ME-PPP: Biden +11

[Ye We Can]

The next Republican to become President will carry Maine at large

[Annatar]

The party ID is off a lot in this poll, in the 2016 exit polls, the electorate was +1D, this poll has it at +8D, has there really been such a huge shift in party affiliation in Maine in 4 years, a 7% shift when all other polls like Pew Research show nationally there has been no change in relative party identification.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/maine/president

[BudgieForce]

The party ID is off a lot in this poll, in the 2016 exit polls, the electorate was +1D, this poll has it at +8D, has there really been such a huge shift in party affiliation in Maine in 4 years, a 7% shift when all other polls like Pew Research show nationally there has been no change in relative party identification.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/maine/president

Maine was D+9 in 2008(cant seem to find any exit polls from 2012 but party i.d is probably similar). If a state goes from Obama +15 to Hillary +3 in 4 years, I'd wager a guess that alot of democrats stopped identifying as such when they voted in 2016. Biden is a better fit for the state, so I could see alot of those independents switching back.

[Xing]

Probably a bit exaggerated (don’t buy that ME-02 is a Toss-Up, and even this kind of margin in ME-AL would probably mean a slight Trump win there), but if Biden wins easily, he won’t have to worry about Maine.

[Bidenworth2020]

The party ID is off a lot in this poll, in the 2016 exit polls, the electorate was +1D, this poll has it at +8D, has there really been such a huge shift in party affiliation in Maine in 4 years, a 7% shift when all other polls like Pew Research show nationally there has been no change in relative party identification.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/maine/president

The sample itself is.46-43 Clinton, perfectly in line with the actual results. Party is fluid, and I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of people who were previously Indies now identified as democrats.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

The party ID is off a lot in this poll, in the 2016 exit polls, the electorate was +1D, this poll has it at +8D, has there really been such a huge shift in party affiliation in Maine in 4 years, a 7% shift when all other polls like Pew Research show nationally there has been no change in relative party identification.

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls/maine/president

You can always tell which side is losing based on who is unskewing the polls