Quinnipiac: Biden +15 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac: Biden +15 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Biden +15  (Read 5998 times)
S019
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Posts: 18,331
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Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

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« on: July 15, 2020, 03:06:05 PM »
Quote from: Cassandra on July 15, 2020, 03:05:01 PM
Is this a reasonable map for a Biden +15 scenario?

1 sec

Yeah, this is fine, maybe MT or KS also fall, or maybe SC doesn't fall, but this is a perfectly fine prediction
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S019
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,331
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39

P P P
« Reply #1 on: July 15, 2020, 03:12:54 PM »
Quote from: Cassandra on July 15, 2020, 03:10:28 PM
Quote from: Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019 on July 15, 2020, 03:06:05 PM
Quote from: Cassandra on July 15, 2020, 03:05:01 PM
Is this a reasonable map for a Biden +15 scenario?



Yeah, this is fine, maybe MT or KS also fall, or maybe SC doesn't fall, but this is a perfectly fine prediction

I'm really curious what a Biden +20 looks like. What margin do you think is necessary to make all of KS, MI, MO, MT, SC, and UT fall to Biden?

KS and MT could fall at 15, SC is inelastic, so my best guess is anywhere from 12 to 17, depending on turnout, MO and UT probably require around 20.
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