Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

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Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

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Question:

#1 +0-5%		9 (19.6%)
#2 +5-10%		15 (32.6%)
#3 +10-15%		18 (39.1%)
#4 +15-20%		4 (8.7%)

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Total Voters: 46

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Topic: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02 (Read 448 times)

VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,755

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Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« on: July 03, 2020, 05:10:58 PM »

Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

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ProgressiveModerate
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Posts: 13,725

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2020, 05:19:52 PM »

Before RCV #2, after RCV #3

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution

Posts: 88,678

Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2020, 05:31:21 PM »

0 to 5 but I can see her winning by more

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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
Junior Chimp

Posts: 7,249

Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #3 on: July 03, 2020, 07:44:07 PM »

Biden +10- Collins +5
Biden +5- Collins +10

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WD
Western Democrat
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,577

Political Matrix
E: -7.35, S: -0.35

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #4 on: July 03, 2020, 09:50:30 PM »

Collins+4
Biden+1

Statewide: Biden+9
Gideon+4

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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2020, 09:18:42 AM »

Collins +14 after RCV

"Bold", I know.

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Calthrina950
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Posts: 15,936

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #6 on: July 04, 2020, 09:21:26 AM »

Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 04, 2020, 09:18:42 AM

Collins +14 after RCV

"Bold", I know.

Trump won ME-02 by 10%, so a margin such as this would suggest that Collins is eking out a narrow victory in the state at large, especially since she will probably outperform Trump in ME-01 as well.

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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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Posts: 15,283

	Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02 « Reply #7 on: July 04, 2020, 09:29:13 AM »
	« Edited: July 04, 2020, 09:36:56 AM by MT Treasurer »

Quote from: Calthrina950 on July 04, 2020, 09:21:26 AM

Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 04, 2020, 09:18:42 AM

Collins +14 after RCV

"Bold", I know.

Trump won ME-02 by 10%, so a margin such as this would suggest that Collins is eking out a narrow victory in the state at large, especially since she will probably outperform Trump in ME-01 as well.

Something like that, yes.

ME-01: Gideon +10 / Biden +16
ME-02: Collins +14 / Trump +7

Statewide: Collins +3-4 / Biden +4-5

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VAR
VARepublican
Junior Chimp

Posts: 5,755

Re: Predict Collins’ margin in ME-02

« Reply #8 on: July 04, 2020, 09:32:44 AM »

Quote from: Calthrina950 on July 04, 2020, 09:21:26 AM

Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 04, 2020, 09:18:42 AM

Collins +14 after RCV

"Bold", I know.

Trump won ME-02 by 10%, so a margin such as this would suggest that Collins is eking out a narrow victory in the state at large, especially since she will probably outperform Trump in ME-01 as well.

The problem with “Trump +10” is that he won 51-41. So the remaining 8% is critical for Susan Collins. Are those Gary Johnson voters happy with her? I really don’t know.

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