Would Trump have won the popular vote without the Access Hollywood tape?
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  Would Trump have won the popular vote without the Access Hollywood tape?		 « previous next »
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Question: Would Trump have won the popular vote without the Access Hollywood tape?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 86

Author Topic: Would Trump have won the popular vote without the Access Hollywood tape?  (Read 2300 times)
darklordoftech
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« on: July 15, 2020, 11:21:16 PM »
Also, would he have won more states?
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2020, 08:12:56 AM »
Probably would've won NH. He would've still lost the popular vote but by a smaller margin. Maybe 1% or something like that.
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Da2017
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2020, 02:25:38 PM »
Quote from: Chips on July 16, 2020, 08:12:56 AM
Probably would've won NH. He would've still lost the popular vote but by a smaller margin. Maybe 1% or something like that.

This
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morgankingsley
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2020, 03:49:40 PM »
Trump gets MN and NH, and loses the popular by 700k rather than 2.8m
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Hope For A New Era
EastOfEden
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2020, 10:24:53 AM »
No, he was always going to lose.

His remarkable ability to rebound from scandal after scandal means that he probably would have lost by the same amount.
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OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2020, 11:18:25 AM »
I think he wins MN NH and NV and only barely loses CO so yah he barely wins the popular vote by around 200k votes as well
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Badger
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2020, 04:28:20 PM »
Nearly 3 million votes? No effing way
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TheElectoralBoobyPrize
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2020, 12:24:17 AM »
What could've caused Trump to win the popular vote? And don't say it wasn't possible...two percentage points is not insurmountable.
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Sumner 1868
tara gilesbie
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2020, 01:16:19 AM »
Quote from: TheElectoralBoobyPrize on October 15, 2020, 12:24:17 AM
What could've caused Trump to win the popular vote? And don't say it wasn't possible...two percentage points is not insurmountable.

BLM riots in October followed by a Clinton aide being indicted over her e-mails. And even then probably no more than a point or so.
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Turbo Flame
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2020, 04:12:31 PM »
I don't think so. But, the PV would have been on Gore levels. In other words, it would have been decided by just around the 500,000 range.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: December 28, 2020, 11:10:53 PM »
Quote from: Does the title even matter? on October 15, 2020, 01:16:19 AM
Quote from: TheElectoralBoobyPrize on October 15, 2020, 12:24:17 AM
What could've caused Trump to win the popular vote? And don't say it wasn't possible...two percentage points is not insurmountable.

BLM riots in October followed by a Clinton aide being indicted over her e-mails. And even then probably no more than a point or so.

This.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #11 on: January 02, 2021, 02:31:48 PM »
Largely forgotten by 2020. If it wasn't going to decide 2016 against him it wasn't going to decide 2020.
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Frodo
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« Reply #12 on: May 26, 2021, 06:08:58 PM »
« Edited: May 26, 2021, 06:46:59 PM by Frodo »
He probably would have won Maine, New Hampshire, Minnesota, and Nevada in this scenario.



Trump/Pence: 327
Clinton/Kaine: 204

I agree with everyone else he still would have lost the popular vote, though by a much narrower margin.  
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: May 26, 2021, 06:30:23 PM »
Still no. He is still Trump and still has his noxious personality. I am not often very confident in my predictions on this site, but I firmly believe that the popular vote is likely to safe D in almost every possible national election circumstance unless something monumental happens to change the modern GOP significantly.

I think he only picks up New Hampshire to boot. Granted, Maine and Minnesota would be even more distressingly close.
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TodayJunior
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« Reply #14 on: May 26, 2021, 10:08:35 PM »
« Edited: May 29, 2021, 05:27:56 PM by TodayJunior »
No. The collapse of the Gop was already happening in California and NY (trump escalated and finished it off) and with ever decreasing margins in Texas would have assured Dems win the popular vote for the foreseeable future. If the gop were to somehow break 40% in Ca/Ny and get to 10-12% margin in Tx then they MIGHT edge it out. Reality says otherwise.
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Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #15 on: May 28, 2021, 01:34:30 AM »
I still think the same. Trump wins 310-228, picking up NH as well but still losing the popular vote by maybe 1-1.5%.
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