MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14 (user search)
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  MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MT-UM Big Sky Poll: Trump +14  (Read 2244 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: July 01, 2020, 09:59:00 PM »
Quote from: Pollster on July 01, 2020, 07:39:41 PM
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June 17-26, 517 registered voters, MOE 4.31%

Trump 52
Biden 38
Don't know 10

Biden looks to be on track to do better here than Clinton did in 2016, when she got only 35%. It's possible that he might clear the 40% mark, like Obama did in 2012. Montana is obviously still Likely/Safe Republican at the presidential level, but Trump's reduced margin will also be of aid to Steve Bullock in his Senate race.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: July 02, 2020, 09:08:03 AM »
Quote from: MT Treasurer on July 02, 2020, 07:39:02 AM
Trump’s not winning Montana by 14 in this environment (I’d expect this kind of margin in a very close election, but not when Democrats are consistently leading by high single digits nationally), and Gianforte isn’t winning by 10 either.

Do you think Biden might come within single digits in Montana?
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