Rasmussen Daily Tracker (Updated 11/2): Biden +1 (Final)

[GeorgiaModerate]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1306262764533542918

[Gass3268]

This is the first national poll since February with Trump's lead!

9/16 Update:

Trump - 47% (+1)
Biden - 46% (-2)

From the same polling firm that had Republicans winning the generic ballot by 1 in 2018!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

9/9 update:
Biden: 48 (-1)
Trump 46 (+1)

Mandatory reminder that days before the 2018 midterms Rasmussen had the Republicans winning the GCB.

Another reminder: they were spot-on in 2016

Soo....you're both right?

[Umengus]

This is the first national poll since February with Trump's lead!

9/16 Update:

Trump - 47% (+1)
Biden - 46% (-2)

From the same polling firm that had Republicans winning the generic ballot by 1 in 2018!

and clinton by 2 in 2016

[DaleCooper]

Wow! Michigan and Wisconsin are 9 points to the left of the nation according to Rasmussen, and Ohio is a solid 5 points more favorable towards Biden than the nation at large.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Conservative pollsters aren't going by Early Voting or VBM and Early Voting is going on, from now and until election day that's why when Blue Avatars make the assertiion, that it will be a 269 tie and WI goes R, they are making the mistake that NC is voting as of now, and people under 70 than Seniors are more likely to vote early than this time in 2016. Its gonna be a blue wave election, and Dems are gonna win 278 to 334 EC map with 52 Senate seats

We need to rebuild the economy to a cyber economy, that was on Click the Movie, with Adam Sandler. That's why we have a nother Recession, not relying on fossil fuels that will force us to change course

Its gonna be need to be dealt with, with a Federal Jobs Guarentee, of normal workers working for local Congressmen, not with Patronage hiring anylonter

[Crumpets]

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1306270066900692993

[Alben Barkley]

According to Rasmussen, Biden is on pace to lose the popular vote but win the electoral college.

[Alben Barkley]

This is the first national poll since February with Trump's lead!

9/16 Update:

Trump - 47% (+1)
Biden - 46% (-2)

From the same polling firm that had Republicans winning the generic ballot by 1 in 2018!

and clinton by 2 in 2016

OK, fine. Let’s say they’re accurate. That means Biden loses the popular vote but wins Michigan, Wisconsin, and OHIO.

You sure you still want them to be right? Or for the electoral college to exist if they are?

[Eraserhead]

According to Rasmussen, Biden is on pace to lose the popular vote but win the electoral college.

That would be a great thing in a lot of ways, at least for the long-term.

[Landslide Lyndon]

For anyone thinking that Rasmussen is a legitimate polling outfit, they are promoting conspiracy theories about mail voting through their twitter feed.

[ηєω ƒяσηтιєя]

According to Rasmussen, Biden is on pace to lose the popular vote but win the electoral college.

That would be a great thing in a lot of ways, at least for the long-term.

LOL, no. That would mean Democrats are collapsing in urban areas. That obviously isn't happening and would be terrible for Democrats.

[Person Man]

According to Rasmussen, Biden is on pace to lose the popular vote but win the electoral college.

That would be a great thing in a lot of ways, at least for the long-term.

LOL, no. That would mean Democrats are collapsing in urban areas. That obviously isn't happening and would be terrible for Democrats.

They are apparently collapsing with pocs, right?
That would be weird if the Democrats lost their base this election. It would totally show that it is time for Populist Democrats to be given a chance as it becomes increasingly clear that moderate Republicans either don't exist or are becoming liberals anyways.

[pbrower2a]

Trump still wins with an electorate like those of 2010 or 2014. 2016 is as shaky because there should be about a 2% even swing in the partisan difference between new voters under 40 and older voters over 55 dying off.

[solidcoalition]

I can see a 1 pt national lead, but I think Biden likely takes the popular even if Trump is re-elected.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Today's QU contradicts Rassy's poll, I tell you its because of Early voting. A 413 is far from likely a 334 election is the likely scenario, due to fact Early voting and VBM will pad Biden's lead before Trump voters get to the polls whom are 70 year old females and Veteran white men whom do their civic duty to vote in person on election day.

The election math is gonna be impossible for Trump voters from Biden VBM and Early vote lead for In person Conservative voting

[MysteryMan]

I barely remember 2012, and I'm still amazed that after that Rasmussen is still in business...

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Rassy has returned to his normal polling firm, before the 2016 and is an arm of Fox News, we need a Cyber Clean Energy economy, not a fossil fuel economy, that Biden is gonna give us, not Trump

Covid, TB, Wildfires and Hurricanes are an abrupt result of dependance on a fossil fuel economy

[Never Made it to Graceland]

Bruh

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This poll shows the dangers of overpredicting, its not gonna to be a Bidenslide, but a 291 election, that Trump got last time, 305 shows Dems won't reach 70 M to get a slide but the turnout on election day will probably equal to that of 2016, Covid 19 changed things and MA Senate primary showed us that its not gonna be a huge turnout election, that Joe Kennedy needed to unseat Disappearing Markey whom haven't showed himself since renomination, and won't speak on floor about Stimulus 1200 like Daines. Whom is likely to beat Bullock, on the Senate Floor. I watch the Senate every day, and Markey fails to show up to talk about 1200 Stimulus and so has Daines. Disappearing Markey and Daines

[The Other Castro]

9/23 Update:

Biden - 48% (+2)
Trump - 47% (0)

[Person Man]

So it’s more or less back to where it was. I can buy this is Trump’s possibility. It probably just wins him NH but he could just as easily do really well in Florida but still lose NH.

[Gass3268]

Biden Surge!

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

Some other candidate 3% (n/c)
Undecided 2% (-2)

[538Electoral]

The race is tightening as we speak. Wouldn't be surprised to see Trump+3 on election day.