By how much will Hickenlooper underperform Biden?

[Woody]

?

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

At worst, could be in the area of 4-6 points, though I still expect this seat to flip. 

HST, there are quite a few unflattering things floating around regarding Hick that are eye-roll-worthy, so it wouldn't be a complete and total shock if Gardner hangs on by the skin of his teeth. 

[andjey]

Biden+15, Hickenlooper+10. By 5 points

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

I don't currently expect the underperformance to be all that huge; definitely not large enough to suggest he could be defeated if the polls are right about where Biden is in CO. If the final results in the Senate primary are close, it's possible that just enough dissatisfaction has been stoked to mean Hickenlooper's defeat in the GE, but the D next to his name means I'd have expected any scandal that could get the better of him in the GE to also undo him in the primaries.

A side note, but the native American get-up/slave ships comment etc. really aren't going to cut through in a GE when the other guy is Cory Gardner. If this is actually likely D rather than safe D, the GOP is almost certainly best off pushing the ethics/contempt scandal as that was the worst part of Menendez' candidacy.

[SnowLabrador]

2-3 points at most.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I expect him to underperform by about 4 at worst. Things will have moved on by election day, and
Larry Gardner will have to be under the spotlight as well some point closer to election day.

[Sir Mohamed]

My take as we speak is Biden wins 54-42% and Hick 52-45%.

[coloradocowboi]

Maybe 2 percentage points at most. There really isn't a credible leftwing alternative, just someone running for the "Unity Party" ticket.

[MT Treasurer]

He will lose.

imo gardner and jones both win but seats in nm tn wy flip because they’re open and ronchetti is a strong candidate and lummis is overrated imo

[For Trump, everything. For immigrants, the law]

2-3 points at the most. I’m no fan of Hickenlooper, but his “scandals” are not going to cause tons of Biden voters to vote for Gardner.

[TrendsareUsuallyReal]

HST, there are quite a few unflattering things floating around regarding Hick that are eye-roll-worthy, so it wouldn't be a complete and total shock if Gardner hangs on by the skin of his teeth. 

Yes, yes it would be.

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

HST, there are quite a few unflattering things floating around regarding Hick that are eye-roll-worthy, so it wouldn't be a complete and total shock if Gardner hangs on by the skin of his teeth. 

Yes, yes it would be.

How dare you disagree with me, Trends.

[Ferguson97]

He will lose.

imo gardner and jones both win but seats in nm tn wy flip because they’re open and ronchetti is a strong candidate and lummis is overrated imo

"Cory Gardener and Doug Jones will win" is a take I can honestly say I have never, ever, ever, ever seen before...

[WD]

No more than 2 points. Gardner has No Chance. I don’t know why thats so hard to understand. If CO wasn’t on track to vote for Biden by double digits maybe he’d have a chance, but thats not the case. The same goes for Jones in AL

[Ferguson97]

5-6 points

[Wrong about 2024 Ghost]

At worst, could be in the area of 4-6 points, though I still expect this seat to flip. 

HST, there are quite a few unflattering things floating around regarding Hick that are eye-roll-worthy, so it wouldn't be a complete and total shock if Gardner hangs on by the skin of his teeth. 

If he had demonstrated any actual independence, Gardner could have a shot. But he's spent the last four years being a loyal (if often quiet) Trump lackey. With the level of disapproval for Trump in particular and the GOP in general, Gardner is gone. Hickenlooper will underperform Biden by 1-2 points, which will still leave him a clear winner.

[UncleSam]

Like one point.

I don’t think Biden is nearly as far ahead as Atlas does in CO though - Hillary only won the state by 5 and I don’t buy that Biden is going to do like ten points better than that. Probably 52-45 Biden and like 51-45 Hickenlooper or something.