PA-Monmouth: Biden+13%

[Yoda]

REPS: Trump 84-12
INDIES: Biden 54-33
DEMS: Biden 93-1

MALES: Trump 47-45
FEMALES: Biden 60-34

18-49: Biden 60-29
50-64: Trump 56-43
65+: Biden 52-42

WHITES: Biden 48-46
NON-WHITES: Biden 76-16

WHITE NO DEGREE: 55-39 Trump
WHITE DEGREE: 61-34 Biden

DAMN, look at that lead with women.

For all the talk of "demographic shift" we've heard, the biggest shift I'm seeing in polls (relative to 2016 and before) is women leaving the GOP in droves. Women have leaned Dem for decades, but a 28-point gender gap is unprecedented. Women are slightly over half the population, and usually turn out in bigger numbers than men.

Yeh, and I wonder how much staying power the enormous dem advantage with women is going to have post-trump. Any democratic operative worth their weight in spit should tag republicans as "the party of trump" from now until the end of time.

[ProudModerate2]

Absolutely amazing.
Also, is it just me, or have the pro-trump blue avatars just totally given-up and waving the white flag.
I dont think they are posting in these poll threads any more.

[here2view]

Absolutely amazing.
Also, is it just me, or have the pro-trump blue avatars just totally given-up and waving the white flag.
I dont think they are posting in these poll threads any more.

No, I've also been thinking the same too.

[Sir Mohamed]

Huge, especially with #Bidenover50.

In which regions of the state would the gains come from compared to 2016? My take is increased turnout in Philly, Biden improving in turnout and margins in the Suburbs of Philly (mainly driven by female voters) and him making gains in other population centers while rurals stay similar to 2016 and 2018. Erie County will definitely swing to the left by a significant margin.

[Lief 🗽]

No, Biden isnt ahead by 13 pts in PA, Wolf didnt beat Corbett by that much, it was 9, it's a Biden plus 5 lead

Casey won by 13 points just two years ago. Have faith old friend!

[Hammy]

Something I've been wondering with these polls is what the 2016 electorate sampled in them was, and that can give us a general idea how accurate they are. OANN's Arizona poll for example showed Trump +4 but had a 10 point D swing from their excessively R-friendly electorate which would put Biden ahead realistically.