Quinnipiac: Biden +15

[Yoda]

Very, very flawed candidate running a VERY flawed campaign guys. Maggie told me so.

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/1283489597519998977

[Gracile]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

[Cassandra]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

I could imagine Trump removing his name from consideration at the convention, forcing the RNC to nominate Pence, in order to avoid going down in a historic landslide defeat. But that would require him being able to recognize the trouble he's in, and I think he's to narcissistic to realize he's is going to lose (and bigly).

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/1283489597519998977

So basically, would the republicans like to get hit with one brick or with four bricks? If Gravis and OANN can only rate Texas as Trump +2, they better put on a helmet.

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

Trump would literally endorse Biden out of spite if the party ejected him from the nomination.

[WD]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

Trump would literally endorse Biden out of spite if the party ejected him from the nomination.

Stripping him of the nomination would result in a 1912 style disaster.

[Cassandra]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

Trump would literally endorse Biden out of spite if the party ejected him from the nomination.

Stripping him of the nomination would result in a 1912 style disaster.

I wonder where (if anywhere) Trump could win as a write-in candidate.

[Podgy the Bear]

If Biden's lead just keeps on widening, maybe there's a realistic (but probably still slim) chance that Trump won't be the Republican nominee after all.

The GOP would never do that. Despite Trump's poor overall numbers, he still galvanizes a large portion of the base - who would likely sit out if he's replaced.

I could imagine Trump removing his name from consideration at the convention, forcing the RNC to nominate Pence, in order to avoid going down in a historic landslide defeat. But that would require him being able to recognize the trouble he's in, and I think he's to narcissistic to realize he's is going to lose (and bigly).

It wouldn't happen.  The Republican Party of today is fanatical and delusional and slavishly devoted to Trump.  Which makes an electoral wipeout quite probable.

[#TheShadowyAbyss]

I'm starting to think polarization might be weakening due to all the cr@p going on with covid, the economy and civil unrest and Trump is acting like everything is perfectly fine.

[Yoda]

Is this the most Biden has ever led Trump thus far?

He led Trump by 16 points in August of last year. That one was Quinnipiac too.

At this rate of improvement, Trump might have a chance to win if this race drags on to 2032.

[Holmes]

Trash it. They didn’t poll boaters.

[Andy Hine]

Trash it. They didn’t poll boaters.

"If they're not on a boat, my campaign is still gonna float." -Donald Trump 2020

[Hope For A New Era]

Biden is up 17 with white women. Wowzers.

I've mentioned her before and it's totally anecdotal, but the elderly lady who lives across the street from my parents hasn't voted for a Democrat since Kennedy (IIRC).  She's planning on voting for Biden ("I like Joe Biden", "Trump lies and lies", etc. etc.)

Again, purely anecdotal and not meant to indicate a trend by itself, but when we combine that along with Biden's polling numbers, I have to think there are more like her.  

I've seen a bit of this happening in my area as well. I'm not sure why all of these older voters have waited until now to finally wake up, but I'm not complaining.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Biden is up 17 with white women. Wowzers.

I've mentioned her before and it's totally anecdotal, but the elderly lady who lives across the street from my parents hasn't voted for a Democrat since Kennedy (IIRC).  She's planning on voting for Biden ("I like Joe Biden", "Trump lies and lies", etc. etc.)

Again, purely anecdotal and not meant to indicate a trend by itself, but when we combine that along with Biden's polling numbers, I have to think there are more like her.  

I've seen a bit of this happening in my area as well. I'm not sure why all of these older voters have waited until now to finally wake up, but I'm not complaining.

Self-interest. The Republicans would only have come for their healthcare last.

[Negusa Nagast 🚀]

I'm starting to think polarization might be weakening due to all the cr@p going on with covid, the economy and civil unrest and Trump is acting like everything is perfectly fine.

It's difficult to remain a devout, tribal partisan when your leader is trying to kill you.

[wbrocks67]

Very, very flawed candidate running a VERY flawed campaign guys. Maggie told me so.

Maggie really should've had to answer for that statement.

[Hammy]

I don't believe these double digit leads until I start seeing some polls asking how many people are actually going to show up if the pandemic continues to worsen.

[EJ24]

NUT

[pppolitics]

I don't believe these double digit leads until I start seeing some polls asking how many people are actually going to show up if the pandemic continues to worsen.

There is this thing called "vote-by-mail".

Have you heard of it?

[Hammy]

I don't believe these double digit leads until I start seeing some polls asking how many people are actually going to show up if the pandemic continues to worsen.

There is this thing called "vote-by-mail".

Have you heard of it?

A lot of key states have Republican courts and legislatures--you think they're going to actually allow people to vote without having to risk their lives in the process?

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Hey, perhaps people will be right about the polls tightening by the debates after all. We might be at Biden+10 by then

[pppolitics]

I don't believe these double digit leads until I start seeing some polls asking how many people are actually going to show up if the pandemic continues to worsen.

There is this thing called "vote-by-mail".

Have you heard of it?

A lot of key states have Republican courts and legislatures--you think they're going to actually allow people to vote without having to risk their lives in the process?

[Progressive Pessimist]

I'm starting to think polarization might be weakening due to all the cr@p going on with covid, the economy and civil unrest and Trump is acting like everything is perfectly fine.

It would be a major silver lining of Trump's presidency if this happens. Fingers crossed!

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah okay QU