WI-01/PPP (D): Tie

[Tender Branson]

Racine, WI – A new July Public Policy Polling survey of 1,007 voters in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District shows Racine native, national security expert, and attorney Roger Polack, who served in Afghanistan, within single digits of incumbent Republican Congressman Bryan Steil.

In the congressional race, incumbent Republican Bryan Steil is earning less than 50 percent of the vote.  He leads Democratic challenger Roger Polack by 10 percent (49-39), and the margin shrinks to single digits, with Steil only leading Polack by 6 points (47-41), as voters learn that Polack is a Racine native, national security expert, and attorney. The margin of error of 3.1 percent.

A majority of voters either disapprove or are uncertain of Steil’s performance as their representative, with only 44 percent approving of the job he has done.

The Presidential race is also tied in WI-01. Despite Donald Trump winning the district by 11 percent in 2016, Trump and Joe Biden are tied at 47-47, with six percent undecided.

https://urbanmilwaukee.com/pressrelease/new-poll-shows-polack-competitive-in-wisconsins-1st-congressional-district



This was Trump +11 in 2016.

[WD]

Good for Trump

[wbrocks67]

Another 10-12 pt swing towards Biden from 2016

[woodley park]

"historic corruption" bump!

[Holmes]

A tie here is a double digit lead in the state. Neither Baldwin nor Karofsky carried it in their 11% statewide wins.

[Yoda]

Very, very flawed candidate Joe Biden continues to run a very flawed campaign.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Good for Trump

Not good enough

[MR DARK BRANDON]

LOW ENERGY BIDEN CONTINUES TO POLL VERY BAD AGAINST DEAR LEADER

[American2020]

Very, very flawed candidate Joe Biden continues to run a very flawed campaign.

Imagine if Trump ran against a charismatic political animal. He'd be dead for politics.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

1007 voters
Polack internal
July 9-10, 2020
MoE: 3.2%

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This Paul Ryan's old District, its Kenosha and it has been hit hard by the recession, if Rs lose this WI is gone

[VAR]

Change Research (D-Bryce)
October 19-21, 2018

Bryce (D) 45
Steil (R) 44

...

Steil won by 12 points.

Internal polls are at least 6 points off, sometimes they’re even worse.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Change Research (D-Bryce)
October 19-21, 2018

Bryce (D) 45
Steil (R) 44

...

Steil won by 12 points.

Internal polls are at least 6 points off, sometimes they’re even worse.

The problem with that poll is more likely to be that it was by Change Research rather than that it was an internal.

[VAR]

Change Research (D-Bryce)
October 19-21, 2018

Bryce (D) 45
Steil (R) 44

...

Steil won by 12 points.

Internal polls are at least 6 points off, sometimes they’re even worse.

The problem with that poll is more likely to be that it was by Change Research rather than that it was an internal.

You may be right. But another D internal (Global Strategy Group), conducted in September, showed them tied.

[Orwell]

Change Research (D-Bryce)
October 19-21, 2018

Bryce (D) 45
Steil (R) 44

...

Steil won by 12 points.

Internal polls are at least 6 points off, sometimes they’re even worse.

The problem with that poll is more likely to be that it was by Change Research rather than that it was an internal.

You may be right. But another D internal (Global Strategy Group), conducted in September, showed them tied.

"Internal polls are off by at least 6 points" this seems like a very bold claim to make

[Yoda]

Change Research (D-Bryce)
October 19-21, 2018

Bryce (D) 45
Steil (R) 44

...

Steil won by 12 points.

Internal polls are at least 6 points off, sometimes they’re even worse.

Change Research? You're comparing apples to oranges. This is a PPP poll. Can't remember who it  was or what race, but when that Alaska PPP poll came out days ago and there was a big fuss about the results as trump was barely leading, someone on twitter pointed out that they hired PPP to poll their candidate last cycle and PPP found their candidate leading by 1 point. Said candidate went on to win by 1 weeks later.

[MRS DONNA SHALALA]

This Paul Ryan's old District, its Kenosha and it has been hit hard by the recession, if Rs lose this WI is gone

...D-did you just have a good take?

[ON Progressive]

This Paul Ryan's old District, its Kenosha and it has been hit hard by the recession, if Rs lose this WI is gone

...D-did you just have a good take?

Don't you dare imply OC doesn't always have the best takes.

[WD]

This Paul Ryan's old District, its Kenosha and it has been hit hard by the recession, if Rs lose this WI is gone

...D-did you just have a good take?

Don't you dare imply OC doesn't always have the best takes.

OC should be mod tbh

[Progressive Pessimist]

I guess Joe Biden is the real Rustbelt flipping Randy Bryce.

[The Right Honourable Martin Brian Mulroney PC CC GOQ]

Very, very flawed candidate Joe Biden continues to run a very flawed campaign.

Imagine if Trump ran against a charismatic political animal. He'd be dead for politics.

Oh man, imagine the 22nd amendment was never a thing, Obama was allowed to run for a third term and decided to do it in 2020 (after stepping aside in 2016 for Hillary). All else being unchanged. It would be a bloodbath.

[DaleCooper]

If this is in line with other internal Wisconsin polling then I can see why Trump's team and Republicans in general are so horrified moving into the 2020 election.

[Dumbo]

Very, very flawed candidate Joe Biden continues to run a very flawed campaign.

Imagine if Trump ran against a charismatic political animal. He'd be dead for politics.

Very, very flawed candidate Joe Biden continues to run a very flawed campaign.

Imagine if Trump ran against a charismatic political animal. He'd be dead for politics.

Running at the age of 77 a third presidential campaign, great comeback after suffering huge losses in Iowa and NH, being patient while the Trump presidency is collapsing by itself - what a great political animal Joe Biden is.

[Obama-Biden Democrat]

Uncle Joe's Scranton mega coattails have extended all the way to SE Wisconsin. You love to see it!