2020 redistricting Arkansas

[If my soul was made of stone]

Not great COI, but proof that a reasonably compact Biden district can be drawn in the state:



Biden +5.2, Cotton +4.5; 52% white, 38% Black. I wonder if some extreme snaking around the state could produce a Ricky Dale Harrington district (for whatever reason DRA lists him as a Democrat).

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

I wonder if some extreme snaking around the state could produce a Ricky Dale Harrington district (for whatever reason DRA lists him as a Democrat).

You actually do not need an extreme snake.

[perpetual_cynic]

New to redistricting, don't know if this scenario would work, but it includes a Biden +7% district including all of Pulaski County, extending to the Delta counties, and up to Forrest City and West Memphis.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

My effort at a map dividing the state into four quadrants. Largely based off a map I drew back in 2018 that divided the state in similar manner but did so using 2010 figures.

Spoiler alert! Click Show to show the content.

Show

Biden won AR-02 by 3 points.
https://davesredistricting.org/join/581c2de1-3716-4ce9-a887-feda6d8a4f37

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

I drew a fair 3-1 R Map that has 100% proportionality rating or only a R+3.61% bias and the 1st district is almost minority majority and 38% AA.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/9def20c9-d86d-43c2-9308-76b61f903566

[Roll Roons]

Would a Little Rock + Delta district be likely to hold for the decade?

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Would a Little Rock + Delta district be likely to hold for the decade?

This AR-1 district does have countervailing trends with the MS delta region trending more to the GOP, while the Little Rock area is getting more Dem.

2016: Clinton +8.19%

2020: Biden +8.24%

[JerryArkansas]

Here are links to DRA maps of the first two proposed maps.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5b378911-3a46-45e1-88c9-9e666406822f

https://davesredistricting.org/join/391829d2-f367-4e71-b7d1-a8c42f2b6327

[S019]

Here are links to DRA maps of the first two proposed maps.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5b378911-3a46-45e1-88c9-9e666406822f

https://davesredistricting.org/join/391829d2-f367-4e71-b7d1-a8c42f2b6327

Source to confirm that these are indeed official maps: https://www.kait8.com/2021/09/11/congressional-redistricting-bills-filed-starting-2022-house-campaign-arkansas/

[Nyvin]

Here are links to DRA maps of the first two proposed maps.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5b378911-3a46-45e1-88c9-9e666406822f

https://davesredistricting.org/join/391829d2-f367-4e71-b7d1-a8c42f2b6327

Source to confirm that these are indeed official maps: https://www.kait8.com/2021/09/11/congressional-redistricting-bills-filed-starting-2022-house-campaign-arkansas/

Both presented by Republicans.  

Kinda surprising they aren't gerrymandering the map, they're both just least change maps.

[S019]

Here are links to DRA maps of the first two proposed maps.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5b378911-3a46-45e1-88c9-9e666406822f

https://davesredistricting.org/join/391829d2-f367-4e71-b7d1-a8c42f2b6327

Source to confirm that these are indeed official maps: https://www.kait8.com/2021/09/11/congressional-redistricting-bills-filed-starting-2022-house-campaign-arkansas/

Both presented by Republicans.  

Kinda surprising they aren't gerrymandering the map, they're both just least change maps.

Yeah AR-02 is around Trump+8 in both maps compared to Trump+9 atm, keeping Pulaski whole was the thing that stuck out most to me, too.

[Roll Roons]

Here are links to DRA maps of the first two proposed maps.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/5b378911-3a46-45e1-88c9-9e666406822f

https://davesredistricting.org/join/391829d2-f367-4e71-b7d1-a8c42f2b6327

Source to confirm that these are indeed official maps: https://www.kait8.com/2021/09/11/congressional-redistricting-bills-filed-starting-2022-house-campaign-arkansas/

Both presented by Republicans. 

Kinda surprising they aren't gerrymandering the map, they're both just least change maps.

No reason for them to do anything but that. Trump got over 60% in all except AR-02. Even in that district, French won reelection by double digits last year despite everyone somehow thinking it was a tossup (which I still don't really understand).

[JerryArkansas]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/2b0e0e22-d666-4a79-81e9-d21c1163d40d

I won't be posting all of these as they are filed, but this one makes the 2nd even more democratic than the last two I've posted. 

