Atlas ranks the presidents -- week 9 (WORST OF THE WORST) (user search)
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  Atlas ranks the presidents -- week 9 (WORST OF THE WORST) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Atlas ranks the presidents -- week 9 (WORST OF THE WORST)  (Read 9729 times)
GeneralMacArthur
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« on: July 12, 2020, 12:07:03 PM »
« edited: November 08, 2020, 01:50:19 AM by GeneralMacArthur »

FINAL RANKING:  https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=411693.0

The goal of this thread is to rank the presidents.

We have 45 presidents (44 presidencies) so my plan is to divide them up into groups by approximately their time period.  We will rank presidents within their time period, then use those rankings to sort them from worst to best.  I will keep some interesting stats as well.

Although I personally have strong opinions here I will refrain from biasing the discussion by including my own rankings.  Feel free to include numeric scores and/or justifications for your rankings as well, to make it more interesting and spark debate.  I will keep track of every ranking so you are welcome to fill the thread with debate.

Currently we are on week 9.  Rank these terrible presidents from best to worst.

Week 9:  Worst of the Worst
William Henry Harrison
Martin Van Buren
Andrew Jackson
Millard Fillmore
John Tyler
Franklin Pierce
Andrew Johnson
James Buchanan
Benjamin Harrison
Warren Harding
Herbert Hoover
Richard Nixon
George W. Bush
Donald Trump


FINAL RANKING
1:  Abraham Lincoln (1.179)
2:  Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1.162)
3:  George Washington (1.144)
4:  Theodore Roosevelt (1.96)
5:  Lyndon B. Johnson (1.77)
6:  Harry Truman (1.75)
7:  Dwight Eisenhower (1.73)
8:  Ulysses S. Grant (1.49)
9:  Barack Obama (1.45)
10:  Thomas Jefferson (1.43)
11:  James Monroe (2.63)
12:  John Quincy Adams (2.62)
13:  James Madison (2.47)
14:  Bill Clinton (2.44)
15:  John F. Kennedy (2.36)
16:  George H.W. Bush (2.36)
17:  John Adams (2.35)
18:  Ronald Reagan (2.34)
19:  Zachary Taylor (2.31)
20:  Jimmy Carter (2.30)
21:  Woodrow Wilson (3.48)
22:  William Howard Taft (3.41)
23:  Gerald Ford (3.39)
24:  William McKinley (3.34)
25:  James Garfield (3.31)
26:  Grover Cleveland (3.29)
27:  James K. Polk (3.28)
28:  Calvin Coolidge (3.23)
29:  Chester A. Arthur (3.23)
30:  Rutherford B. Hayes (3.20)
and more to come...




Week 1 Results
1:  George Washington (avg 1.25)
2:  James Monroe (3.5)
3:  Thomas Jefferson (3.75)
4:  John Quincy Adams (4.33)
5:  James Madison (4.5)
6:  John Adams (5)
7:  Martin Van Buren (6.67)
8:  Andrew Jackson (7)

Standard deviations:
Washington:  0.62
Van Buren:  1.37
Madison:  1.38
Jackson:  1.41
Monroe:  1.45
Adams:  1.86
Jefferson:  1.96
JQA:  2.19
so lots of confidence on George Washington being the best, and a lot of wildly different opinions about Thomas Jefferson and John Quincy Adams.


Week 2 Results
1:  Abraham Lincoln (1.05)
2:  Ulysses S. Grant (2.71)
3:  Zachary Taylor (3.62)
4:  James K. Polk (4.09)
5:  William Henry Harrison (5.05)
6:  Millard Fillmore (5.43)
7:  John Tyler (6.67)
8:  Franklin Pierce (7.90)
9:  Andrew Johnson (8.33)
10:  James Buchanan (9.67)

Standard deviations:
Lincoln:  0.22
Buchanan:  0.66
Taylor:  0.92
Pierce:  1.14
Grant:  1.23
Johnson:  1.28
Fillmore:  1.33
Tyler:  1.39
Harrison:  1.54
Polk:  1.97
so if there's one thing Atlas can agree on... it's that Zachary Taylor was lowkey a pretty good president.  And there are a lot of diverse opinions on Polk.


