OBD
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,580
Political Matrix E: -5.16, S: -6.26
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« Reply #1 on: July 04, 2020, 12:16:35 PM » |
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Increased turnout in swing states likely benefits Democrats, as it's long been shown that when turnout is higher, they peform better. Decreased turnout in safe states could mean a couple different things depending on how you define 'safe' (e.g. borderline states like Colorado and Virginia on the D side and Ohio, Iowa, and (perhaps) South Carolina on the R side) but it probably won't change the outcome to the level of a safe state flipping. Conclusion: this scenario probably helps Democrats unless catastrophic turnout drops among minorities in safe states make the new 'blue wall' crack (not gonna lie, I could see angry progressives in Oregon screwing Dems in the state in a fringe scenario like this one).
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