Spain FPTP simulation (user search)
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RodPresident
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,157
Brazil


Political Matrix
E: -7.23, S: -3.30

« on: August 02, 2020, 05:09:45 PM »

The next province is the province of Córdoba in southern Spain. This was fairly straightforward to draw, though I fear that the results won't be clear so I have added an inset of Córdoba city

Córdoba (6 seats, 130k people/seat)





Valles del Alto Guadalquivir: This is the northernmost district, taking in the upper Guadalquivir area as well as the valleys of some of its tributaries. This is rural Andalucia and an agricultural district centered just south of Sierra Morena. However this being the northernmost district the results for the left are less stellar than you might expect (the western part of this district leans right, the eastern one leans left). In any case the left won this but it was close
Lean left

Afueras de Córdoba y Medio Guadalquivir: The 2nd of the 4 rural districts, this was my leftovers district. This takes in the areas a bit further downstream and much of the Guadalquivir river valley in this area, with the exception of most of Córdoba city. This district does however take a small part of Córdoba city which happens to be left leaning (most of Córdoba is conservative) and the rural areas here are the most left wing in the province. So the result here is obvious
Safe left

Córdoba-Oeste: This takes the western 40% of Córdoba city, which happens to be the most conservative parts of town. With the exception of a couple precincts this is uniformly deep blue territory and very conservative. The right definitely broke 60% here
Safe Right

Córdoba - Este: Conversely, this takes the eastern 40% of Córdoba city. This happens to take many left wing and competitive areas, particularly in the eastern part of the district where the left wins. However it gets outvoted by the narrowly right wing middle and especially the very conservative western parts of the district, so the right won here, but the margin must have been narrow
Lean Right

Campiña Cordobesa: Centered around the 2 "Campiña" provinces, which are agricultural in nature, the 3rd of the 4 rural districts, this district is almost uniformly left wing and by quite decent margins as well. This is rural Andalucia so this is not a surprise but still
Safe Left

Subbética: The southernmost district, taking in only the comarca of Subbética. Now, if you wanted a surprise, here it is. Despite all odds for a rural Andalusian district, this district is actually a rural district that is safe for the right? It is not exactly overwhelmingly right but it certainly won here by at least low double digits. This was certainly an interesting result to say the least
Safe Right

Totals
15 Safe Left
13 Lean Left
10 Lean Right
57 Safe Right
1 Lean Nationalist
16 Safe Nationalist
(28-67-17)
Why has the Red Cordoba died?
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