Week 3 Results
1:  Theodore Roosevelt (1.27)
2:  William Howard Taft (4)
3:  James Garfield (4.18)
4:  Chester A. Arthur (4.56)
5:  William McKinley (4.83)
6:  Benjamin Harrison (5.17)
7:  Grover Cleveland (5.22)
8:  Rutherford B. Hayes (6.38)

Standard deviations:
Roosevelt:  0.83
Hayes:  1.72
Harrison:  1.79
Cleveland:  1.80
Garfield:  1.81
Taft:  1.94
Arthur:  2.04
McKinley:  2.36
This is probably the most difficult set to rank.  The Civil War Era presidents were all short-lived failures, but at least it's fun to decide who was more odious and deplorable between drunk moron Franklin Pierce and actual confederate John Tyler.  Up until McKinley, these presidents are just a parade of unremarkable mediocrities, distinguished mainly by their positions on obscure economic debates that are entirely irrelevant today.  We can see the lack of strong opinions in the high standard deviation (other than TR, the rankings were more diverse than all Civil War presidents other than Polk).  We can also see it in the fact that no average was higher than #4, again other than TR.  McKinley is the most controversial of all.  The man is generally considered a very successful president, but his biggest "successes" are acquiring Hawaii, Puerto Rico, Guam, the Philippines, and (sort of) Cuba, essentially by stealing them from Spain.  Just as with James K. Polk, many on Atlas reject the notion of territorial acquisition as an accomplishment.


Week 4 Results
1:  Franklin Delano Roosevelt (1.36)
2:  Dwight D. Eisenhower (3.11)
3:  Harry S. Truman (3.58)
4:  Lyndon Baines Johnson (3.68)
5:  John F. Kennedy (5.26)
6:  Woodrow Wilson (6.33)
7:  Calvin Coolidge (6.37)
8:  Warren G. Harding (7.42)
9:  Herbert Hoover (7.84)

Standard deviations:
FDR:  0.83
JFK:  0.93
Ike:  1.24
Hoover:  1.26
Wilson:  1.64
Coolidge:  1.71
LBJ:  1.83
Harding:  2.04
Truman:  2.24
Like the other three eras thus far, this one has a clear winner (FDR).  This is followed by a strong second tier of Ike/Truman/LBJ, Kennedy is the agreed-upon median, and beneath Kennedy are a set of presidents who are either failures (Harding/Hoover), unremarkable (Coolidge), or very difficult to judge (Wilson).  There's also an odd contingent of Truman haters out there -- without the two folks ranking him last, he would have easily been #2.  Die-hard Dewey fans perhaps?


Week 5 Results
1:  Barack Obama (2.29)
2:  Bill Clinton (3.41)
3:  Jimmy Carter (3.68)
4:  Gerald Ford (4.18)
5:  George HW Bush (4.27)
6:  Ronald Reagan (5.14)
7:  Richard Nixon (5.91)
8:  George W Bush (7.55)
9:  Donald Trump (8.21)

Standard Deviations:
George HW Bush:  1.20
George W Bush:  1.26
Gerald Ford:  1.43
Richard Nixon:  1.63
Donald Trump:  1.72
Barack Obama:  1.90
Bill Clinton:  1.97
Jimmy Carter:  2.36
Ronald Reagan:  2.62
Trump goes down as the most unanimously-despised president of his set, second only to James Buchanan in Atlasian's confidence that he is the worst of this set.  Meanwhile Carter's presidency, widely perceived as unsuccessful, has a solid fan club on Atlas.  Obama gets very high marks, although not rising to the stratospheric levels of Washington, Lincoln and the Roosevelts.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #1 on: July 12, 2020, 05:43:51 PM »

1. JQA
2. Washington
3. Adams
4. Jefferson
5. MVB
6. Monroe
7. Madison
8. Jackson

Why the love for JQA?
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2020, 09:08:08 PM »

Week 1 results are in the OP.

Week 2:  The Civil War Era

William Henry Harrison
John Tyler
James K Polk
Zachary Taylor
Millard Fillmore
Franklin Pierce
James Buchanan
Abraham Lincoln
Andrew Johnson
Ulysses S. Grant
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2020, 10:47:10 AM »

What's with everyone ranking Millard Fillmore over Polk?
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2020, 08:42:54 PM »

1. Abraham Lincoln
2. Ulysses S. Grant
3. James Polk
4. Zachary Taylor
5. William Henry Harrison
6. Millard Fillmore
7. John Tyler
8. Franklin Pierce
9. Andrew Johnson
10. James Buchanan - still the worst president of all time.

Wish I had seen this thread in time to contribute to the Week 1 results. I disagree with a lot of the rankings.

What would yours have been?
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #5 on: July 26, 2020, 03:25:23 PM »

Week 2 results are in the OP.

