch more are secular populists who hate the left because of "reasons" (race, trade what have you). This at a time when the right has doubled down IRL on said demographics at the expense of you guessed it, college educated young people. Guess who dominates this forum, "College Educated/Bound, Secular, White Males".


Well I basically skipped over the education part less so because it doesn't matter and more because it is hard to apply in any meaningful way when a significant amount of the site are literal teenagers and a majority is below "college graduation age" (ie 22 or 23 years old)

Are you implying that the young conservatives are mostly the kids that fail academically in HS? Tongue Because high school, by virtue of being mandatory, should in theory have plenty of conservatives. (especially white men in HS, though Atlas also skews more LGBT & secular)

I do notice we have very few posters, that did/do not plan on going to college but rather do some sort of apprenticeship or even work straight out of HS.

If you want to bring in religion into the mix, I do remember how Catholics were actually the most right wing religious demographic in Atlasia in Griffin's exit polls, not evangelicals surprisingly.
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Continential
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« Reply #29 on: October 02, 2020, 07:20:45 AM »

Demographics- the fact that you mention education in passing belies the reality. That is everything right there and throw in the higher rate of secularism and yes LGBT and you realize that we don't have the "White Guys" that exist in the context of American Politics, where 30% of them are Evangelicals and a bunch more are secular populists who hate the left because of "reasons" (race, trade what have you). This at a time when the right has doubled down IRL on said demographics at the expense of you guessed it, college educated young people. Guess who dominates this forum, "College Educated/Bound, Secular, White Males".


Well I basically skipped over the education part less so because it doesn't matter and more because it is hard to apply in any meaningful way when a significant amount of the site are literal teenagers and a majority is below "college graduation age" (ie 22 or 23 years old)

Are you implying that the young conservatives are mostly the kids that fail academically in HS? Tongue Because high school, by virtue of being mandatory, should in theory have plenty of conservatives. (especially white men in HS, though Atlas also skews more LGBT & secular)

I do notice we have very few posters, that did/do not plan on going to college but rather do some sort of apprenticeship or even work straight out of HS.

If you want to bring in religion into the mix, I do remember how Catholics were actually the most right wing religious demographic in Atlasia in Griffin's exit polls, not evangelicals surprisingly.
Quote
Well I basically skipped over the education part less so because it doesn't matter and more because it is hard to apply in any meaningful way when a significant amount of the site are literal teenagers and a majority is below "college graduation age" (ie 22 or 23 years old)
Let's face it, after we complete High School, we will go to college and we are all middle class.
Quote
Are you implying that the young conservatives are mostly the kids that fail academically in HS? Tongue Because high school, by virtue of being mandatory, should in theory have plenty of conservatives. (especially white men in HS, though Atlas also skews more LGBT & secular)
I doubt that there are many young conservatives that are interested in politics that are interested to argue in a echo chamber. Also, many young conservatives are white, christian and not part of the LBGT+ spectrum
If you want to bring in religion into the mix, I do remember how Catholics were actually the most right wing religious demographic in Atlasia in Griffin's exit polls, not evangelicals surprisingly. 


Online Catholics I guess
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #30 on: October 02, 2020, 08:13:59 AM »

If you want to bring in religion into the mix, I do remember how Catholics were actually the most right wing religious demographic in Atlasia in Griffin's exit polls, not evangelicals surprisingly.

I am here to change this!

By the way, as NCY stated, the fact that this forum is 80 or 85% White males really has no effect in making it more right-wing when those White males are: very disproportionately under 35 - very disproportionately LGBT+ - very disproportionately college educated/college bound - more secular than average (not that this forum's religious posters are a hard-right bunch, either). And include many Europeans and Canadians who I suppose are more likely to fall on the left on U.S. issues.
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #31 on: October 03, 2020, 01:33:52 PM »

Demographics- the fact that you mention education in passing belies the reality. That is everything right there and throw in the higher rate of secularism and yes LGBT and you realize that we don't have the "White Guys" that exist in the context of American Politics, where 30% of them are Evangelicals and a bunch more are secular populists who hate the left because of "reasons" (race, trade what have you). This at a time when the right has doubled down IRL on said demographics at the expense of you guessed it, college educated young people. Guess who dominates this forum, "College Educated/Bound, Secular, White Males".


