Global Strategy Group/Data for Progress/Climate Power 2020: Biden+11%

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

https://www.climatepower2020.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/23/2020/07/GSG-2020-Research-Memo-FINAL-07162020.pdf

June 23-July 1, 2020
3249 registered voters

GCB:
Dem 51%
Rep 41%

Presidential: Biden+11% (only margin given)

“Climate Generic Ballot: If the election for Congress were held today between a Democratic candidate who supports taking bold government action to combat climate change and a Republican candidate who opposes taking bold government action to combat climate change, for whom would you vote?”

Dem 58%
Rep 34%

[WD]

Looks like the GCB from the NBC/WSJ poll was an outlier.

[BlueSwan]

“Climate Generic Ballot: If the election for Congress were held today between a Democratic candidate who supports taking bold government action to combat climate change and a Republican candidate who opposes taking bold government action to combat climate change, for whom would you vote?”

Dem 58%
Rep 34%

I'm sorry, but this is such a push poll. "Taking bold government" action is a highly values laden way of asking this question. Could easily have been phrased in a much more neutral manner.

[Terry the Fat Shark]

“Climate Generic Ballot: If the election for Congress were held today between a Democratic candidate who supports taking bold government action to combat climate change and a Republican candidate who opposes taking bold government action to combat climate change, for whom would you vote?”

Dem 58%
Rep 34%

I'm sorry, but this is such a push poll. "Taking bold government" action is a highly values laden way of asking this question. Could easily have been phrased in a much more neutral manner.

Well, the first number isn't a push poll, the second number is.

[Interlocutor is just not there yet]

Looks like the GCB from the NBC/WSJ poll was an outlier.

I mean, it was near-identical to their 2018 GCB poll from around this time. D+4 instead of D+6, tightened from D+11 instead of D+10

[President Johnson]

Another double digits outlier. The mask bump has yet to materialize.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Another double digits outlier. The mask bump has yet to materialize.

It's closer to 8 than 15, QU was definitely an outlier, Biden wont win by that much. QU typically does RV until the Fall and does LV until the electiom.

QU is known to be a conservative pollster, which had Scott, beating Nelson, for yrs and they give us a 15 pt  poll

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

I remember in 2016 Dems were complaining about Quinnipiac being too Trump friendly.