Week 3:  Prelude to the world wars

Rutherford B. Hayes
James A. Garfield
Chester A. Arthur
Grover Cleveland
Benjamin Harrison
William McKinley
Theodore Roosevelt
William Howard Taft
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #6 on: July 27, 2020, 01:43:13 PM »

Garfield
Arthur
Taft
Roosevelt
Harrison
Cleveland
Hayes
McKinley

Why the dislike for Roosevelt?  I would think as a socialist he would be one of your favorite presidents for decisively moving to break up monopolies and dilute the power of American oligarchs.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #7 on: July 30, 2020, 10:05:50 AM »

1. Teddy
2. Arthur
3. Cleveland
4. Taft
5. McKinley
6. Harrison
7. Garfield
8. Hayes

I'm curious how you can simultaneously be a libertarian and think that Roosevelt was a great president?  Roosevelt's biggest accomplishments are interfering in the free market and pursuing an aggressive foreign policy.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #8 on: August 02, 2020, 01:14:21 PM »

Week 4 results are in the OP.

Week 4:  America the global superpower
Woodrow Wilson
Warren G. Harding
Calvin Coolidge
Herbert Hoover
Franklin D. Roosevelt
Harry S. Truman
Dwight D. Eisenhower
John F. Kennedy
Lyndon B. Johnson
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #9 on: August 02, 2020, 01:38:19 PM »

I've always found Hoover really interesting because he's probably the best test case for "what if we just made a ruthless, apolitical businessman president."

Unlike Trump, who was never really a ruthless businessman so much as an aggressive con artist with a crack legal team, Hoover was undeniably extremely successful in his private sector endeavors.  He was able to figure out solutions to extremely complicated problems, manage huge bureaucracies, innovate and execute.  And based on his performance after World War I, he seemed for all the world like a guy who could use those skills for benevolent, humanitarian purposes.

But Hoover really illustrated how that kind of Tony Stark figure just doesn't work as an American president.  There is no benevolent dictator here.  There is no "one guy who makes decisions and everyone else goes along."  You have to convince people.  You have to sell your ideas.  You have to work together to find compromise.  You have to take Congress's input and ideas into account.  And Hoover was completely incapable of doing those things.  He was a grumpy asshole who was used to ruling by fiat.  I'm the genius, I come up with ideas, the rest of you fall in line and do what I say, and everything will work out great.  The history books tell us how that turned out.

Nowadays Hoover is completely forgotten, he's just "some lousy politician who mucked up the great depression."  If you ask most people about him, all they could tell you about is "Hoovervilles" and "I guess he did do the Hoover Dam."  It's a shame because he probably had a wilder life story than even Teddy Roosevelt, the consensus "most interesting president."
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #10 on: August 05, 2020, 03:52:00 PM »

LBJ was coarse, flippant, snarky, and liked to brag.

The "I'll have those n***ers voting Democratic for 200 years" quote sounds like the kind of thing he would say, but not in a sinister or manipulative way.  Just in the kind of coarse, bragging, "look how big my dick is" way that LBJ was known to speak.

And of course, using the n-word in the 1960s is not the same as using it today.  To imply LBJ is a racist because he used it then is just plain ignorant.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2020, 11:00:01 AM »

Week 4 results are in the OP.

Week 5:  The Modern Presidency
Richard Nixon
Gerald Ford
Jimmy Carter
Ronald Reagan
George HW Bush
Bill Clinton
George W Bush
Barack Obama
Donald Trump
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #12 on: August 11, 2020, 10:38:59 AM »

Guys, Jimmy Carter wasn't a good president.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #13 on: August 16, 2020, 11:26:43 AM »

Week 5 results are in the OP.

Now that we have finished ranking the eras, we advance to the final ranking.  I will split the presidents up into sets based on their average rankings, and we will rank them from best to worst in sets.

First, we are choosing the VERY BEST ten presidents.  Select your top ten of these men.  Seven of them will drop down into the second tier.  There is no need to rank 11-17 although you can if you like.

If your favorite president (Reagan, Madison, etc.) is not in this top ten, they were never going to make it to the top ten anyway.  You have to guide the consensus by selecting only from the presidents who have a fighting chance of being in the overall Atlas top ten.  In general these are men who either finished in the top 3 of their sets or had a double-digit number of top-3 votes.

Week 6:  The best of the best (top ten)
Abraham Lincoln
George Washington
Theodore Roosevelt
Franklin Delano Roosevelt
Barack Obama
Ulysses S. Grant
Dwight D. Eisenhower
Bill Clinton
James Monroe
Harry S. Truman
Zachary Taylor
Jimmy Carter
Lyndon B. Johnson
Thomas Jefferson
William Howard Taft
James K. Polk
James Garfield
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #14 on: August 16, 2020, 06:38:37 PM »

Guys, you have to pick ten from the list in the op.  If you pick Madison or Wilson you are throwing your vote away.  Atlas consensus is that they have no chance to make the top ten.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #15 on: August 17, 2020, 02:20:07 PM »

Literally LOL at Jimmy Carter making it into this final list before Ronald Reagan ... that is some truly historic irony and a joke, haha.


