MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14 (user search)

Beefalow and the Consumer
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Junior Chimp

Posts: 9,123

Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Re: MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14

« on: July 02, 2020, 11:23:15 AM »

This same poll had Trump +22 in February.

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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp

Posts: 9,123

Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Re: MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14

« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2020, 11:27:22 AM »

Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 02, 2020, 07:39:02 AM

Trump’s not winning Montana by 14 in this environment (I’d expect this kind of margin in a very close election, but not when Democrats are consistently leading by high single digits nationally), and Gianforte isn’t winning by 10 either.

Montana was 22 points to the right of the nation in 2016. If Biden is leading by 8, Trump winning MT by 14 would be a net zero trend. Do you think MT will trend to the left by that much?

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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
Junior Chimp

Posts: 9,123

Political Matrix
E: -2.77, S: -8.78

Re: MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14

« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2020, 11:34:03 AM »

Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 02, 2020, 11:25:43 AM

Quote from: 334 Freiwal on July 02, 2020, 11:23:15 AM

This same poll had Trump +22 in February.

... they had him at higher than his 2016 win in February? Hmmm

1. Biden was dead in the water in February, and that probably weakened his favorability as a GE candidate.

2. This was right after Trump's acquittal, and the stock market was riding a string of record highs. His job approval stood at 44/51, which for Trump is pretty good.

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