Why did Romney lose Florida?

[Sumner 1868]

To what extent was Olds thinking Paul Ryan would take their Medicare and Social Security away a factor?

It was probably the real deciding factor.

2012 swing:


Obama vote:


2016 swings:


Clinton vote:


For all the hoopla over immigration, it wouldn't have mattered had it not been for Romney's mediocre performance in white retiree communities like Volusia, Pasco, etc. I have no doubt this underperformance was tied to his support of Social Security privatization schemes.