Well I basically skipped over the education part less so because it doesn't matter and more because it is hard to apply in any meaningful way when a significant amount of the site are literal teenagers and a majority is below "college graduation age" (ie 22 or 23 years old)

Are you implying that the young conservatives are mostly the kids that fail academically in HS? Tongue Because high school, by virtue of being mandatory, should in theory have plenty of conservatives. (especially white men in HS, though Atlas also skews more LGBT & secular)

There is a filter of sorts meaning that the types of people who are on Atlas who are in high school are typically going to be nerds and/or high performers and thus by definition heavily skewed towards college bound.
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Continential
The Op
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« Reply #32 on: November 23, 2020, 08:48:45 PM »

Since I have the energy to do this, I'll do a couple articles semi-regularly.

Shocking Fremont Election

DENVER CO- The results of the November 2020 Fremont elections were published today in the First Minister's office and the low voter turnout and candidates was shocking. Incumbent First Minister Harry S Truman won the First Ministership, MP Scott won the Senate election, and MP/Representative Oregon Blue Dog and MP Siren under a write in and newcomer Battista Minola 1616 won the seats to Parliament. The amount of candidates was shocking as the last time there was 3 candidates on the ballot was June 2017, more then 3 years ago. The Fremont right has not ran a candidate which has never happened before in the entirety of Fremont's history and barely turned out with only one right winger voting, former President Goldwater and none of the established leaders of the Fremont right voting. The left's turnout was pretty low, with most votes coming from important people in the Labor Party. The last time around this turnout happened was before the current constitution in Fremont happened in September 2016.


The results might indicate a turn for the worst in Fremont, or it might be a minor point in the historybooks, but who knows?

This is back for a while
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Mike Thick
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« Reply #33 on: November 23, 2020, 09:10:04 PM »

Nice
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Battista Minola 1616
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« Reply #34 on: November 27, 2020, 03:00:01 PM »

When was the last time before me that an independent was elected to Parliament?

Funnily I now feel a sort of obligation to let my more conservative side be prominent to give a greater veneer of credibility to this Parliament... but I don't think I will actually do that.
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Former President tack50
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« Reply #35 on: November 27, 2020, 08:36:24 PM »

When was the last time before me that an independent was elected to Parliament?

Funnily I now feel a sort of obligation to let my more conservative side be prominent to give a greater veneer of credibility to this Parliament... but I don't think I will actually do that.

To the Fremont parliament?  Same time as you, with fellow left wing independent Siren being elected along yourself Tongue (she was elected in a byelection before)

Other than Siren, last independent to be elected was right wing independent AustralianSwingVoter, who for a long time was a fed-alligned independent before joining the DA in his last term in Parliament. Last time ASV was elected as an independent was in May 2020.

Another left wing independent was elected to the federal House of Representatives this October though (texasgurl)
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Unconditional Surrender Truman
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« Reply #36 on: November 27, 2020, 11:42:56 PM »

When was the last time before me that an independent was elected to Parliament?

Funnily I now feel a sort of obligation to let my more conservative side be prominent to give a greater veneer of credibility to this Parliament... but I don't think I will actually do that.
Independents have been a pretty regular presence in parliament since it's inception; as Tack notes, Siren has served as an independent MFP since winning her by-election; before her, ASV served as an independent for several terms. Before him, Devout Centrist was an the last independent MFP chosen in a general election. So far YE is the only first minister to be elected without a federal party affiliation.
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Continential
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« Reply #37 on: January 07, 2021, 10:35:28 AM »


"I have returned"
YT Runs with former Rival for President
First YT Cult Reunited?


In all seriousness, there will be a article soon.
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