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  Talk Elections
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  2020 Senate & House Election Polls (Moderators: Brittain33, Gass3268, Virginiá)
  Auburn University Poll Primary and General +16 Tuberville. General +6 Sessions/+9 Tuberville
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Author Topic: Auburn University Poll Primary and General +16 Tuberville. General +6 Sessions/+9 Tuberville  (Read 613 times)
lfromnj
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« on: July 10, 2020, 11:24:55 am »

http://aum.edu/new-aum-poll-shows-tuberville-leading-sessions-senate-runoff-election

Although Sessions is closer to 50.
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Daines' Bipartisan Bills™
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« Reply #1 on: July 10, 2020, 11:26:31 am »

44% Tommy Tuberville (R)
35% Doug Jones (D, inc.)

49% Jeff Sessions (R)
43% Doug Jones (D, inc.)

R primary:

47% Tommy Tuberville
31% Jeff Sessions
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #2 on: July 10, 2020, 11:28:51 am »

558 registered voters, fielded July 2-9. MoE: 5% for the general election, 6% for the primary.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #3 on: July 10, 2020, 11:34:33 am »
« Edited: July 10, 2020, 11:41:50 am by TiltsAreUnderrated »

In the Republican primary: 22% undecided

Nearly 10% of Sessions' supporters in the runoff say they'd write in another candidate in a Jones vs Tuberville matchup. I assume some of them mean voting for one of the two independent candidates as opposed to the lot actually casting that many write-in votes. That doesn't seem particularly credible.

Edit: full poll attached here: http://www.aum.edu/sites/default/files/AUM_Topline_Results_July2020_Final.pdf

MoE actually 5.1% for the general election
567 registered voters for the general election

Sessions 49%
Jones 43%
Write-in 7%
Don't know 1%

Tuberville 44%
Jones 36%
Write-in 7%
Don't know 14%
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4 on: July 10, 2020, 11:41:25 am »

In the Republican primary: 22% undecided

Nearly 10% of Sessions' supporters in the runoff say they'd write in another candidate in a Jones vs Tuberville matchup. I assume some of them mean voting for one of the two independent candidates as opposed to the lot actually casting that many write-in votes. That doesn't seem particularly credible.

Our forum Sessions supporter Yellowhammer claims to do this.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #5 on: July 10, 2020, 11:42:43 am »

In the Republican primary: 22% undecided

Nearly 10% of Sessions' supporters in the runoff say they'd write in another candidate in a Jones vs Tuberville matchup. I assume some of them mean voting for one of the two independent candidates as opposed to the lot actually casting that many write-in votes. That doesn't seem particularly credible.

Our forum Sessions supporter Yellowhammer claims to do this.

Alabama doesn't allow write-in votes in the US Senate election, AFAIK.
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #6 on: July 10, 2020, 11:46:36 am »

Congratulations Senator Tuberville.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #7 on: July 10, 2020, 11:54:19 am »

Congratulations Senator Tuberville.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: July 10, 2020, 11:56:34 am »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #9 on: July 10, 2020, 12:05:34 pm »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading

Michigan is a swing state and Iowa is sort of one as well. Alabama isn't.
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Chocolate Thunder
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« Reply #10 on: July 10, 2020, 12:15:47 pm »

So Gardner’s in worse shape than Jones?
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: July 10, 2020, 01:43:19 pm »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading

Michigan is a swing state and Iowa is sort of one as well. Alabama isn't.

I wasn't arguing that, it's just that SnowLabrador is selectively posting comments about how well Rs are doing Senator Tuberville, but no such responses when Dems are doing well like Senator Kelly or Senator Hickenlooper
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #12 on: July 10, 2020, 01:46:40 pm »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading

Michigan is a swing state and Iowa is sort of one as well. Alabama isn't.

I wasn't arguing that, it's just that SnowLabrador is selectively posting comments about how well Rs are doing Senator Tuberville, but no such responses when Dems are doing well like Senator Kelly or Senator Hickenlooper

Neither Colorado nor Arizona are nearly as Democratic as Alabama is Republican.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #13 on: July 10, 2020, 04:54:23 pm »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading

Michigan is a swing state and Iowa is sort of one as well. Alabama isn't.

I wasn't arguing that, it's just that SnowLabrador is selectively posting comments about how well Rs are doing Senator Tuberville, but no such responses when Dems are doing well like Senator Kelly or Senator Hickenlooper

To clarify for all of posterity: I am not a fan of the GOP. I say what I think will happen, not what I want to happen.
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MR. KAYNE WEST
olawakandi
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« Reply #14 on: July 10, 2020, 06:39:53 pm »


Why are you so pro R, losing AL as a Dem is nothing to brag about

You said Greenfield and Peter's were done and both are leading

Michigan is a swing state and Iowa is sort of one as well. Alabama isn't.

I wasn't arguing that, it's just that SnowLabrador is selectively posting comments about how well Rs are doing Senator Tuberville, but no such responses when Dems are doing well like Senator Kelly or Senator Hickenlooper

To clarify for all of posterity: I am not a fan of the GOP. I say what I think will happen, not what I want to happen.

No one wants to hear that, especially a Dem, we already know AL is gone
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Speaker of the Lincoln Council S019
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« Reply #15 on: July 10, 2020, 11:17:17 pm »

These undecideds will probably break heavily against Jones. Are Tuberville's numbers just a name recognition thing, if so, Jones is on track to get Blanched, given undecideds in a state like AL will break heavily Republican. If not, one has to wonder where that discrepancy comes from, anyways, Jones is going to lose to either Sessions or Tuberville, and it won't be that close, remains Likely R.
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morgieb
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« Reply #16 on: July 11, 2020, 04:34:54 am »

The amount of undecideds in Tuberville/Jones is interesting. But given Jones is at 35%..... yeah he's gonna get Blanched.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #17 on: July 18, 2020, 10:29:43 pm »

New Poll: Alabama Senator by Other Source on 2020-07-09

Summary: D: 35%, R: 44%, U: 21%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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