Election Twitter/PPP-AK: Trump +3

[VAR]

Wow. A 12% shift right now from 2015.

Even more interesting: Only 6% of whites are undecided. 11% of 'other race' are undecided. So this could really be a tight one, since that group is majorly lean Biden.

*rolls eyes*

23% of the respondents are ‘other race’. 11% of them are undecided.
That’s 2.5% of the electorate.

77% of the respondents are white. 6% of them are undecided.
That’s 4.6% of the electorate.

I can’t believe I have to explain this.

[VAR]

Wow. A 12% shift right now from 2015.

Even more interesting: Only 6% of whites are undecided. 11% of 'other race' are undecided. So this could really be a tight one, since that group is majorly lean Biden.

*rolls eyes*

23% of the respondents are ‘other race’. 11% of them are undecided.
That’s 2.5% of the electorate.

77% of the respondents are white. 6% of them are undecided.
That’s 4.6% of the electorate.

I can’t believe I have to explain this.

What I'm saying is, you could have a very close race if say, the undecided White vote breaks 50-50, and the undecided "other race" vote breaks like 75/25 Biden.

Of course. But the ‘other race’ wouldn’t tip the race in favor of Biden if he trails by, say, 12 points among white undecideds. That’s what I was saying.

However, I think, unless things get worse, the undecideds will largely break for Trump, something like 60-40.