Atlas librul bias plz

As I already noted James Garfield also made it before William McKinley and even though I strongly contributed to that, I will admit it is hilarious.

Yeah, I am a neutral arbiter right now but I'm pumped to reveal my own rankings after this project is completed as well as some less neutral commentary on the rankings.  Atlas' high opinions of Jimmy Carter and Ulysses S. Grant will get their day in court, as will Atlas' low opinions of our expansionist presidents (Jackson, Polk, McKinley).

Ulysses S. Grant is currently tied with Thomas Jefferson as the 8th-best president according to Atlas.  You guys veto the Jackson administration over the Trail of Tears but put the guy who launched the Great Sioux War up there with the founding fathers.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #16 on: August 22, 2020, 08:43:36 PM »

I exclude William Henry Harrison, Zachary Taylor, and James Garfield

I mean, according to just this round of rankings, Atlas thinks two of those men were better presidents than Bill Clinton.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #17 on: August 22, 2020, 09:13:07 PM »

tara gilesbie, can you rank your top ten from the set highlighted in the OP?  That is the only ranking that is currently impacting anything.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2020, 02:21:03 AM »

Your TOP TEN are in the OP.

Now it is time to pick the next tier.  Rank your top ten of these twenty men.  THESE ARE NOT THE TOP TEN PRESIDENTS.  These are the candidates for 11-20.

Week 7:  The second tier (top ten)
James Monroe
Zachary Taylor
James K. Polk
James Garfield
Bill Clinton
William Howard Taft
Jimmy Carter
Gerald Ford
George H.W. Bush
John Quincy Adams
James Madison
Chester A. Arthur
William McKinley
John Adams
William Henry Harrison
Ronald Reagan
John F. Kennedy
Millard Fillmore
Woodrow Wilson
Calvin Coolidge
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #19 on: August 24, 2020, 01:04:23 AM »

You did George HW Bush and Bill Clinton twice.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #20 on: August 31, 2020, 10:30:49 AM »

And we're on to week 8.  Week 7 results are in the OP.

CHOOSE TEN OF THESE MEN.  They will be tier 3.  The remaining 15 will drop down and be ranked as "worst of the worst" next week.

Week 8:  Third tier (top 10)
Woodrow Wilson
William Howard Taft
James K. Polk
Calvin Coolidge
Chester A. Arthur
Gerald Ford
James Garfield
William Henry Harrison
William McKinley
Martin Van Buren
Andrew Jackson
Millard Fillmore
John Tyler
Franklin Pierce
Andrew Johnson
James Buchanan
Benjamin Harrison
Grover Cleveland
Rutherford B. Hayes
Warren Harding
Herbert Hoover
Richard Nixon
George W. Bush
Donald Trump
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #21 on: September 02, 2020, 07:52:53 AM »

Yeah this is the least interesting tier, the worst presidents is gonna be the fun one.

But y'all do need to vote.  Lots of regulars who haven't participated yet.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #22 on: September 06, 2020, 11:58:28 AM »

And with that, the third tier is mercifully complete, and we are on to the fun part -- the worst of the worst.

Rank these sorry sons of bitches.

Week 9:  Worst of the Worst
William Henry Harrison
Martin Van Buren
Andrew Jackson
Millard Fillmore
John Tyler
Franklin Pierce
Andrew Johnson
James Buchanan
Benjamin Harrison
Warren Harding
Herbert Hoover
Richard Nixon
George W. Bush
Donald Trump
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #23 on: September 06, 2020, 10:21:23 PM »

Can you people please just follow the rules?

Take the guys I listed and rank them from best to worst.

It's really hard to combine different rankings when y'all are skipping presidents, adding your own presidents, making your own rules, etc.
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GeneralMacArthur
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« Reply #24 on: September 07, 2020, 07:27:45 AM »

Can you people please just follow the rules?

Take the guys I listed and rank them from best to worst.

It's really hard to combine different rankings when y'all are skipping presidents, adding your own presidents, making your own rules, etc.

Oh sorry, missed the last couple rankings and didn’t realize that’s how we’re doing things now.

Updated to reflect the rules:

Jackson
Van Buren
WH Harrison
Nixon
Benjamin Harrison
Fillmore
Tyler
Pierce
Hoover
W. Bush
Harding
Andrew Johnson
Buchanan
Trump

Thank you
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