[Nyvin]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/2b0e0e22-d666-4a79-81e9-d21c1163d40d

I won't be posting all of these as they are filed, but this one makes the 2nd even more democratic than the last two I've posted.  

This is SB720, from the Senate this time.

Do all the legislators just get to file a bill of whatever they want or is there some process here?

Mark Johnson is a Republican from SD-15.

[JerryArkansas]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/2b0e0e22-d666-4a79-81e9-d21c1163d40d

I won't be posting all of these as they are filed, but this one makes the 2nd even more democratic than the last two I've posted. 

This is SB720, from the Senate this time.

Do all the legislators just get to file a bill of whatever they want or is there some process here?

Mark Johnson is a Republican from SD-15.

They file bills on what they want, then a committee debates them, votes on what it should be, sends it to the full chamber where it is voted on up or down.

[Oryxslayer]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/2b0e0e22-d666-4a79-81e9-d21c1163d40d

I won't be posting all of these as they are filed, but this one makes the 2nd even more democratic than the last two I've posted. 

When you say all of these: its just the three right now or is there more bills?

[JerryArkansas]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/2b0e0e22-d666-4a79-81e9-d21c1163d40d

I won't be posting all of these as they are filed, but this one makes the 2nd even more democratic than the last two I've posted. 

When you say all of these: its just the three right now or is there more bills?

There are only three atm, however, I'm sure there will be dozens by the end of September

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Fortunately it seems they will be reverting to a all-whole-county map.

[BoiseBoy]

Sen. Whitaker proposed a map on September 15. It's not that different from Sen. Speaks' plan, outside of the following:

AR-01 takes in Van Buren County and Newton County
AR-03 takes in Madison County
AR-04 takes in Arkansas County, Chicot County, and Desha County



The partisan numbers are as follows:
AR-01: Trump +44.9
AR-02: Trump +7.7
AR-03: Trump +24
AR-04: Trump +36.2

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

More Arkansas proposed maps.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-2022-maps/arkansas/

[lfromnj]

https://arktimes.com/arkansas-blog/2021/10/05/congressional-redistricting-agreement-seems-near-including-split-of-sebastian-and-three-way-split-of-pulaskisplit-of-pulaski-to-make-2nd


They want to unnecessarily triple split Pulaski for some reason.(Yes I know the partisan reason, but considering only 40k is removed you could just single split it.)

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

https://arktimes.com/arkansas-blog/2021/10/05/congressional-redistricting-agreement-seems-near-including-split-of-sebastian-and-three-way-split-of-pulaskisplit-of-pulaski-to-make-2nd


They want to unnecessarily triple split Pulaski for some reason.(Yes I know the partisan reason, but considering only 40k is removed you could just single split it.)

I think I found the dumbest comment ever in that article. This guy says he lives in “Tom Cotton’s district.” Bruh he is a fking Senator! lmao

[Roll Roons]

Tbf, Cotton was the Congressman for AR-04.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://arktimes.com/arkansas-blog/2021/10/05/congressional-redistricting-agreement-seems-near-including-split-of-sebastian-and-three-way-split-of-pulaskisplit-of-pulaski-to-make-2nd


They want to unnecessarily triple split Pulaski for some reason.(Yes I know the partisan reason, but considering only 40k is removed you could just single split it.)

I think I found the dumbest comment ever in that article. This guy says he lives in “Tom Cotton’s district.” Bruh he is a fking Senator! lmao

You fool! I worked in a congressman’s office this summer and the amount of calls I got for “Senator (My Boss) was astronomical. If you think that’s the dumbest thing you are chronically online

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

https://arktimes.com/arkansas-blog/2021/10/05/congressional-redistricting-agreement-seems-near-including-split-of-sebastian-and-three-way-split-of-pulaskisplit-of-pulaski-to-make-2nd


They want to unnecessarily triple split Pulaski for some reason.(Yes I know the partisan reason, but considering only 40k is removed you could just single split it.)

I think I found the dumbest comment ever in that article. This guy says he lives in “Tom Cotton’s district.” Bruh he is a fking Senator! lmao

You fool! I worked in a congressman’s office this summer and the amount of calls I got for “Senator (My Boss) was astronomical. If you think that’s the dumbest thing you are chronically online

lol 😂 I was kinda exaggerating on that dumbest part, but for redistricting news I only look at Dave Wasserman and dra for redistricting. I rarely go on a news adtcle comment section because people posting the most absurd stuff.