Predictable overreactions in this thread. When the general consensus is that Bullock (like most victorious MT Democrats in a competitive race) is leading by a somewhat narrow but more importantly extremely consistent margin of 2-4 points, you’ll obviously get a Daines +1 or +2 poll once in a while. I’m not old enough to remember the last time things worked out well for a MT Republican when a R+2 poll was the best they could cling to, and somehow I doubt it will suddenly be different in the midst of a Democratic landslide.
What would be your honest prediction about this race? Assuming the national environment doesn't change much (if it even has a severe effect on this election). I believe it's a pure tossup and could go either way.