GA - Gravis Marketing/OANN: Trump +3% (it's just not there yet)
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Author Topic: GA - Gravis Marketing/OANN: Trump +3% (it's just not there yet)  (Read 1319 times)
TiltsAreUnderrated
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« on: July 12, 2020, 12:57:46 PM »
« edited: July 12, 2020, 01:02:41 PM by TiltsAreUnderrated »
https://www.gravismarketing.com/oann-gravis-georgia-poll/

July 2, 2020
513 likely voters
MoE: 4.3%

Trump 48%
Biden 45%
Uncertain 8%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2020, 01:02:03 PM »
It’s a GA poll, which is not mentioned in the title.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: July 12, 2020, 01:02:16 PM »
Please add Georgia to the title (otherwise it looks like a national poll).  Thanks.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: July 12, 2020, 01:02:40 PM »
The best OAN can get in Georgia for Trump and Perdue is +3 and +5, yikes.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: July 12, 2020, 01:03:03 PM »
Donald’s in trouble.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: July 12, 2020, 01:03:13 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 12, 2020, 01:02:03 PM
It’s a GA poll, which is not mentioned in the title.

Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on July 12, 2020, 01:02:16 PM
Please add Georgia to the title (otherwise it looks like a national poll).  Thanks.

Thanks for the reminder.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #6 on: July 12, 2020, 01:06:20 PM »
Memes aside I do think voter suppression will keep Georgia out of reach. Joe wins in a fair election
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #7 on: July 12, 2020, 01:09:59 PM »
Trump is gonna win GA
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It's not just that you are a crook senator
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« Reply #8 on: July 12, 2020, 01:13:30 PM »


I mean.. how am I supposed to take them seriously after this picture lol.
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WD
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« Reply #9 on: July 12, 2020, 01:16:57 PM »
I didn’t realize this was OANN lmao. Yikes this is bad for Trump and Perdue if true. Biden is probably up by 2-3 and Ossoff by 1-2.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #10 on: July 12, 2020, 01:19:15 PM »
Nope, OANN polls should be immediately trashed after their Florida stunt.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #11 on: July 12, 2020, 01:36:19 PM »
Is it there yet?

95% in

Trump, Donald (R) - 2,046,422 - 48.8%
Biden, Joe (D) - 2,047,113 - 48.9%
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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
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« Reply #12 on: July 12, 2020, 01:38:12 PM »
Quote from: Ferguson97 on July 12, 2020, 01:06:20 PM
Memes aside I do think voter suppression will keep Georgia out of reach. Joe wins in a fair election

How much cushion should Biden have in the polls to overcome that? 3%, 5%, 7%?

Because I honestly think, if Georgia suppression is as meticulous/successful/widespread as it is, asteriks should be in every Georgia poll thread unless Biden is winning by like 10%
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #13 on: July 12, 2020, 01:43:03 PM »
Funny thing about this poll is they managed to somehow cobble together a sample with an absurd Trump approval rating of +12, and they still can't get general election numbers better than +3.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #14 on: July 12, 2020, 01:45:10 PM »
OANN has a policy of not releasing polls that have the Donald trailing so I don’t know why we are reporting their products here
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WD
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« Reply #15 on: July 12, 2020, 01:45:27 PM »
« Edited: July 12, 2020, 01:51:24 PM by Western Democrat »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 12, 2020, 01:36:19 PM
Is it there yet?

95% in

Trump, Donald (R) - 2,046,422 - 48.8%
Biden, Joe (D) - 2,047,113 - 48.9%

If Biden has a lead of 1,000 with 95% in would he be certain to win, or could Trump still come back?
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Gracile
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« Reply #16 on: July 12, 2020, 01:50:58 PM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 12, 2020, 01:36:19 PM
Is it there yet?

95% in

Trump, Donald (R) - 2,046,422 - 48.8%
Biden, Joe (D) - 2,047,113 - 48.9%

Amy Walter for Cook Political piece on November 4, 2020: Biden narrowly leads Trump in Georgia with much of Atlanta still left to count, but is it really there yet?
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2020, 02:02:47 PM »
Quote from: Western Democrat on July 12, 2020, 01:45:27 PM
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 12, 2020, 01:36:19 PM
Is it there yet?

95% in

Trump, Donald (R) - 2,046,422 - 48.8%
Biden, Joe (D) - 2,047,113 - 48.9%

If Biden has a lead of 1,000 with 95% in would he be certain to win, or could Trump still come back?

Under normal circumstances I would call this a definite Biden win, since the heavily Democratic counties of Fulton and DeKalb are usually the slowest to report.  But with an avalanche of mail-in ballots from all over the state this year, things could be different.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #18 on: July 12, 2020, 05:14:25 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 12, 2020, 01:43:03 PM
Funny thing about this poll is they managed to somehow cobble together a sample with an absurd Trump approval rating of +12, and they still can't get general election numbers better than +3.

omg they have approval at +12 and the best they can get is Trump +3? Jesus, that means he's in serious trouble in GA. Yikes
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #19 on: July 12, 2020, 05:16:02 PM »
LMAO!!!! This has Loeffler at a 52/39 approval rating.

I f**king can't! Throw this steaming pile of trash right in the garbage!
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Badger
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« Reply #20 on: July 12, 2020, 05:36:15 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 12, 2020, 05:16:02 PM
LMAO!!!! This has Loeffler at a 52/39 approval rating.

I f**king can't! Throw this steaming pile of trash right in the garbage!

Now now. They simply neglected to mention in the cross tabs that this poll was taken among Kelly's former College sorority sisters.
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Holy Unifying Centrist
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« Reply #21 on: July 12, 2020, 05:40:10 PM »
I heard DataTechnologyCompany is going to be conducting a poll soon. They're an unproven pollster, but I think they'll probably be more accurate than Trump & Loeffler approval + 12 in Georgia.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #22 on: July 12, 2020, 06:22:56 PM »
I trust an OANN poll about as much as I trust myself to resist eating a cannoli donut, but this isn't that unrealistic, and for it to be a Trump fantasy poll suggests that Georgia is still truly in tossup territory at least.
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Hammy
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« Reply #23 on: July 13, 2020, 12:25:18 AM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 12, 2020, 01:43:03 PM
Funny thing about this poll is they managed to somehow cobble together a sample with an absurd Trump approval rating of +12, and they still can't get general election numbers better than +3.

It's like their Arizona poll all over again. Isn't Trump under water or close to even in Georgia with approvals?
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BobbieMac
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« Reply #24 on: July 13, 2020, 04:15:32 AM »
This puts Biden + 4 on UNS anyway, which would be enough to win 307 - 231
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