Could Minnesota go Red?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 01:12:25 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Could Minnesota go Red?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3
Poll
Question: Could Minnesota go Red?
#1
Minnesota will flip		  
#2
Minnesota will not flip		  
#3
toss-up		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 134

Author Topic: Could Minnesota go Red?  (Read 1949 times)
G_Master
Rookie
**
Posts: 176


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: July 08, 2020, 06:16:02 PM »
« edited: July 08, 2020, 06:31:31 PM by G_Master »
Could Minnesota have the potential to flip blue this year? One reason why I think it has a a possibility is that it swung hard to the right outside of urban areas last year. I think it may be one of the most, if not the most polarized states in terms of urban-rural divide. idk is this a possibility?
Logged
TiltsAreUnderrated
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,776


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: July 08, 2020, 06:17:38 PM »
With national/rust belt leads like Biden's, it's not especially likely. I rate it lean D and closer to likely D than tilt, but there's still potential for Minnesota to be a tipping point state this November and it probably deserves serious attention from the Trump campaign (more so than Michigan, which I would argue has slipped further than the rest of the rust belt because of Michigan-specific issues like the ventilator spat).
Logged
Roronoa D. Law
Patrick97
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,495
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: July 08, 2020, 06:18:57 PM »
No, Trump is down to much in WI, PA, and MI to even be competitive in MN.
Logged
pppolitics
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,852


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: July 08, 2020, 06:31:48 PM »
Considering that Minnesota went blue for the last 11 presidential elections, yes, it could go blue again.
Logged
G_Master
Rookie
**
Posts: 176


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: July 08, 2020, 06:32:48 PM »
I edited the question. I still get confused by the red/blue flip that this forum does for some weird reason.
Logged
ProgressiveModerate
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,705


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: July 08, 2020, 06:33:11 PM »
It "could", but at this point it's pretty unlikely.
Logged
Mexican Wolf
Timberwolf
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,319


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: July 08, 2020, 06:39:14 PM »
It can if Trump is having a much better than expected night (such as if he only narrowly loses or narrowly carries the popular vote), but the way things are going, Minnesota is at least likely Biden.
Logged
DaleCooper
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,992


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: July 08, 2020, 06:39:33 PM »
Absolutely not. Biden has a better shot at winning Montana, in my opinion, than Trump does of winning Minnesota. I always maintained that New Hampshire was the only conceivable state that Trump could flip pre-pandemic, and that appears totally out of reach now too, along with a good two or three states that he won in 2016.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,524
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: July 08, 2020, 06:42:01 PM »
Less likely than Iowa flipping Democratic.
Logged
ηєω ƒяσηтιєя
New Frontier
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,250
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.42, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: July 08, 2020, 06:45:08 PM »
No. Minnesota will continue to vote for the Democratic presidential nominee which it has done for the past 44 years...and counting.
Logged
SnowLabrador
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,577
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: July 08, 2020, 07:04:40 PM »
Tossup.
Logged
WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,576
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: July 08, 2020, 07:05:08 PM »

lol
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,972
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: July 08, 2020, 07:06:52 PM »
Atlas Talk Elections red, yes.

But with mainstream media colors-it's not going to happen. It was probably never going to happen...at least not yet. The Democratic voting streak will continue.

 I can't say for sure by how much though, other than being more than Clinton's margin.
Logged
Roll Roons
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,034
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: July 08, 2020, 07:16:52 PM »
At this rate, it won't happen this year. But 2024 is certainly possible if Republicans manage to keep their gains with rural voters while making up some lost ground in the Twin Cities suburbs.
Logged
Joe Biden 2024
Gorguf
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,360


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2020, 10:12:32 PM »
Could it? Yes. Will it? No.
Logged
TML
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,436


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: July 08, 2020, 10:19:09 PM »
Not with the way Trump has been turning off suburban voters (especially those with higher education).
Logged
Pericles
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,099


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: July 08, 2020, 10:20:40 PM »
Minnesota might vote to the right of the nation again, and in a neutral environment it could flip. Realistically though, this won't be a neutral environment and so Biden will win Minnesota.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: July 08, 2020, 10:21:35 PM »
Trump is down by 10 pts, MN is gonna stay blue
Logged
💥💥 brandon bro (he/him/his)
peenie_weenie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,462
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: July 08, 2020, 10:26:25 PM »
Trump is going to get annihilated, Dems are going to complete the trifecta, and Queen Tina is going to win her first outright full term pretty comfortably.
Logged
Rep Jessica
Jessica
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 831
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: July 08, 2020, 10:28:51 PM »
I'd hope it goes for Trump in November. People are sick of the violence.
Logged
IntelligenceWins
Rookie
**
Posts: 32
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: July 08, 2020, 10:31:56 PM »
It's likely to go red, in my opinion.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: July 08, 2020, 10:40:06 PM »
Quote from: Jessica on July 08, 2020, 10:28:51 PM
I'd hope it goes for Trump in November. People are sick of the violence.

MN has the longest blue winning streak, it has gone blue since 1972, Biden will win MN, PA and MI at the very least.

Every other D state has voted in 1980 and 84 for Reagan. Even RI voted R in 1984
Logged
Orwell
JacksonHitchcock
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,413
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: July 08, 2020, 10:41:17 PM »

Would you like to give us the evidence you're using to back that up?
Logged
Chips
Those Chips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,245
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: July 08, 2020, 10:44:17 PM »
There's a small chance MN could go Trump this year but I think it will trend back a few points left of the nation. Trump probably needs a 2-3% popular vote victory to win MN.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,471
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: July 08, 2020, 10:44:33 PM »
If you want to go back to Pawlenty, he was a mainstream R like Ehlrich and Walker. Pawlenty was not gaffe prone Trump
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 14 queries.