Getting back on topic:
I don't know if I buy Cunningham +10 in North Carolina, but things are definitely pointing towards, at worst, a toss-up-typs scenario for him against Tillis.
I place Arizona in the lean-D category -- McSally losing in 2018 yet being appointed anyway is a rather baffling short-term move by Ducey.
And I still like Peters in Michigan. James could get to a point where he makes things close, but he'd need to find that contigent of voters who puts him over the top. And if Biden is leading the state on Election Night, I'm not sure he'd be able to find that necessary cadre of split-ticket voters.
Do you think Ducey appointed McSally to the seat to intentionally weaken her so that he could run for the seat in 2022?
That would be a really dumb move on his part, so there's a chance
And now, with his disastrous handling of the coronavirus pandemic, Ducey may have a tough hill to climb against Kelly in 2022, assuming that he does decide to run for the seat.